Source: a bad potato (ID: iamhtd)
I really can’t stand some replies from WeChat yesterday.
Some people can’t turn the corner and obstinately equate the interests of Russia with those of China.
It should be noted that China and Russia are strategic partners rather than strategic allies. There is overlap in their national interests. The biggest point is that they face NATO’s containment at the same time, but it is never said that the interests of China and Russia are completely duplicate.
Russia’s national destiny has never been equated with China’s, nor does it mean that Russia’s war results are completely related to China’s.
What is more intolerable is that people often compare the Korean War to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Let me say a few things:
First, if this comparison is made, it may be the worst time for the Black Volunteers to be black;
Second, what China can do is not necessarily what Russia can do. A simple point is that in 1990, Russia’s GDP was 1.19 trillion US dollars, while China’s GDP was 0.36 trillion US dollars. Russia is nearly three times that of China. What about today?
Does Russia’s poor development prove China’s poor development?
So don’t use the case of China to judge Russia.
Third, if we really want to compare it with the War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea, we won the whole war, but not all the battles in the war were won, and 180 divisions were surrounded. What did we do when there was a problem in a battle? It is to carefully review and adjust the strategy and tactics rather than cover up the facts.
We have also made mistakes in the war to resist US aggression and aid Korea. Why do some people think that Russia has no negligence and is playing chess? Putin is more powerful than Peng Dehuai? Is God of War, always victorious? Not really?
Winning means playing well, losing means playing big chess?
Ignore the facts and listen only to what you like…… It is a matter of daily life for soldiers to win or lose, but it will be more and more difficult to win by escaping from reality.
In fact, at the beginning of the war, we should be clear about the upper and lower limits of the Russian Ukrainian conflict.
The upper limit of the war, Russia played to the extreme, that is, Ukraine changed from a pro American government to a pro Russian government. In the early days, Zerensky organized exile in Europe according to the arrangement of the White House.
The consequence of this is that the international prestige of the United States has suffered a heavy blow again after the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan. The European Union has begun to question the ability of the United States to rule Europe, and its allies have begun to be estranged from the United States. The United States has begun to discount its instructions to Europe, and it is even possible that France may take this as an opportunity to form a European army.
And the consequences will spread to the Asia Pacific region, which will make Cai Ni, Japan and South Korea quiet and start to think about whether they dare to be so close to the United States and not follow the lead of the United States.
Of course, the result is very good, but the problem is that Russia has not achieved this goal.
It’s a pity, but it’s true.
There are many reasons why this goal has not been achieved. Some people say that Russia is fighting against the entire NATO with its own strength.
There is nothing wrong with what I said, but what I said is the same as what I did not say, because it cannot change the outcome of the war and the future situation.
For example, if we failed to fight the war against the United States and aid Korea, would Peng Dehuai give himself reasons:
The other side is the 16 member coalition forces in the world. Our steel production does not even have a fraction of that of the United States. It is normal that I cannot win, but it is not normal that I win.
Fortunately, we won this war. We won it, not only because we stood in the position of justice, but also because the whole army made firm will and determination.
Therefore, no matter how beautiful the situation is, after all, Russia is unable to achieve its goals, so it must accept the reality.
As for Europe being harvested, wool and leeks being harvested, it was doomed at the beginning of the Russian Ukrainian war, and it was also one of the plans of the United States. It had nothing to do with Russia’s fight.
Whether Ukraine can hold on has nothing to do with whether Europe is harvested. There is only one possibility: Russia will quickly take Ukraine, and Europe will lose confidence in sanctions against Russia.
But you can’t think that Putin would be foolish enough to give up large tracts of land and vast wheat fields in Ukraine and deliberately let Russian soldiers fill in, so as to let Europe punish him? Just to earn tens of billions of dollars?
Don’t be so stupid
The lowest limit of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is that although Russia cannot win, it cannot lose. Russia somehow maintains the stability of the political situation. Even if the worst result is the worst, the influence of the Yellow Russia faction and the Russian Communist Party is strengthened, and the United States and Western groups begin to face a more fierce confrontation, Europe will continue to be torn.
This is the lowest limit of the outcome, but this outcome is not unacceptable, because some big eastern country has guaranteed the bottom for Russia, but do we need to do more? For example, India fully supports Russia?
In fact, it is unnecessary and meaningless, otherwise it will go beyond the boundaries between countries.
Quite simply, did Stalin support the volunteer army at the beginning of the war to resist US aggression and aid Korea?
No, not only is there no support, but even the air force is unwilling to send when the volunteer army sends troops.
Why did Stalin do this? It’s because he thinks we can’t win.
But do we think Stalin was “cold-blooded”? No, because it is the same between countries. It is simple. Why should people help us?
Only when the United States reaches the Yalu River and even starts to attack the Northeast, which seriously threatens the border security of the Soviet Union, can it take action.
Finally, why did Stalin completely adjust his direction and almost support power during the first and second campaigns?
Is it Stalin who loves China? That’s bullshit.
Because Stalin thought that we gave 0 points for the lower limit and 20 points for the upper limit, but we gave 2000 points. At this time, he thought that he would be foolish if he didn’t give it × Now
All countries exchange interests. Just like after the Crimean crisis in 2014, Russia thought of selling oil and gas to China, but this round of signing long-term contracts has given us a super surprise price. Russia can say that it hardly earns money, but it can only do so because it doesn’t buy his things in the west.
Will Putin blame us for “falling into a trap”?
Of course not, because who told him not to actively approach us before 2014? I haven’t done it well. Who is obliged to help him when something happens?
Therefore, China and Russia are more concerned with the lower limit of mutual protection. With us and Russia in the east, we will not be surrounded by NATO.
If there is more, it depends on the other party’s achievements.
Just like where India can support Russia, it does not depend on how deep the friendship between India and Russia is, but on whether Russia can prove itself.
If Russia can sweep the European continent, Modi will run to Russia in two or three days. Unfortunately, it is not now. NATO originally thought that Russia could sweep the European continent quickly, but this situation did not occur.
As far as the current situation is concerned, India dare not help if it wants to, because it has proved that Russia has serious problems in its information system.
From the day before yesterday, Russia began to make a series of responses to Kharkov’s withdrawal, including:
Russia reported today that many regions in southeastern Ukraine suffered from power shortages and blackouts later in the day. On the same day, President Zelensky of Ukraine wrote on social media accusing that power failures in many parts of the country were due to Russia’s launch of “key infrastructure” in Ukraine
malice
Missile attacks “.
The adviser to the President’s Office of Ukraine said that the Russian army attacked Kharkov No. 5 Thermal Power Plant and caused a fire there, which is one of the largest thermal power plants in Ukraine.
To put it simply, Russian ships in the Black Sea and Caspian Sea launched several cruise missiles, and many power plants in Ukraine were attacked. Video of the fire has appeared on social media.
At present, six states in Ukraine are in a state of power failure. If not unexpected, power failure will continue in the future.
Many people asked how the future would go, and whether this could become a turning point in the Russian Ukrainian war?
Unfortunately, not really.
In the early days of the war, the Russian army should completely destroy Ukraine’s infrastructure within a week, at least including roads, bridges, water plants, power plants, communication networks
Of course, many people say that it’s too cold for you to do this, which will affect the life of Ukrainians. They can’t brush TIKTOK, watch TV plays, and have no water to drink
Well, just be happy. Since you can’t bear to bear the hardships of the Ukrainian brothers, let’s use the lives of Russian soldiers to fill in.
Unfortunately, Russia did not destroy the infrastructure of the other side at the beginning of the war. If it did, the effect would be 100 in February, but only 10 today.
Today, more than 200 days after the Russian Ukrainian war, Ukraine has basically no problems in water, electricity, communications and transportation, and has not suffered major damage. This is seriously contrary to the common sense of war.
There are three reasons for this.
First, in the early days of the war, Russia was too dismissive of the enemy. It believed that it could quickly take down Ukraine and organize a pro Russian government. If so, reconstruction was needed after the destruction. Russia wanted to quickly take over these transportation and facilities, but the result was not as expected.
In other words, if Russia set fire to Kiev in the early days, it is very likely that Kiev would collapse directly, because a city without infrastructure is a reinforced concrete tomb. In addition, Kiev’s military strength is not as fierce as that of the Yasu Battalion, and it is even possible that Kiev would surrender before taking down Maliupol.
The second reason is that the United States controlled the public opinion on the premise that the requirements were not met in the early stage. Under such an environment, the concentration of fire on infrastructure will inevitably lead to a certain humanitarian disaster. Putin has not been prepared to face the consequences. The more he delays, the more the resistance will of the Ukrainian army will change. He believes that the Russian army is not invincible, and the cost of subsequent bombing will be higher.
The third reason is that Russia is short of armaments and does not envisage such a lasting war.
Note: Once again, whether Europe is harvested or not has no inevitable connection with Russia. The root is that Europe foolishly punishes itself with sanctions against Russia. Even if Russia wins Ukraine, can Europe escape the fate of being harvested?
In this state, Russia lacks precision guided missiles and cannot completely destroy Ukrainian facilities.
In fact, after the sinking of the Moscow and the bombing of the airport, Russia bombed Ukraine’s infrastructure, but it was really of little use.
According to relevant media reports, a total of 18 missiles were launched against Ukraine yesterday, of which 9 were intercepted and 9 hit the target.
Ukraine covers an area of 600000 square kilometers. If you want to completely destroy the infrastructure, this kind of attack is far from enough. At least two zeros will be added to it.
You should know that when the United States bombed Belgrade, 31000 depleted uranium bombs were used alone… And they came up and attacked hard. For 78 consecutive days, all the power systems were paralyzed, 12 railways were destroyed, 50 bridges were bombed, 20 hospitals were destroyed, 40% of the oil depots and 30% of the radio and television stations were damaged
The current situation of the Russian army…… Unless there are 18 missiles every day, it may still be useful.
Therefore, the current bombing is more about venting anger than strategic bombing.
Ah, that’s it.
It’s not much worse than that. If Russia loses, it will certainly not lose, because India, the great eastern country, has guaranteed him the bottom.
But it’s not too good. It’s hard to win completely. The subsequent result is basically doomed, that is, continue to tear in the east of Uzbekistan, while Europe will continue to be harvested.
In fact, for us, under the premise that Russia’s ability is doomed, that’s all… After all, we don’t need a hairy bear full of blood.
At this time, it is impossible for the United States to peacefully evolve Russia. At most, a stronger government will emerge.
After all, our national rejuvenation has never been expected to rely on anyone. It would be great if it could only be further enhanced.
Don’t worry too much about Russia’s win or lose. He can’t lose either.
To say the least, what if we lose? Did you think China panicked when the Soviet Union collapsed?
Again, don’t compare foreign troops with volunteer troops. There is no comparison at all.