Author: Villa Leader Source: Mikuangtouzi Investment (ID: mikuangtouzi)
Foreword: In fact, I have been struggling for a long time about whether this article will be published today. Many we media friends who have read the articles have urged me not to speak out, because the current public opinion environment makes this article vulnerable to online violence.
But I thought again and again, and decided to publish it, because in this Internet environment, as long as it is about the epidemic, it is basically difficult to accommodate rational space except for inciting emotions.
As those friends said, this is the era of “Donglin gentlemen”.
However, I think it is still necessary for some eunuchs to speak some rational truth. I am ready to be scolded here, but
If you are facing difficulties, but still have some sense, please read the full text before cursing, thank you!
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At present, the gentlemen who ask for orders for the people online attribute the life difficulties encountered by most of their friends to the “unscientific nature” of the epidemic control, and advocate that as long as we fully open up, fully infected, and immunized the whole people, everyone can live a good life.
As for the unscientific nature of this argument, I have not yet found any article that is convincing through truth telling, so I am not ready to comment.
However, the result of this argument is that most friends really begin to place their hopes of getting out of the predicament on the end of the epidemic and the closure of the control!
It is believed that the closure and control led to its own predicament.
But here, I would like to explain a content of anti emotion to you: thinking that it is blocking and controlling that leads to difficulties, and pinning hope on full liberalization and free immunity is actually the most unreasonable logical state!
But after careful consideration, does this trend of thought and expectation have any real significance for us to get out of the predicament under the epidemic situation?
I don’t think it is of any substantial help. In fact, there are only two advantages to making such remarks:
First, it can earn enough traffic and RMB for the big V on the “unblocked public opinion industry chain”.
The second is to let the people at the bottom of the plight find a channel to vent their anger and a target for abuse.
Emotional conflict, economic income decline and other objective results are disturbing, which is the fertile soil for the formation of the current “public opinion industry chain”.
But is our dilemma really caused by containment?
The so-called “low mortality rate of Omicron” is based on the fact that tens of millions of people have died in the West, and the damned people are almost the same.
China has not yet passed the first round of “elimination”, and we are not only facing Omikjon, but also many other varieties, which have been suppressed just because of the containment policy.
The consequence of the “mass elimination” of free immunization must be the collapse of the supply of social resources. At least, the medical resources will collapse. China has never been a place with abundant and balanced medical resources, has it?
Can we really usher in a new life when the social order is out of control?
Since ancient times, we have never heard of the case that “turbulence can bring more happiness to the bottom people than order”.
But today, I’m not going to argue against the “unblocking of the public opinion industry chain”. There are too many vested interests in this chain and too many celebrities. I can’t afford to be provoked.
So I would like to tell you about the “containment dilemma” we encountered from another perspective.
After careful consideration, the current dilemma faced by most people is not the dilemma of containment, but the dilemma of being unable to adapt to the work and business model under the epidemic environment, right?
Is it the environment that shapes our predicament, or the actions we take when the environment changes that shape our predicament?
We should believe that “let go
Saved “,
Or should we believe that “only by saving ourselves can we be saved”?
If we do not think about this problem, do not recognize the objective law that “action determines results”, but place our hopes on an external probability that is not transferred by personal will at all, and has no control of its own.
How can we redeem ourselves without seeking self salvation?
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My job is to be a professional securities dealer. My daily research is: how to obtain stable income through their own controllable behavior in the uncontrollable volatility of the securities market.
I also use the stock to make an analogy.
When we place our hopes on “openness” and shift the responsibility to the society.
In fact, it is the same as many retail investors who hold a dead stock and hope to be liberated by “carrying it to the end” or “good news”, and hope to have a big V to help him scold the main force, scold the regulators for their ideas and difficulties!
The rise and fall of stocks are not transferred by the individual will of individual investors. When the epidemic ends and the evolution of containment policies are not transferred by the individual will.
The stock you hold is falling, and the social economic environment is bottoming out, which is not an external factor that can be changed by the will of ordinary participants.
When the stock falls, how much we will lose has nothing to do with how much this ticket will fall.
What really determines your profit and loss is your action decision and handling plan in the process of stock falling.
Even if the stock you have bought has dropped or withdrawn from the market, your loss is the largest, which is within the scope of your risk control agreement. Unless you take no action at all, your profit and loss will be related to the rise and fall of the stock!
Action decides the result, which is the core essence of all problems. In the same market, some people die, some cry and some laugh.
The basic reason for different results in the same environment is that we have different action choices, isn’t it?
And the two most deadly thoughts of leeks.
First: It is the fault of the CSRC, the main force, the capital, the leadership, the society and the teacher with the disk. It is not my fault anyway!
All the results were attributed to others. Even if he went to various teachers, he did not go to find solutions, but to find comfort in his heart.
What he wants is not pertinent evaluation suggestions. He just wants to hear what he wants to hear from the teacher and seek peace of mind to reduce some psychological pressure, doesn’t he?
Think about it. Is it exactly the same as the plight of individual investors when we are driven by the rhythm of “de sealing the industrial chain” every day and frantically attribute our current predicament to others without thinking about how to adapt to the fundamental changes in the social structure?!
Second: retail investors have no action outline, no action logic, and do not understand the simplest truth of “action determines results”. They do not know why they make money or lose money. Most of their purchases and sales are driven by the emotions of “wanting to make money” and “afraid of loss”.
So the result is that when encountering a bull market, you can drink soup, and when encountering a bear market, you can lose until you die.
Just like the current situation of many people, in the bull era of China’s macroeconomic growth from 2008 to 20, we were lucky enough to buy an apartment, but unlucky enough to drink soup.
Now China has entered a high level of shock, and immediately entered a bear market dilemma.
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Many people scolded the society, the Internet economy, and Yang Ma before the epidemic came!
When the epidemic comes, we scold ZF, the closure and control, and the Chinese leaders who do not understand the economy
Here, I sincerely beg you to keep your sense, or friends who can keep a little sense!
Please start thinking for yourself and examine your current emotional situation and logical thinking.
Whether our dissatisfaction and attacks on the closure and control are the same as those before the epidemic when we scolded the central government and the Internet economy for squeezing entities.
Our current thinking of “negative emotions and invalid sustenance”, which is now being hyped up by the industrial chain, is that “it is the closure and control that has harmed me”, after careful analysis and induction, and strict sorting out the logical relationship, or is it that we just need to scold each other and shirk the responsibility?
Is there any difference that can be summarized and referred to between the conclusion that “it is the closure that harmed me” and the conclusion that “it is the Internet that harmed me” at that time?
Having said this, I sincerely invite you to conduct a rational self-examination.
Seriously think, starting from the underlying logic of our actions, whether the decision of “looking forward to the cancellation of closure and control policies” is reasonable!!!
If we want to get out of the predicament and the current unfavorable situation, is it more important to place hope and vent our discontent, or is it more practical to take the initiative to adapt to environmental changes and strive to break the situation ourselves?
We should know that our enemy is not a containment policy, but a viral epidemic. The main reason for our predicament is not the social environment, but our own action decisions.
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We must acknowledge that the epidemic and the digital era have permanently changed the way our society operates from the most fundamental underlying structure.
This change will be no less than the replacement of the social class in the reform and opening up that year. No matter what the times become, we can’t decide. What we can decide is whether to actively become a profit-making producer or passively become a consumed production material in this change.
So please don’t focus on “when to unseal” again. The idea of “waiting” was wrong at the beginning. This kind of thinking can only sacrifice itself and light up those gentlemen who ask for orders for the people.
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So I don’t have the lofty integrity of the East Forest gentry. I only pay attention to the wine and meat in the lives of ordinary people, so please bring back the focus and ideas!!!
The key point is: no matter how long the epidemic lasts, whether the closure and control will continue or not, and whether the gentlemen are just or unjust, we should think about how to find our own power point under this condition, learn to use production tools adapted to the epidemic environment, and improve our ability to resist risks and income.