Author: Ming Shuyuan official account: Ming shuzatan wechat id:laomingdashu
1) Borisjohnson finally resigned. For China, this news is not important. In the context of the game between China and the United States, the British strategy towards China has been gradually transforming in the past few years. No matter whether the conservative party or the labor party is in power, no matter which politician of which political party in Britain is the prime minister, China UK relations are facing profound and complex adjustments.
2) The biggest impact on Sino British relations is not the bilateral issues between China and Britain, but the U.S. strategy towards China. The internal logic of the development of China UK relations is changing, and the Chinese people need to recognize this.
3) Roughly taking Trump’s coming to power in 2016 as the dividing line, the previous logic of China UK relations was how Britain could balance its differences with China on the so-called “democracy, human rights and values” while developing economic and trade relations with China; Now the logic of the development of Sino British relations is how Britain can follow and cooperate with the U.S. containment strategy against China and continue to maintain Sino British economic and trade cooperation to a certain extent.
4) In the past, the UK’s strategy towards China was dominated by economic and trade cooperation, supplemented by ideological confrontation. From the UK’s attitude towards Huawei from acceptance to restriction, the UK’s strategy towards China has begun to shift to cooperation with the United States to contain China, supplemented by maintaining China UK economic and trade cooperation.
5) The Chinese people should not have unrealistic illusions about Britain’s China strategy. After World War II, Britain and Australia hardly missed any major geopolitical conflict initiated by the United States. “Anglo Saxon, Christian, white racial alliance”, the historical origins between these countries are deeper than most of us understand, and the practical links between these countries are closer than most of us understand. When we have to distinguish between ourselves and the enemy, stand in line and fight to the death, Britain must stand on the side of the United States.
6) “Following the United States” is a strategic choice for Britain to maintain its great power status and influence under the condition of continuous decline of its comprehensive national strength, which can also be called “national policy”. Brexit is the embodiment of this “national policy”, and Britain’s follow-up and cooperation with the U.S. containment strategy against China is also the embodiment of this national policy. On the issue of Ukraine, Britain is still “following the United States”.
7) This analysis is to let us see the deep logic and inevitable trend of Britain’s strategic choice towards China in the context of the game between China and the United States. However, it does not mean that China has no room to work on the bilateral relations between China and the United Kingdom. We still have a lot of places where we can give play to our subjective initiative.
8) Having seen the British national policy of “following the United States” and the reasons behind the “Anglo Saxon, Christian, white racial alliance”, the Chinese people can have a reasonable expectation of Britain. For example, on the 25th anniversary of the return of Hong Kong, Britain is bound to “talk nonsense”, but from the perspective of Britain, this is not only to maintain Britain’s last dignity as a “former colonist” of Hong Kong, but also to follow and cooperate with the United States’ strategy of continuous containment, containment, suppression and slander of China.
9) The United States enjoys the “national policy” of “following the United States” of Britain and Australia, but the United States is also very clear that these countries mainly play a cooperative role and do not play a decisive role in the major geopolitical conflicts in which the United States participates. What we need to do is to know that in the game between China and the United States, at the last moment, Britain must stand on the side of the United States, but we should try to make it wave flags and shout more and take less actions that materially harm China. The best way is to let Britain firmly stand on the side of the United States, but “do nothing”.
10) We are also very clear about Britain’s strategy. First, we should not actively stimulate it; Second, if it acts as an accomplice of the United States and damages China’s sovereignty, security and core interests of development, China’s “cultural attack and military struggle” will go both ways and hurt it; Third, give it some sweets, so that even if it is on the side of the U.S. camp, it will not take the lead in opposing China, do not creatively complete the whole thing, and do not go all out.
The words of a family are for reference only.