Original: Zhanhao source official account: Zhanhao wechat id:zhanhao668
Just now, China and the United States have had another fierce confrontation!
According to Xinhua news agency, on June 13 local time, Yang Jiechi, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and director of the office of the Central Foreign Affairs Working Committee, met with Sullivan, assistant to the US president for national security affairs, in Luxembourg. The two sides had frank, in-depth and constructive communication and exchanges on China US relations and other issues of common concern, and agreed to strengthen contact and dialogue, reduce misunderstanding and miscarriage of justice, and properly manage and control differences with the implementation of the important consensus reached by the two heads of state as the main line. Both sides believe that it is necessary and beneficial to maintain smooth communication channels.
This piece of news has a deep background.
First of all, this is another important meeting of the higher leadership in a short time after the meeting between the defense ministers of China and the United States. At the same time, it was also an important meeting between China and the United States after the Chinese Defense Minister stated to the United States and the world that China would “fight to the end at all costs, regardless of war” on the Taiwan issue. To put it bluntly, this is just another communication between China and the United States after a hard encounter.
Secondly, this is the second meeting between Yang Jiechi and Sullivan after nearly three months. On March 15, the two sides held such a meeting in Rome. The “consensus” reached by the two sides at that time was basically the same as this time. There has been no substantive change in China US relations.
Third, the frank, in-depth and constructive communication and exchanges between the two sides showed that the two sides did not hide their concerns and opinions completely and deeply. Finally, they agreed to strengthen contact and dialogue, reduce misunderstanding and miscarriage of justice, and properly manage and control differences with the implementation of the important consensus reached by the two heads of state as the main line. This shows that neither side has convinced the other. Finally, they can only return to the “consensus” and continue to do their own things. Both sides ultimately believe that it is necessary and beneficial to maintain smooth communication channels, which in fact means that both sides recognize the strength of the other side and know the risks of such a game, so it is necessary to emphasize the importance of “communication”, but at least these have no substantive significance for the transformation of China US relations, and it is impossible to see the transformation of China US relations now.
At the meeting, the Chinese side also warned the US side once again that China US relations are at a critical crossroads and the US should be cautious in its words and deeds.
How can China US relations be maintained? The three principles of mutual respect, peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation put forward by the Chinese head of state are the correct way for China and the United States to get along in the future. There is no other way. This is China’s clear attitude.
Finally, Chinese leaders stressed to the United States that China’s position on safeguarding national sovereignty and territorial integrity is unequivocal and unswerving. No other country can interfere in China’s internal affairs, and any act that obstructs or undermines China’s national reunification is bound to be a complete failure. The Taiwan issue concerns the political foundation of China US relations. If it is not properly handled, it will have a subversive impact. Not only does this risk exist, but it will continue to rise as the United States pursues “using Taiwan to control China” and the Taiwan authorities pursue “relying on the United States for independence”. The US side should not have any misjudgments or illusions. It must abide by the one China principle and the provisions of the three Sino US joint communiques, and must carefully and properly handle Taiwan related issues. Yang Jiechi also clarified China’s solemn position on issues related to Xinjiang, Hong Kong, Tibet, the South China Sea, human rights and religion.
This statement seems to be a “routine”, but the game between China and the United States has now entered the deep-water area. The struggle is not only everywhere, but more importantly, the space for turning around each other is becoming smaller and smaller. The so-called high-level meeting between China and the United States is to fill each other’s gaps.
Why did the Chinese Defense Minister make a statement to the US defense minister that “we will fight to the end at all costs, regardless of war”? The root cause is that the US government has taken too many actions on the Taiwan Strait issue recently. It has reached the red line and is breaking through China’s bottom line. In this case, China has issued a warning to the United States, telling the United States that China is not only determined, but also bound to take action.
China’s direct expression during the meeting between the defense ministers of the two countries actually helps the United States understand the bottom line of China’s Taiwan policy and helps maintain peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. To put it bluntly, China is emphasizing the red line for the United States. Where can we cross the line? Or there are serious consequences.
After China released a strong message to the US side, China and the us immediately held a summit in Europe. This is not an accidental arrangement, but a deliberate act. The reason is also very simple. In the view of the United States, the Chinese leaders will certainly express their position with the incense club before the incense club. The United States can immediately follow up and communicate with the Chinese leaders after the incense club, so as to obtain further information and repair some relations.
For example, before and at the incense conference, China’s position was very strong, which was a counter measure and position taken against the recent actions of the United States, or a clear expectation for the United States. China’s statement clearly has the background of the recent series of us actions. When we look at this high-level meeting in Europe, the United States further emphasized its response to China’s concerns, especially the so-called “results” of “agreeing to implement the main line of important consensus reached by the two heads of state, strengthen contact and dialogue, reduce misunderstandings and miscalculations, and properly manage and control differences”. It is obvious that the United States is echoing China’s demands for the stability of China US relations.
The United States needs the stability of China US relations, which is actually part of the so-called security “fence” of the United States, that is, it will not uncontrollably break out conflicts between China and the United States. Will the United States therefore stop its provocative actions? According to Zhanhao (wechat official account: Zhanhao), it certainly won’t, so the action will continue.
For China, these statements of the United States are also meaningful, because China’s emphasis on this time and again has been broken through by the United States again and again, which means that China has a reason to counter. Of course, China knows that the United States will not abide by the consensus reached at the meeting, but China needs the United States’ repeated “commitments” to occupy more and more moral initiatives. In the future, once the situation is broken, China will firmly occupy the moral commanding height.
In fact, the fierce exchanges between China and the United States are different from those in the past. In the past, communication was implicit and flexible. Now, on the contrary, it is direct and the elastic space is small. It seems that the two sides have reached some important consensus at this meeting, but when we look carefully, there is no real substantive content of the bilateral consensus to ease relations and stabilize bilateral relations. It is all a “delaying strategy”. Objectively, such “delaying tactics” are also their own needs, but the need for such a compromise by both sides shows that in fact, there is very little room for turning around.
Can such a meeting between China and the United States allow the United States to temporarily restrain itself from the Taiwan Strait issue?
According to Zhanhao (wechat official account: Zhanhao), this is completely impossible, because the security “fence” pursued by the United States is one-way, that is, one-way “security” for the United States, which provides a security guarantee for the United States to provoke China, not for the United States to provide a security guarantee for China. This so-called one-way “fence” is doomed to be impossible.
Under such circumstances, in the face of increasingly fierce US provocations, China’s counter-measures are bound to become stronger and stronger, and more and more measures are bound to be taken. It is this expectation that makes it particularly important to “strengthen contact and dialogue, reduce misunderstanding and miscarriage of justice, and properly manage and control differences”. Because if there is no such dialogue, the possibility of miscarriage of justice will increase, and the differences may get out of control and turn into direct conflict.
Therefore, this is actually a kind of safety “fence”. The United States regards this as a “fence” to avoid conflicts. China regards this as a “fence” to prevent conflicts as much as possible in the case of counter-measures, or a “fence” to make the United States more restrained through counter-measures.
For China and the United States, it is in the common interests of both sides to maintain a phased struggle between China and the United States. The logic of this phased struggle without breaking is that it can avoid the conflict between China and the United States as much as possible and improve the suddenness of China’s actions once the U.S. behavior breaks the red line in the future.
Just like Zhanhao in China, no matter what war! No matter what the cost (click the blue word to check) as analyzed, since China said that “we will fight to the end at all costs, regardless of war”, it shows that China has prepared for the worst and is fully prepared. Having made full preparations, China is still doing its utmost to maintain peace and stability. This is both China’s sincerity and China’s efforts to strive for greater space for peace. Of course, once it cannot be maintained, with the foreshadowing in front, China will be thunderous.
Do not underestimate the fact that such communication between China and the United States has not made substantive progress, nor can it play a role in reversing the development direction of China US relations. However, it is still of great significance for China US relations to remain relatively stable and the region to remain relatively peaceful. Without such a meeting, China and the United States are prone to miscarriage of justice, and both sides and the world will pay an unnecessary price for it. Obviously, this is not in line with the current strategic and practical interests of both sides.
The game between China and the United States continues. Fierce exchanges are inevitable and will become more and more intense. In this context, each of us needs to recognize the reality of the United States and China US relations, and be prepared for the most extreme situation that may break with the United States at some point! China will definitely hold its bottom line. When peace cannot be held, it can only choose another way that China is unwilling to choose!