Original: Housha Source WeChat official account: Housha has been authorized to reprint
As is well known, there is a Mongolian state sandwiched between China and Russia, and Mongolia’s neighboring countries are only China and Russia.
Mongolia’s geographical location determines that it can only have a way out and develop through close cooperation with China and Russia.
When Sino Soviet relations deteriorated, Mongolia was very painful.
Currently, China and Russia maintain a high-level cooperative relationship, which is definitely a golden period for Mongolia’s development.
However, Mongolia does not seem to accept its fate. It wants to find a strong “third neighbor” – the United States and its allies.
On May 21st, French President Marcon visited Mongolia after concluding the G7 summit in Japan, with the main agenda of both sides being cooperation in mineral and agricultural resources.
Also mentioned NATO affairs, how can Mongolia get involved with NATO?
You may not expect that as early as 2012, Mongolia became a “partner country” of NATO.
On November 22 of the same year, Mongolia became the 57th full member state of the OSCE, openly proclaiming the banner of “leaving Asia and entering Europe”.
With such a deep margin, it is natural for Makron to discuss the NATO issue with Mongolia.
After Makron left, the Americans immediately followed.
On May 30, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Lambert of the United States visited Mongolia, bringing with him Cui Yongjun, Director of the Department of Northeast Asia of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Korea. The United States and the Republic of Korea held talks with officials of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Mongolia.
What they talked about, both the United States and Mongolia were vague, but the South Korean Foreign Ministry released a relatively clear message: “Three countries with common values will contribute to strengthening the rule-based international order and contribute to the Indo Pacific strategy of safeguarding regional freedom, peace, and prosperity
The South Korean Ministry of Foreign Affairs also stated that the tripartite meeting will be held on a regular basis.
Having common values “is a slogan to show loyalty to the United States, which is now nauseating to hear.
There is also the “rule-based international order”, which is Antony Blinken’s pet phrase, mainly used to blame China and Russia.
The most outrageous thing is the “Indo Pacific Strategy”. How should Mongolia cooperate with the United States’ “Indo Pacific Strategy”? Is the Mongolian navy about to appear? Is Yu Qian’s father-in-law finally taking office?
Having received the “Democracy” certification from the United States and the “Common Values” medal, Mongolia feels that China and Russia are no longer worthy of it. Makron also praised Mongolia in person for having “democratic elections” and “party rotations”. It’s amazing that Ulaanbaatar has become noble.
Mongolia claims to have completed a “democratic transition”, but since 1991, no government has been able to complete its term. Nearly 20 prime ministers have been replaced, and behind this lies appalling corruption.
On December 5th last year, demonstrations broke out in Ulaanbaatar for three consecutive days, with thousands of people storming the government building “National Palace” and demanding the dissolution of parliament. The protest organizers claim that officials and lawmakers have stolen and divided up billions of dollars in coal profits.
Last year, Mongolia’s GDP was less than 20 billion US dollars, but it was embezzled by politicians by billions of US dollars, which is a “miracle” in the world. The medical and social insurance funds, as well as enterprise development funds, have also been “hollowed out”.
The United States is constantly dropping bait on Mongolia. Last year, for a $5 million (child poverty alleviation) funding, the Mongolian government agreed to have the United States send personnel to strengthen its law enforcement and judicial systems.
Mongolia also opened all military bases and facilities established by the Soviet Union to the Pentagon, while the United States wants to establish a biological laboratory here.
Former member of the United Nations Biological Weapons Commission, Nikulin, has stated that Washington is turning Mongolia into a new base for studying the genome and disease resistance of Asian populations.
If it weren’t for China and Russia staring, Mongolian politicians would have dared to let Americans establish biological laboratories.
Mongolia is actively “luring wolves into the house”, which will pose a threat to the interests and security of China and Russia.
Why did Mongolia collude with the United States to this extent?
Let’s start with Gorbachev. After he took office, Sino Soviet relations slowed down and Mongolia also received a “spring of democracy”.
In January 1987, Gorbachev agreed to establish diplomatic relations between Mongolia and the United States.
In the past, if Mongolia dared to flirt with the United States, Moscow would stomp its feet, and Ulaanbaatar would have to kneel down and admit its mistake.
The establishment of diplomatic relations between the United States and Mongolia, as well as the assistance provided by the United States, gave Mongolia the idea of breaking the diplomatic pattern of “two neighboring countries”.
In the 1990s, Russia was on the brink of death, while China was struggling with its economy. Both countries had no time to “take care of” Mongolia, and the United States’ hand became deeper and deeper.
In 1991, US Secretary of State Baker visited Ulaanbaatar and declared that the United States wanted to be a “neighboring country” with Mongolia to test its response. Mongolia’s attitude was very positive, and Russia cautiously welcomed it.
At that time, Mongolia was still afraid to hold onto the thigh of the United States. After 9/11, the Mongolian Prime Minister officially visited the United States at the end of 2001, and substantial breakthroughs were made in US Mongolian relations. Mongolia became a “backup pawn” on the US chessboard.
In 2003, Mongolia sent troops to Iraq with the United States to become its younger brother, a symbolic gesture indicating that Mongolia could engage in military cooperation with the United States.
In 2005, Mongolia officially recognized the United States as its preferred “third neighbor”.
The United States values Mongolia’s strategic position in containing China and Russia, while Mongolia sees the United States as the most powerful strategic balancer to negotiate with China and Russia.
At this stage, the goal of the United States is to make every effort to pull Mongolia away from Russia, as Russia has too much influence over Mongolia.
It took the United States about a decade to surpass Russia and become Mongolia’s second largest trading partner, second only to China.
After obtaining the certification of “democracy” from the United States, Mongolia’s wings hardened. During the presidency of Mongolian President Elbegdorj, he wanted to include Mongolia in NATO’s security coverage. He signed the Strategic Partnership Declaration with the United States, which focuses on “democratic values” and “cooperation in the field of human rights”
Elbegdorj received economic assistance from the United States in return, and his family also profited a lot from it. Former Mongolian Prime Minister Saikhanbilge, who had almost become the United States’ agent, fled to the United States in August 2019 due to a corruption case and has not yet returned.
After establishing “common values” with the United States, the United States established many NGO organizations within Mongolia, and these NGOs would jump out to support the more pro American side during each election.
The demonstration mentioned above last year was also led by NGOs, but they opposed another faction.
Before Makron, on April 19th, US Deputy Secretary of State Newland went to meet with Mongolia and Prime Minister Erden.
Nulanke is the direct trader of Ukraine’s color revolution. What good can she do when she comes to Mongolia?
But Mongolia feels that its value has increased.
Mongolia wants to embrace NATO’s thigh, which is definitely a betrayal for Russia and an indirect security threat to China.
In order to cope with the United States’ attraction towards Mongolia, China and Russia hope that Mongolia can join the “Shanghai Cooperation Organization”.
However, Mongolian politicians are divided over whether to officially join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. So Mongolia has always been an “observer state”, hovering at the doorstep, hoping to gain the maximum benefit.
On the surface, Mongolia is quite capable of dealing with the three major powers of China, the United States, and Russia.
But Mongolia’s economy is in a mess. Previously, it borrowed a large amount of money from the United States and Europe to achieve political success, but now it owes tens of billions of dollars to international financial organizations such as the IMF. As long as the United States presses for debt, it will have to go bankrupt directly.
That is to say, Mongolia’s visit to the United States to discuss the “Indo Pacific strategy” is a negative result of its long-term wrong policies and is not well organized.
What is the relationship between Russia and the United States now? Deadly enemies.
Is there a relationship between China and the United States? The most important opponent.
At this time, Mongolia went to discuss the “Indo Pacific Strategy” with the United States and South Korea, discussing the “rule-based international order”, and invited the United States to participate in the “Khan Exploration” joint military exercise (although China also participated, Mongolia was sponsored by the United States with funding)
Mongolia’s practice is like joining the palace as a eunuch in 1911.
90% of its oil and natural gas come from Russia, and 90% of its trade comes from China. A slight finger movement between China and Russia could cause chaos in Mongolia.
Some people say that if China and Russia cut off the Mongolian route, it would still collude with ghosts, but China and Russia cannot do so because we are not at war with Mongolia, and commercial routes must be secured.
In addition, China and Russia do not want internal riots in Mongolia. Its geographical location is there, and many transportation and energy lines also need to pass through it.
Mongolian politicians are like gamblers, but they gamble on the welfare of the Mongolian people. If they win, they belong to the politicians, and if they lose, everyone goes to eat grass.
What is worth mentioning about the development of Mongolia after thirty years of “democracy”?
Isn’t the fact that a resource rich country with a population of only 3.3 million can achieve such economic success just prove that the “democracy” sent by the United States is a poison?
Politicians invest a large amount of money in elections, and after taking office, they can recover it several times. It’s strange that these people are not held in the hands of the United States.
Mongolia should not think that hanging the “democracy” dog tag can lead to heaven. The so-called “not accepting fate” in Mongolia means that if it continues, it will be “not taking life”.
Expecting the United States to become a “third neighbor” is just as absurd as expecting an American aircraft carrier to sail into Mongolia.