Author: Xia Feijun source: feijunsixianghui (id:feijunsixianghui)
In recent days, the whole network has been paying attention to Abe’s assassination. While Abe was assassinated, many important new changes have taken place in the situation in Ukraine and Europe, with unusual signals.
The following things can be seen together.
On July 9, Italian media reported that Germany prevented the EU from providing 9billion euros of assistance to Ukraine. It is reported that Germany has blocked EU aid to Ukraine for more than a month, and Germany has approved only 1billion euros of the original 9billion euros of aid.
On July 9, Zelensky dismissed five ambassadors abroad, and Andry melinick, Ambassador to Germany, was on the list, and ranked first.
On July 10, the German daily mirror broke the scandal of drugging the German Social Democratic Party. At least nine women were drugged at an internal party of the Social Democratic Party. German Chancellor Scholz attended the party.
The time period should be longer.
On July 5, the German Federal Bureau of statistics released data that Germany’s foreign trade deficit in May was 1billion euros, which was the first time that Germany had a trade deficit since 1991. It is extremely rare for a traditional manufacturing power to have a trade deficit. It is generally believed that this is a signal that Germany’s economy is in recession, and as the economic engine of Europe and the leader of the euro zone, Germany’s trade deficit will inevitably affect the euro.
On July 7, Prime Minister Huang Mao announced his resignation, and the Johnson cabinet actually collapsed. Britain became the first major country to collapse the government due to the retaliation of sanctions against Russia.
What is the connection between these things? Let’s smooth it out.
The collapse of the British government is no different from an earthquake for European politics. Because the sanctions against Russia led to retaliation, the economy suffered serious difficulties, which is now a common problem in European countries. Germany, in particular, has a much more serious problem than Britain. It also bears the heavy burden of the European Union and the bulk of its assistance to Ukraine.
German Chancellor Scholz looks weak and has little courage, but he is still a sensible person. For the sake of the German economy and in order not to repeat the mistakes of Prime Minister Huang Mao, Scholz stopped the aid to Ukraine and no longer acted as a wrongdoer, because the EU aid loan to Ukraine was guaranteed by Germany, and if Ukraine lost, Germany would repay the money for him.
Once the war between Russia and Ukraine is protracted, huge aid to Ukraine and the energy crisis, coupled with the United States taking the opportunity to harvest, the German economy is really in danger. The first trade deficit in 30 years is a strong signal. Once the economy has serious problems, Scholz is the next yellow hair.
Just as the dollar is the core interest of the United States, the euro is also the core interest of Europe and Germany. Who hates the euro most? Is it China? Is it Russia? Of course not, but the United States. From the perspective of the hegemonic logic of the United States, any currency that threatens the dollar is an enemy.
In order to maintain the status and strength of the euro, Germany must maintain the advantages of manufacturing and industrial power. The backfire effect of sanctions against Russia, the energy crisis and value diplomacy have seriously impacted the German economy. The first trade deficit in 30 years is bad news for Germany, the European Union and the euro.
Once the German economy suffers a setback, the euro will lose its economic foundation. Who is the happiest then? America, of course.
Recently, there is another news as important as Germany’s first trade deficit – BASF Group, the German chemical giant and the world’s largest chemical complex, may stop production due to lack of gas.
According to German media reports, BASF executives said that if the natural gas supply fell further, they would have to shut down some factories.
BASF plant in Ludwigshafen, Germany
If BASF closes the chemical plant, it will affect Germany’s glass, steel, chemicals, ceramics, food and textile industries. BASF is the upstream of the industrial chain, providing basic raw materials for downstream enterprises. Once the upstream stops production, the whole industrial chain will be seriously impacted. Its impact will go far beyond the chemical industry itself. At the time of high inflation and slow growth, it will threaten the entire German economy, and then affect the entire European economy.
Therefore, the wind direction in Europe is changing, from strongly supporting Ukraine to forcing Ukraine to stop the peace talks.
Preventing aid to Ukraine is a kind of coercion. The withdrawal of Uzbekistan’s ambassador to Germany is also directly related to this matter. If the alms are not awesome, the monk will naturally bear the responsibility. Moreover, this ambassador also has a lot of controversy in Germany. In order to ask for money, he often makes extreme remarks and threatening remarks. The Germans have been unhappy with him for a day or two.
Andry melinik, former ambassador of Ukraine to Germany
Let’s look at the attitude of the United States. Of course, the United States does not want the armistice and peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, does not want the war to end so soon, and wants to continue to harvest allies. Therefore, it is very dissatisfied with Germany, so it asked someone to disclose the scandal of Scholz’s private party drugging. At the same time, he directed Ukraine to recall its ambassador, pretended to be a victim in the media, and took the initiative to disclose that Germany blocked the loan, putting pressure on Scholz on both sides.
In addition, the United States provoked Lithuania to blockade Kaliningrad and intensified the contradiction between Europe and Russia, which is also interfering with the German led reconciliation action.
Briefly summarize the U.S. policy towards Europe – kidnapping and extortion of European countries, sniping at the euro, breaking up the unity of the European Union, curbing the rise of Germany and France, ensuring that NATO will permanently become a noose and a dog chain in Europe, and maintaining U.S. control over Europe at all costs… These established strategies will not be loosened or changed at all!
As for that weird party drugging incident, it doesn’t matter whether it happened or not. The public only need to believe it. I can’t help roast. Can you change your script? Why do you always do this kind of lower body thing? It’s too uninspired.
In a word, the seemingly monolithic West has cracks, undercurrents have surged under the table, and contradictions will not be made public for long.
Putin is not a vegetarian. He sees the bedfellows of the United States and Europe. Next, he must raise the price and continue to play the energy card, aggravating the European economic crisis and forcing Europe and the United States to turn against him. Of course, the United States is not reconciled, and will certainly use various means to hold down the EU. The EU will continue to lose blood and be slaughtered in the Russian American game and tear.
There are two prospects for the future. If France and Germany have a pee and courage, and come up with a few Gaullist figures, or a hard and hard American emperor, then the North Atlantic alliance will be over; If France and Germany continue to linger and continue to be slaughtered as fat pigs, then the EU will be finished.
In short, NATO and the European Union will definitely die before Russia and Ukraine finish their fight.
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