This year marks the 75th anniversary of India’s liberation from British colonial rule. It also happens that this year, India’s GDP has completely surpassed that of Britain and become the fifth largest in the world.
The once “great Yin Empire” is now reduced to “little six”.
As early as 2005, China’s GDP completely surpassed that of Britain, but it surpassed France, Britain and Germany for three consecutive years at that time, without causing a national sensation.
However, for India, after the national chaos in the early days of the epidemic, its economy has fully surpassed the former “suzerain state”, which makes the Indian people excited and bursting with national self-confidence.
In recent days, foreign ministers, finance ministers, officials from all parties and the Ministry of Commerce and industry, including Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, have expressed their confidence in the economy in the next 20 years or so.
Indian netizens began to ridicule British netizens on international social platforms, and British media even voiced the voice of “replacing Britain as the five permanent members of the United Nations”.
The “national fanaticism” brought about by India’s economic growth is bound to be launched outward to the leading brother and former “suzerain” of the entire British Commonwealth, which is a new direction worthy of attention.
First, India’s economy enhances national confidence
Just as the so-called people’s pockets are full of pride.
The same applies to one country.
According to the statistics of the International Monetary Fund, in the fourth quarter of last year, India’s GDP has exceeded that of the United Kingdom.
By the first quarter of this year, India’s nominal GDP was 854.7 billion US dollars, while the UK’s first quarter figure was 816 billion US dollars.
What makes the British people “worried” is that the GDP of the UK declined by 0.1% month on month in the second quarter, in sharp contrast to the strong growth of India.
What is more striking is that according to the forecast of the international monetary organization, India’s GDP growth this year will reach 7.4%, becoming the first cliff among G20 countries.
The economic growth rate of 7.4% is indeed not worth mentioning compared with China’s high growth in the past decade or so. However, in the post epidemic era, after India’s GDP has reached the fifth largest in the world, there is still a 7.4% growth rate of the world’s major powers, and Indians are indeed qualified to revel.
After India’s economy surpassed that of Britain, most of the world’s media are predicting how many years India will take to overtake Germany and Japan to become the third largest in the world.
But it is clear that Indians have more ambitions than that.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra modi said in his public speech that India’s next goal is to become a moderately developed country by 2047.
Taking India’s population size and multiplying it by the per capita GDP of moderately developed countries, this economic aggregate is already quite amazing.
However, Prime Minister modi’s statement is already the most “low-key” and rational statement in India.
India’s finance minister predicted that India’s economy would grow by double digits in the next few years.
Officials from India’s Ministry of Commerce and industry even predicted that by 2047, India’s economy would become the second largest in the world, accounting for 25% of the global GDP.
If it is said that at the official level, most of them are immersed in self praise, Indian netizens have crossed the border and fought with British netizens.
Compared with India’s fastest economic growth this year, the UK is stuck in the mire of stagnant growth but soaring inflation.
Britain’s GDP fell into a month on month recession in the second quarter, and its inflation CPI exceeded 9%.
In contrast to inflation, the British pound is not awesome, not only falling sharply against the US dollar, but also falling by 9% compared with the Indian rupee.
Such bad economic data, of course, makes the old white man in Britain crazy in the face of India.
India is not economically strong. They have begun to seek political rights and interests.
In the past 75 years, although India broke away from British colonial rule, it still claimed to be an important member of the British Commonwealth.
In the field of sports, India will also take part in the Commonwealth Games to win the championship, which is regarded as an important competition next to the Olympic Games.
Now the British economy is in recession, and Northern Ireland and Scotland are all striving for independence within Britain.
Once Britain scores three points, India certainly thinks that England is no longer qualified to be the core representative of the Commonwealth.
Nowadays, India has the largest population. In recent years, Indian people have become “anti colonial Britain”, occupying half of the British political arena.
Once the British economy stalls and politics splits, India naturally wants to carry the banner of “Commonwealth orthodoxy”.
As a result, the voice of “India replacing Britain and representing the Commonwealth countries to the permanent five members of the United Nations” appeared among the Indian people and the media.
Second, Britain once supported “EU” to replace France’s five permanent seats
India replacing Britain as the permanent five members of the United Nations?
Although the “great Yin Empire” has been dying repeatedly and declining in recent years, the system after World War II will not have such “dramatic changes”.
However, this “dramatization” is precisely “directed by Britain itself”.
In the first half of this year, many countries in the EU suddenly voiced their unanimous hope that France would “relinquish its voting rights in the five permanent members of the United Nations”.
After the UK left the EU, France became the only country in the EU that ranked among the five permanent members of the United Nations.
Therefore, many small EU countries proposed that France should give up this “permanent seat of the five” to the EU.
France can continue to be a member of the five permanent members of the United Nations, but it is listed as a “representative country of EU Member States”.
This “brain hole” of small European countries has created a precedent that “a country represents an alliance, and dozens of countries are among the P5”.
This proposal makes France very passive and embarrassing. If it is rejected by words, it will hurt the centripetal force of EU countries. If there is any “ambiguity and compromise”, there will be many similar “sausage cutting proposals” in the future.
While France was thinking about how to fool the past, Britain jumped out of the box and supported this “European democracy bill”.
After all, this proposal can prove the correctness of Britain’s early brexit, otherwise Britain’s permanent five seats will also be remembered.
Now that Britain has left the EU, anyway, what EU countries want to share is France’s seat. Britain doesn’t mind the fuss, and immediately adds fuel to its support.
The characteristics of Britain’s excrement stirring stick were clearly demonstrated in the event of “the EU replacing France’s five permanent seats”.
However, another characteristic of Britain’s “excrement stirring stick” is that it is easy to be backfired.
Britain advocates color revolution all over the world, does not respect the sovereignty of other countries, and wantonly supports national division. Now, it is being attacked by the split of Northern Ireland and Scotland.
Britain has opened a Pandora’s box of “alliance of dozens of countries to replace one house country seat” on the issue of the five permanent seats of France.
According to this logic, India, with a stronger economy and a larger population, is fully qualified to be the representative of “all Commonwealth countries in the five permanent members of the United Nations”.
The United Kingdom can destroy France’s permanent five seats behind its back, and other countries can also support India on this basis, demoting the United Kingdom as a vassal of the Commonwealth countries!
Third, India should be encouraged to take aim at the West
In the past few years, India, Japan, Brazil, South Africa and other countries have all along sought to increase the seats of the five permanent members of the United Nations by taking advantage of the momentum of United Nations reform.
Although the five permanent members of the United Nations openly support more “democratic” reform of the United Nations, they are all “cautious” about increasing the number of permanent members and the veto power.
Each of the five permanent members of the United Nations gives a green light to some countries to “join the permanent membership” on different diplomatic occasions, but in the final vote, every time one of the five permanent members opposes.
Therefore, India, Japan and Germany must all see that the current P5 is an international order formed after World War II, and every country is fought with blood and fire.
It is impossible for these countries to reap the fruits and increase their seats.
However, with its own strength, if one of the five permanent members splits or collapses, and emerging countries replace one of them, such “resistance” will be much smaller than increasing seats.
In the past few years, India has often been provoked to confront China, and the main imaginary enemy of the Indian people is also China.
This time, India’s GDP surpassed that of Britain, which is also an opportunity for India, a “divided and pluralistic society”, to realize that western power is the real enemy blocking India’s greater geographical interests and higher political status.
Therefore, the fanatical voice of “replacing Britain” broke out among the Indian people. We can encourage this ambition.
Of course, we do not fully support San Ge to become the most fanatical provocative force in the world. The impact on the whole world system and the global division of labor is also unfavorable to us.
But Britain is sharpening its knives at us and likes to play “subversive tricks”. Once India’s national fanaticism is aroused, it is easy to stir up trouble at the border again.
These two countries can only break out the “Commonwealth orthodoxy” battle. Although Britain is in decline, it still has the ability to “play tricks and balance offshore” for hundreds of years.
The fire of third brother’s nationalism has been kindled, burning to the British Empire. Only by confronting the most decadent colonial empire can we benefit the whole world!