Author: Mingshu source: official account: Mingshu Zatan wechat ID: laomingdashu
The Biden administration of the United States always likes to use “competition” to describe Sino US relations.
However, there are certain rules for “competition”, whether it is sports competition or market competition.
However, the “competition” strategy currently adopted by the United States against China does not abide by any rules. The purpose and means of the United States are very clear, that is, to “integrate” China, so as to ensure the global hegemony of the United States.
The United States has waged trade war, science and technology war, and public opinion war against China, and hyped and provoked Taiwan, Hong Kong, Xinjiang, and other issues, all of which lack basic moral, legal and factual support.
In the final analysis, what the United States has done against China is not “competition” at all. It is the United States that has “dealt a black hand” and “made a stumbling block” to China.
The fundamental purpose of the United States is to suppress China, prevent China from continuing to develop and grow, and prevent China from threatening the United States’ global hegemony.
If China and the United States are really “competing”, the United States should compete with China over which of the two countries’ respective governance systems is more effective? Who is stronger in the long run in terms of the comprehensive national strength of China and the United States based on economic and scientific and technological strength? Who is better off for the people of China and the United States? Who has made greater contributions to world peace, development and prosperity?
From trump to Biden, the two successive administrations of the United States have defined China as the number one strategic competitor of the United States, and even as a potential enemy. However, they dare not compete openly with China on a fair and just basis.
Why?
First, this is caused by the power thinking of western countries for hundreds of years. Although they are full of morality, law, rules and order, in fact, they are full of bad water for others. Moreover, they will do everything possible to achieve the goal of integrating China. This is also the fundamental reason why Sino US relations have been deteriorating over the past five or six years.
Second, they do not have the courage to compete openly with China, nor do they have the confidence to win the game between China and the United States through fair competition. That is why they have to make every effort to use the remaining hegemonic power of the United States and adopt all kinds of unscrupulous means to contain, suppress, encircle and slander China.
In order to achieve the goal of integrating China, the United States mainly has two directions.
The first direction is that the United States intends to launch an “ideological war” by infiltrating China ideologically, and fantasize about subverting and toppling China from within. This is essentially a set of things like peaceful evolution and color revolution.
However, this set of things can play an increasingly limited role in today’s China.
Through its continuous development, China has made the people’s lives better and better, and the “four self-confidence” has been constantly strengthened. However, it is becoming more and more difficult for the United States to support and rely on the public knowledge and other people to deceive the Chinese people.
In addition, through education and publicity, especially through the supervision and crackdown on various harmful and toxic public opinions on the Internet, China has established an effective protective wall in this “ideological war” against China by the United States.
Of course, the “ideological war” of the United States against China will continue all the time. We should always be vigilant. Especially when there are various major public opinions in Chinese society, that is, when the United States takes the opportunity to stir up trouble and create trouble. However, the problems and deficiencies in medical care, education, housing and other aspects of Chinese society often become the material for the United States to launch an “ideological war”.
To deal with the ideological war in the United States, in addition to building a good protective wall, it is more important to continuously improve the governance ability of governments at all levels and truly “take the people as the center”.
The reason is very simple. As long as the life of the Chinese people gets better, no matter how the United States incites and provokes, it will not have any effect.
The second direction for the United States to integrate China is to launch economic war and scientific and technological war in an attempt to limit and damage China’s comprehensive national strength.
At present, the United States has adopted a strategy in the Sino US game: to attack China’s economic and technological development by attacking China’s position in the global industrial chain, supply chain and value chain.
The idea of the United States is very direct. As long as there are problems in China’s economic and scientific and technological development, China’s comprehensive national strength will never catch up with and surpass the United States. In this way, the hegemonic position of the United States will be stable.
How will the United States attack China’s economic and technological development?
Trump chose the simple and crude approach of trade war.
However, since the trump administration unilaterally launched a trade war against China in March 2018, this strategy of the United States has not produced the expected results. Over the past few years, China’s economy and foreign trade have continued to grow, which has strongly supported the continuous improvement of China’s comprehensive national strength.
The Biden administration has continued its trade war with China, which harms others but does not benefit itself. It has also continued the US strategy of imposing sanctions and blockades on China in the high-tech field.
At the same time, since the Biden administration took office more than a year ago, the United States is forming a new strategy in attacking China’s economic and technological development.
First, the United States wants to apply the extreme sanctions against Russia after the conflict between Russia and Ukraine to China.
However, China is not Russia. China’s economy has long been closely linked with the economies of other countries in the world, including the United States, the European Union, Japan, and the Republic of Korea. They all have extensive and in-depth economic and trade ties with China. In general, it is difficult for the United States to decouple itself from China, let alone persuade its allies to decouple from China.
For the United States, the best choice is to create another Asia Pacific version of the “Ukraine crisis”, for example, to induce, induce and force war against China in the Taiwan Strait region, and finally to promote an agreement within the American society and between the United States and its allies on containing China and decoupling from China.
Second, if the United States is not ready to lead, induce and force war in the Taiwan Strait at this stage, it will deliberately create a strategic collision situation between China and the United States and constantly upgrade it, thus creating a dangerous prospect of a full-scale showdown and a complete break between China and the United States in the future, so as to frighten the enterprises of the United States, the European Union, Japan, South Korea and other countries to withdraw from China, or, Even if they cannot be completely evacuated from China, even if they are scared to have to seek to establish an industrial chain, supply chain and value chain system independent of China from now on, the United States can accept it, because it can also attack China’s economic and technological development.
This is the core content of the US “overt plan” against China at this stage.
Can this “overt plot” of the United States be realized?
The United States does want to turn Taiwan into a second Ukraine, but the key point is that Taiwan is not Ukraine.
The biggest difference is that for a long time, China has been widely publicized in the international community and firmly defended the one China principle as one of the preconditions for any country to establish diplomatic relations with China, thus legally determining the basic statement that “Taiwan is a part of China”.
It is precisely for this reason that when China thoroughly solves the Taiwan issue in the future, legally speaking, there is no basis for any country to intervene and sanction China.
Of course, if China completely solves the Taiwan issue, the United States will definitely impose sanctions on China and will also try to mobilize its allies to join the sanctions. However, it is very difficult for the United States to establish a broad “United Front” in the international community as it did with Russia.
Not long ago, speaker of the US House of Representatives Pelosi visited Taiwan. China took advantage of the situation and established a new normal in the Taiwan Strait against the Taiwan independence separatist forces and the United States and other external interference forces. This struggle actually taught the United States a lesson.
Although the United States made a statement against China through the group of seven western countries, and the United States also gathered Japan and Australia to make a statement, the United States should see clearly that Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan was the first provocation, and China firmly defended the one China principle. After that, China’s actions have been recognized, understood and acquiesced by the international community to a large extent. Although all countries may be worried about the outbreak of conflict in the Taiwan Strait, the vast majority of countries do not think that China’s countermeasures are wrong.
This is quite different from the international public opinion atmosphere Russia faced after launching a special military operation against Ukraine.
When the United States launches extreme sanctions against China in the future, it will most rely on the European Union. However, when the European Union is deeply involved in the Ukraine crisis, it obviously does not want to accompany the United States to provoke China on the Taiwan issue, let alone follow the United States to collide with China.
The United States’ attempt to create an anti China atmosphere in the international community through Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan has basically failed, not to mention that so many countries have expressed support for the one China principle through various forms.
In this round of struggle in the Taiwan Strait, the United States provoked first and made mistakes later. It really did not gain any advantage.
As for the saying that some cat and dog politicians in the United States have recently come to Taiwan to “punch in”, these are purely acts of clowns, which have no substantive impact on the situation in the Taiwan Strait.
In the future, the United States will always try to copy the “Ukrainian model” on the Taiwan issue, describing China’s efforts to oppose the separatist forces of Taiwan independence and complete national reunification as “aggression” against Taiwan’s so-called democracy, and then mobilizing its allies to launch extreme sanctions against China, so that China can passively decouple itself from the United States and its allies, thus achieving the goal of attacking China’s economic and technological development.
For China, the key is how to respond.
In order to smash the United States’ attempt to copy the “Ukrainian model” on the Taiwan issue, one key point for China is to continue to widely publicize and firmly defend the one China principle in the international community. Anyone who violates the one China principle and every condemnation, statement, protest and counteraction by China can not immediately complete China’s national reunification, but in fact, they are consolidating the legal basis of the argument that “Taiwan is a part of China and the Taiwan issue is China’s internal affairs” and weakening the legal basis for other countries to impose sanctions on China in the future because China has completely solved the Taiwan issue.
If the United States finds that when China completely solves the Taiwan issue, the United States cannot defeat China militarily, and lacks extensive international support when launching extreme sanctions against China, the United States will have less power to induce, induce and force war in the Taiwan Strait.
In addition to trying to replicate the “Ukraine model” on the Taiwan issue, the United States is also using another strategy to crack down on China’s economic and technological development.
The United States is deliberately creating a dangerous prospect that China and the United States will move towards a full-scale showdown, a complete break, or even a direct military conflict at some time in the future, so as to scare other countries to establish an industrial chain, supply chain and value chain system independent of China from now on, so as to achieve the goal of attacking China’s economic and technological development.
In fact, China has gradually formed a set of coping strategies for this “overt plot” of the United States, which can be further improved in the future.
First, in terms of public opinion, China does not need to avoid the contradictions between China and the United States, but it should continue to dare to fight and be good at fighting. However, China does not need to exaggerate the risks of confrontation and conflict between China and the United States. In particular, it should not give other countries the impression that China is actively seeking a comprehensive showdown and a complete break with the United States, so as to alleviate the worries of other countries about the transfer of supply chain from China due to the fear of Sino US conflict;
Second, in terms of specific strategies, China needs to continue to adhere to the interests binding with the United States, the European Union, Japan, the Republic of Korea and other countries on the basis of deepening reform and opening up, and finally prevent the United States from implementing the decoupling strategy with China by increasing the difficulty and cost of decoupling these countries from China.
Of course, on the one hand, China should try its best to prevent and avoid China’s decoupling from the United States and its allies, but on the other hand, China should also start from the bottom line thinking and prepare for possible decoupling, because the United States is indeed likely to adopt adventurous policies in the future and create a collision between China and the United States through various means, ultimately forcing its allies to choose sides between China and the United States.
From this point of view, it is still vital for China to solve the “bottleneck” problem as soon as possible.
At the same time, China should dare to imagine extreme situations and make preparations for them as soon as possible. For example, if the new cold war really comes, if China is really forced to decouple from the United States and its allies, how and when will China’s dual cycle development pattern be established? What is China’s strategy for emerging markets and developing countries? How can China unite all the people that can be united and finally win the game between China and the United States?
The game between China and the United States is a protracted war, but as we have repeatedly said, the time and potential of the game between China and the United States are on China’s side. As long as they dare to fight and are good at fighting, the US conspiracy, whether it is overt, will eventually go bankrupt.