Author: pengshengyu
On december26,1991, the Soviet Union disintegrated. Among them, the largest contributor is the United States. So the question is, what tactics did the United States use to bring down the Soviet Union? We are well aware that the United States has to a large extent dragged down the Soviet Union with an arms race. Since the 1950s, with the beginning of the cold war, the United States and the Soviet Union have launched a fierce arms race. However, the Soviet Union was at a disadvantage in this competition, because its human, material, financial and economic resources were inferior to those of the United States. And the arms race is the most expensive, more expensive than direct war. In order to compete with the United States, the Soviet Union had to invest more human and material resources than the United States in armament development.
But today, the United States is simultaneously containing Russia and China. Can Russia and China bring down the United States in the way that the United States brought down the Soviet Union? The United States wants to be more powerful than China and Russia in all aspects, and wants to win the advantage over China and Russia in all aspects. Can China and Russia take advantage of this mentality of the United States striving to win and maintain the dominant position as a superpower? The author believes that it can be fully utilized.
The United States also wants to maintain a strong position against China and Russia in the major military services of the sea, air, sky and land, and to win a large-scale war against China and Russia at the same time. At the same time, it also wants to safeguard the interests and hegemonic position of the United States in all continents, regions and corners of the world. In fact, this pursuit is the starting point for China and Russia to ponder over and bring down the United States.
It is suggested that China and Russia cooperate closely, each has its own division of labor, and seriously consider adopting the strategy of “dragging the United States, exhausting the United States and collapsing the United States”.
The general idea is to stimulate the desire and idea of the United States to be competitive and attract the United States to invest huge energy and resources to safeguard various positions, faces and interests. Let the United States focus as much of its resources, human, material and financial resources as possible on the world and China and Russia to compete for the leading position. Let the United States military tired countries, confront tired countries, and let the United States have no time to take care of its own people’s livelihood and economy. At the same time, it should reasonably guide and gather important contradictions in the United States. When domestic contradictions cannot be reconciled, it should take advantage of opportunities to ignite and ignite major contradictions in the United States, so that the United States will collapse from within.
The core work above should be done in the following aspects:
1? China and Russia should join hands and cooperate closely, and they must divide their work rationally. The division of labor between China and Russia in different fields and regions has stimulated the United States’ actions to safeguard the interests of American hegemony – face and dignity – the interests of itself and its allies, and let them invest resources, energy and financial resources.
2? Let the United States, with its limited resources and financial resources, look beyond its borders. Let him worry more about the outside than the inside.
3? For the major contradictions in the United States, we should “feed the tiger for trouble”. In the early stage, we can praise more and more to make it lose its vigilance and let its “cancer grow gradually”. When the last straw that killed the camel appears, China and Russia will work together to “draw from the bottom”.
I do not approve of an arms race with the United States. However, I suggest that China and Russia can stimulate the U.S. sense of crisis about its status, influence and leadership in various parts of the world, such as the backyard of the United States, Africa, the Middle East, Pacific island countries and other regions where the United States will invest energy and resources to maintain its hegemonic status. China and Russia can stimulate the division of labor to make the United States jump in. Doesn’t the United States want to maintain its leading position in all areas of the world? Then China and Russia will take advantage of this to stimulate his sense of crisis, so that he knows that it is a trap and can only jump into it to make various efforts to maintain it.
We all know that the United States is now promoting various strategies to suppress and contain China and Russia. There are numerous sanctions and suppression strategies against China and Russia.
As the only superpower, the United States is overconfident in maintaining its dominant position. After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, the United States has always been pursuing world hegemony. In recent years, the rapid development of China, the strengthening of Sino Russian relations, and the constraints of China and Russia on the hegemonic status of the United States have made the United States feel that the real threat is coming. In order to maintain its world hegemony and maintain its international rule making power, the United States, China and Russia are facing fierce confrontation in the international field. The United States has vigorously promoted the Indian Pacific strategy against China, the Indian Pacific military strategy and the Indian Pacific economic strategy. After the Russia Ukraine war, the United States and the West have carried out thousands of extreme sanctions against Russia. The United States has used NATO and its global allies to contain, suppress and crowd out China and Russia. The United States also has great confidence that it can contain China and Russia in all areas of the world at the same time. The United States is also promoting its own similar the Belt and Road plan for China’s the Belt and Road, which is a good way to consume American national strength and attract American energy and financial resources. China and Russia can use the United States to compete for leadership in the world with China and Russia to dig holes for the United States to jump.
To tell the truth: personally, I am not optimistic about what the United States has done to China and Russia. In dealing with such a powerful country as China and Russia, no peaceful means can do anything to China and Russia. It will be a waste of national strength. On the contrary, China and Russia can actually make good use of the United States’ psychology and pursuit of containment and suppression against China and Russia, and solidly consume the United States.
According to the data released by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), the world military expenditure reached a record high of US $2.1 trillion in 2021, adding that the five countries with the largest expenditure are the United States, China, India, Britain and Russia. “In 2021, the total global military expenditure grew by 0.7% in real terms, reaching US $2113billion. The five countries with the largest expenditures were the United States, China, India, the United Kingdom and Russia, accounting for 62% of the total.” In 2021, the US military expenditure reached US $801billion, a decrease of 1.4% over 2020. The statement said that from 2012 to 2021, the US military R & D expenditure increased by 24% and the military purchase expenditure decreased by 6.4%. As the country with the largest amount of military expenditure, the US military expenditure is inferior to that of the last 10 countries. This military expenditure is equivalent to half of Russia’s GDP.
The huge expenditure of the U.S. military has a lot to do with the global deployment of the U.S. military. In order to maintain its global military presence, the U.S. needs to build overseas bases in its allies and partner countries. The annual operation and maintenance costs of these bases require a lot of money. At present, there are more than 100 U.S. overseas bases, and the size of the U.S. Navy and air force ranks first in the world. The last point is the internal military interest group in the United States, These people have been encouraging the threat theory and the US military to engage in foreign operations. Therefore, driven by interest groups, they have increased the cost of purchasing new equipment. In addition, the US military needs to maintain a huge nuclear arsenal.
According to the total budget of the US military in fiscal 2018, we can roughly see the composition of US military expenditure. The total budget of the current year was USD 639.1 billion (including basic funds and overseas emergency action funds)
Among them, according to the composition and breakdown of appropriation categories, the multiple components are at least:
1. O& M – operations and maintenance: 271.9 billion, accounting for 42.5%
2. military personnel cost: 146billion yuan, accounting for 22.8%
3. procurement/ military equipment procurement cost: 125.2 billion, accounting for 19.6%
4. RDT& E – research, development, test, and evaluation
5. military construction and family housing, other/ military facilities, military housing construction and others: 12.6 billion, accounting for 2.0%
According to the military headquarters, at least:
1. Air Force: 183billion, accounting for 28.6%
2. navy/ Department of the Navy (including the Navy and Marine Corps): 180billion, accounting for 28.2%
3. army/ Army Department: 166billion, accounting for 26.0%
4. defense wide/ common to all services: 110.1 billion, accounting for 17.2%
From the above table, we can clearly draw a conclusion that the personnel cost in military expenditure is 1/5 to 1/4. The rest are basically military equipment costs. Military equipment costs are subdivided internally. The R & D, procurement, use and maintenance costs are basically 2:3:5
The proportion of US military spending in its national GDP has been hovering between 3.4% and 3.8% for many years. The U.S. military expenditure is too much for Congress. In recent years, the U.S. Congress is trying to reduce military expenditure as much as possible. The U.S. Navy has also formulated relevant plans to develop the 355 fleet and expand the number of ships to 355, but cancel the No. 5 ship and subsequent warships of the Ford class aircraft carrier.
The collapse of the Soviet economy and the disintegration of the Soviet Union had a great bearing on the Soviet Union’s excessive military investment. In 1960, the military expenditure of the Soviet Union was equivalent to US $36billion. At that time, most of it was spent on military personnel and conventional weapons. By 1970, the military expenditure of the Soviet Union had reached US $70billion, mainly for the development of missiles and nuclear weapons. According to the estimates of the Stanford Institute of the United States, the Soviet Union’s military expenditure in 1970 reached US $74.3 billion, equivalent to 90% of the US military expenditure in the same year. If the military “scientific research and development” expenses are included, the actual military expenditure will reach US $90.5 billion, accounting for about half of the total financial expenditure of the Soviet Union in that year. This figure is very alarming.
Soviet physicist Sakharov also said publicly that the Soviet Union’s military expenditure reached 80billion rubles in 1969. Even if the Soviet Union’s military expenditure in 1970 was US $70billion, it accounted for 21.4% of the Soviet Union’s net material production in that year, that is, the income excluding the non-material production sector of US $321.5 billion, and 42% of the total financial expenditure of US $167.5 billion; The Soviet Union’s military expenditure burden per person per year was about $300, accounting for 23% of the average national income of $1313 per person in that year. Since the Soviet Union’s GNP is only about half of that of the United States, and its annual military expenditure is close to or even more than that of the United States, its military expenditure as a proportion of GNP or financial expenditure has undoubtedly surpassed that of the United States, leaping to the world “champion”.
At the first National People’s Congress in june1989, the Soviet Union officially acknowledged for the first time that the previously announced national defense expenditure was only the daily maintenance cost of the army. In 1989, the national defense expenditure was 77.3 billion rubles (about 130billion US dollars, excluding the military aerospace part of 7billion US dollars), accounting for 8.5% of the gross national product and 12.1% of the national income; The published military expenditure in 1990 was 70.976 billion rubles, accounting for 7.5% of the gross national product and 11% of the national income. Although the credibility of this figure is questionable (it is generally believed that it should be around us $210billion), international public opinion tends to believe that it is more realistic. It is generally believed that the Soviet Union’s military spending should remain between 15 and 17 percent of its gross national product. The proportion was so large that in the mid-1960s, the Soviet Union’s strategic weapon system was still far behind that of the United States. By the end of the 1970s, the Soviet Union had surpassed the United States in the total number of nuclear weapons, intercontinental ballistic missiles, submarine launched ballistic missiles, strategic missile nuclear submarines and attack nuclear submarines. However, it should be clear that these heavy weapons, which were built with countless dollars at that time, hardly ever fought a war and did not play any value until they became scrap metal. However, it is the same with a pile of weapons in the United States today
But in times of peace, the US military forces are doing more useless work. In the era of nuclear weapons, it is no longer easy for the US military to realize its huge economic interests.
But how much can this power contribute? The super American Empire, which is characterized by its strong military power, cannot release its military superiority in the current era. As the only superpower in the world, the United States has only its military power to dominate the world. However, the global strategic community should be clear that the era of missiles is different from the era of guns. Military containment will not lead to war. Strictly speaking, all strategic containment is useless. In the era of missiles, it is a concept that you are hundreds of meters away from the enemy and thousands of miles away. That is to say, the super US empire represented by its strong military power can not release its military superiority. Military deterrence and military strength are more useless.
In the era of nuclear weapons, the United States has been unable to release its military superiority, and its military strength is no longer easy to realize its economic interests. In other words, the world’s strongest military force, on which the United States is proud, has been difficult to realize huge national economic interests in the era of nuclear weapons, in the multipolar world, and in the era of global national self-reliance.
Since the Second World War, the global national independence and self-reliance have been extremely resilient. It is no longer easy for the US military Empire to bully small countries. Economic power itself cannot have global dominance, not to mention that the appeal of the US economy has seriously declined. The high ground of American system and value pursuit is no longer, and it has no cohesion to the world. In today’s multipolar world, the total cost for a country to maintain global hegemony has completely exceeded the total benefits. If it is pursued by force, it will not pay off. In 200 years, the civilization of the United States is still young. Although it has ambitions to seek global hegemony, the power of its civilization is far from enough to give the United States sufficient capacity and strength to support its long-term and sustained hegemony in the world.
Today, the United States, the world’s strongest military with the largest military expenditure, is facing an extremely embarrassing situation: it can neither exchange huge economic benefits nor use this strength to support hegemony. It is doing more useless work, and it is dragging down the United States and affecting its economic development.
It is no longer necessary for the United States to continue to maintain more than 100 military bases overseas. The size of naval and air force equipment is too large, and more of it is waiting for retirement in the sun. This is a stupid situation where there is no need to build too much equipment and wait for retirement.
However, the political arena of the United States is too tied up by military groups and military industrial enterprises to move their cheese. As trump said, they look forward to fighting and selling arms and equipment every day.
It may not be as serious as the Soviet Union, but the trend of military tiredness is already obvious. If the United States does not consider substantial disarmament, drastically abolishes overseas bases and overseas troops, and drastically reduces its military equipment, everything will continue to “skin and suck blood” for the United States. All these are “leeches” and “vampires”, which will sooner or later suck up the United States.
While the US military is tiring the country, the US has many internal worries.
On June 7, 2022, US Treasury Secretary Yellen said at the hearing of the Senate Finance Committee that US inflation was at an “unacceptable level”. She pointed out that the situation in Russia and Ukraine is having an impact on global energy and food prices. The United States is not the only country experiencing inflation, which can be seen in almost all developed countries in the world. She said that in view of the global market and the impact of Geopolitics on the U.S. oil market, the United States should become “more dependent on wind and solar energy that are not affected by geopolitics”. She also pointed out that the Biden government released a record amount of oil from the strategic oil reserve. The United States released the latest inflation data for April, which is still hovering at a high of more than 8%. Biden was not in a hurry, saying that inflation was “unacceptably high”, and again stressed in his national speech that “solving inflation is my top priority in China.” This round of high inflation has been going on for more than a year. The Biden administration has indeed come up with a number of ways. To sum up, at least three “big moves” have been made. In Biden’s words, it is “to the best of its ability”. In May, the year-on-year growth rate of CPI reached 5%, a new high since the summer of 2008, which was the time of the global financial crisis triggered by the United States. You can imagine the state of inflation in the United States today. If the parameters with large price changes such as food and energy are removed, the core CPI of the United States in may hit a new high since 1992. For more than 30 years, the CPI in the 30 years since the United States won the cold war has not been as high as it is today.
According to the report released on February 1, 2022 local time, the total amount of US Treasury bonds exceeded US $30trillion for the first time, a record high. According to the latest data, as of February 16, 2022, the total outstanding public debt of the United States was $30.034 trillion, an increase of $7 trillion over the end of January 2020.
A country with a debt of $30trillion is still trying to continue to play the role of “global police”. The United States’ defense expenditure accounts for 39% of the world’s defense expenditure, but its GDP is less than 25% of the global GDP, which is an indicator of the current excessive expansion of American hegemony. The current defense spending of the United States is almost equal to the sum of the defense spending of the following 12 countries, which means that the U.S. defense spending provides funds for the forces projected by the U.S. military around the world.
As we all know, the United States is flooded with guns. Domestic violence and racial conflicts are numerous. Local separatist forces should not be underestimated. Partisan strife has also intensified. At the same time, the ethnic structure of the population is also undergoing great changes.
According to the analysis of Pew Research Center, among the 25 counties with the largest population in the United States, 21 non white groups accounted for more than half of the total population. Among them, 8 counties were still white in 2000, but became a minority in 2018. These counties are San Diego, orange, California Riverside and Sacramento, plus Clark in Nevada, Broward in Florida, Tarrant in Texas, and Wayne in Michigan. In these eight counties, except Wayne County (including Detroit), where African Americans are the largest non white group, the largest non white group in the other seven counties are Latinos.
In terms of population, the four counties with the largest non white population in the United States in 2018 are Maricopa County in Arizona, King County in Washington, Middlesex County in Massachusetts and Palm Beach County in Florida.
In terms of the speed of change from white people to ethnic minorities, Georgia accounts for four of the top ten counties with the greatest changes in the United States, of which Gwinnett County, with the largest population, has a total population of nearly 930000, and its geographical location is close to Atlanta. In 2000, white people accounted for 67%, which dropped to 36% in 2018; Rockdale County, with a population of 91000, is also near Atlanta. In 2000, white people accounted for 73%, and in 2018, it decreased to 30%, with the fastest rate of change.
The emergence of white people as minorities in many parts of the United States will greatly aggravate the tendency and possibility of independence in these areas. The Anglo Saxon nation in the United States has always had a strong sense of crisis, and its arrogance towards other nations is invincible in the world. This sense of crisis of the Anglo Saxon people to the demographic changes of other ethnic groups in the United States can actually be used. Because of their own sense of crisis, they will try their best to suppress other nations in the United States. Sooner or later, this suppression will arouse other nations to rise up against it.
In fact, the racial problem in the United States is accompanied by the polarization between the rich and the poor. White Americans hold the greatest wealth and power in America. According to the latest data released by the Federal Reserve, at present, the gap between the rich and the poor in the United States is growing. The richest 1% of the personal wealth in the United States is as high as $34.2 trillion, which is 15 times that of more than half of the personal wealth in the United States. In addition, the data also show that the wealth of the 50 richest people in the United States is equivalent to the total wealth of the 165million poorest people in the United States.
We have seen the core reasons for the disintegration of Europe into 44 countries. First, there are no dominant ethnic groups. Second, the strength of all ethnic groups is equal. In this case, at least from the experience of Europe, it can be seen that the United States is highly likely to follow the example of Europe. So how to accelerate the arrival of the domino of the disintegration of the United States? Some areas with only a small percentage of whites will probably be the first to open Pandora’s box.
Finally, the central meaning of this article is reiterated: it is suggested that China and Russia cooperate closely, each has its own division of labor, and seriously consider adopting the strategy of “dragging the United States, exhausting the United States and collapsing the United States”. Stimulate the United States to be competitive, maintain its desires and ideas around the world, make use of the current situation of the United States’ containment and suppression of China and Russia, and attract the United States to invest huge energy and resources to safeguard various status, face and interests. Let the United States focus as much of its resources, human, material and financial resources as possible on the world and China and Russia to compete for the leading position. Let the United States military tired countries, confront tired countries, and let the United States have no time to take care of its own people’s livelihood and economy. At the same time, it should reasonably guide and gather important contradictions in the United States. When domestic contradictions cannot be reconciled, it should take advantage of opportunities to ignite and ignite major contradictions in the United States, so that the United States will collapse from within.