Original: Zhanhao source: official account: Zhanhao wechat ID: zhanhao668
Many people over the age of 40 have played a game – red police, which is the peak of the stand-alone era and the work of the west to vilify the Soviet Union and Lenin. For example, in the red police, the weapons of the Soviet Union are set to be particularly simple, brutal and evil. The worst person who controls other people’s minds is called Yuri, and it is given the head of Lenin, and then depicted like a terrorist. This is culture war. Through games and Hollywood movies, young people are brainwashed unconsciously! In the past 30 to 40 years, the United States and the West have also carried out a similar series of cultural invasions into China. In China, a group of middle-aged and above people have been thoroughly washed. The Internet chaos in China in the past few years mainly comes from them.
In red police, experienced players know that if they want to quickly paralyze their opponents, they must attack their power plants. If all the power plants are blown up, all the manufacturing plants will have to stop operating, and the opponent will be paralyzed. The next step to eliminate the opponent will be very smooth.
Now, Putin seems to understand that he should have played “red police”, so he began to attack Ukraine’s electricity. Frankly speaking, as far as war is concerned, this is the real crux! Just imagine, the lack of oil and gas may still be barely passable. The big deal is not to drive, the big deal is to burn firewood. However, what if there is a power shortage? All office and production will be basically stopped, and it is difficult to ensure the supply of electricity and water without electricity… The consequences of water shortage and power shortage are more serious than that of oil and gas shortage.
Therefore, if war breaks out between countries, it is very important to keep one’s own power plant. Of course, in general, war does not strike power plants because they are civilian facilities. However, the world is still dominated by the jungle law of the jungle, and the truth between countries is still within the range of artillery. When the intensity of the war is not high enough and the victory can be decided without fighting civilian facilities, of course, neither side will fight the power plant. However, if the war develops to a point where power plants become the key factor in deciding the winner or loser, then even civilian facilities will become targets of attack.
A country like the United States is even more disgraceful! In 1999, China only supported the fry politically, but the United States bombed our embassy with missiles. In recent years, the United States has bombed countless civilian facilities in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria, resulting in the death and injury of 100000 innocent civilians.
Now, the Russian Ukrainian war has basically reached this stage. Due to the continuous military assistance of the United States and the west to Ukraine, Russia has been unable to achieve the goal of its special military action for a long time, so Putin has no choice but to consider adopting extraordinary measures.
If you pay attention, in the past period of time, the zaporoze nuclear power station has been bombarded from time to time. Russia and Ukraine both said that the other side bombed it. They have never been clear who was bombing it. At that time, Zhanhao (wechat official account: Zhanhao) thought that the situation was very strange, because the nuclear power plant was to supply power to Ukraine. If it was attacked by the Ukrainian army, why would he always call the nuclear power plant? On the other hand, the nuclear power station is controlled by Russia. What reason does the Russian army have to bomb the zaporoze nuclear power station? At that time, Zhanhao’s judgment was that Russia and Ukraine might have shot at the nuclear power plant for their own purposes, but now it seems that it is probably the case.
In fact, the Ukrainian army’s attack on the nuclear power plant is to use international pressure and the risk of nuclear leakage to force the Russian army to hand over the nuclear power plant. As for the Russian side, it may want to use the feint to shut down the nuclear power plant. In fact, the Ukrainian army failed to force the Russian side to hand over the nuclear power plant, and the nuclear power plant was indeed shut down.
According to the Ukrainian National Nuclear Power Company, in the early morning of the 11th, the last power unit of the zaporoze nuclear power station was disconnected from the Ukrainian national grid, and preparations for cooling the unit were in progress. Rogov, the representative of the local administrative agency of zaporoze, reported that the last power unit of zaporoze nuclear power station stopped operating at about 3:45 on the 11th. The unit is suspended in a controllable manner and is being switched to the “cold shutdown” state, which may be restarted in the future. Rogov said that due to the unstable operation of the turbine and reactor of the nuclear power plant caused by the shelling, there is a possibility of accidents, so the local administrative agency decided to suspend the operation of the unit.
Why must the zaporo thermal nuclear power plant be shut down? The reason is very simple. Zaboluo thermal nuclear power station accounts for 25% of Ukraine’s power generation, accounting for half of Ukraine’s nuclear power generation. Paralyzing zaboluo thermal nuclear power station means that Ukraine’s power supply is reduced by a quarter.
After the shutdown of the zaporoze nuclear power station in the early morning of September 11, Russia launched another attack on the Ukrainian army’s power plant. On September 11, local time, the adviser to the office of the president of Ukraine said that the Russian army attacked the Kharkov No. 5 thermal power plant and caused a fire there, which is one of the largest thermal power plants in Ukraine.
On the same day, Ukrainian President Zelensky wrote on social media that power had been cut off in Kharkov and the Ukrainian controlled Donetsk region. Power outages also occurred in sume, Dnepropetrovsk, Poltava, zaporoze and parts of Odessa. In response, Zelensky attributed it to “Russian terrorist acts”, claiming that the Russian army launched “malicious missile attacks” on Ukraine’s civil “key infrastructure” instead of targeting military targets.
In response, the US side also stated its position on the same day. US State Department spokesperson price tweeted accusing Russia: “we condemn the Russian air raids on Ukraine’s key infrastructure, which have left thousands of civilians without power and clean water. We stand with Ukraine against Russia’s’ aggression ‘.”
As for the accusations made by the United States and Ukraine, so far the Russian side has not stated its position, neither confirmed nor denied them. So, is this true or not? Zhanhao believes that this is true for two reasons: first, videos of many power plants catching fire after being attacked have appeared on social media; Second, Russian ships in the Black Sea and Caspian Sea launched multiple cruise missiles. In this way, it is basically confirmed that the Russian army attacked the Ukrainian army’s thermal power plant.
In fact, this series of actions looks more like planned. First, the zaporoze nuclear power plant was shut down, and then the power plant was immediately bombed. As a result, it will be difficult to completely restore the power outage in some parts of Ukraine in the short term. Even if Russia continues to expand its attacks, Ukraine will face serious livelihood problems such as lack of power and water in cities in the near future.
Frankly speaking, in Zhanhao’s opinion, if there is a large-scale continuous power and water outage in Ukraine, then the whole society of Ukraine will not attack and chaos, because the expectations of the people for the future will change, and no one can live in cities without electricity and water. Huge refugee flows will flow to Europe, which will bring greater problems to Europe.
Some people may wonder, what will Putin really do? In fact, people’s eyes are sharp, and they can do anything. Does Russia have room for concessions on the Ukraine issue? The answer is No. Can Russia lose this war? The answer is no, otherwise the consequences will be unimaginable. Therefore, since the Russian Ukrainian war has been fought, it is a war that Putin cannot defeat. Since you can’t beat it, when you are under great pressure, you probably have to choose extraordinary means. Just imagine, which one will Putin choose between bombing Ukraine’s power plant and winning the war with Russia? The answer is self-evident.
Some people may say that this kind of war to build infrastructure is unjust, but it is from the position of the opponent or a third party. In Russia’s view, it is Russia’s greatest “justice” to protect its own national security and avoid further collapse of Russia. Therefore, the so-called righteousness and injustice are relative in nature, and they are just political choices.
In fact, at the beginning of the Russian Ukrainian war, Putin originally wanted to carry out a “decapitation” and civilized war against Ukraine, that is, to quickly take Kiev, the capital of Ukraine, and only fight the Ukrainian army but not civilian facilities, and then quickly achieve the goal of “demilitarization” and “Nazism” of Ukraine. Later, as we all saw, the Ukrainian army blew up the Kiev airport at the fastest speed, which directly abolished the Russian army’s ability to quickly transfer troops and materials to Kiev, and also lost the opportunity of “beheading operation”. Finally, Russia chose to withdraw its troops to the east to eliminate the Ukrainian army in the Donbas region, with remarkable results.
However, after all, the Russian army invested too little troops. When the Russian army gradually dispersed and expanded the control area, the troops were obviously insufficient. Of course, there is also a fundamental reason for all this, that is, the weapons of the Russian army we mentioned earlier are really not awesome in fighting modern wars. With the all-round support of weapons and intelligence given by the United States to the Ukrainian army, it is indeed difficult for the Russian army to move forward without increasing its strength or supporting with advanced weapons. Therefore, the United States saw the opportunity, gave sufficient support to the Ukrainian army, and brewed the most powerful counterattack.
For the Russian army, the Ukrainian army’s counterattack this time is the most severe counterattack by the Ukrainian army since the beginning of the war. The dispersion of the Russian army makes them have to make some choices. For example, the fortress in the South can never be conceded, so the Ukrainian army suffered heavy casualties and did not take important strongholds; The situation in the north is different. If the Russian army is surrounded by the Ukrainian army when the relative strength is weak, the losses of the Russian army will be very serious. Therefore, the Russian army might as well retreat to the Donbas area to wait for the Ukrainian army to attack instead of spending a lot of money to defend the strongholds that have been occupied but are not so important. This is the fundamental reason why the Russian army withdrew without fighting in the northern Kharkov area.
Well, since the war has been fought, it has been proved that the current strength of the Russian army is unlikely to advance on a large scale in the short term under the current situation, so the Russian army should think of other countermeasures. Now the Russian army’s strategy should have four aspects:
1? Cut off Europe’s gas and wait for the civil unrest in Europe in winter. As to whether this goal can be achieved, let’s see if Europe can survive in winter. However, whether it can be supported or not, it is worth fighting for Russia, because the Russian army is likely to launch a large-scale attack in winter, when Europe’s self-care is very important to Russia’s action.
2? Cut off the electricity in Ukraine, wait for the civil unrest in Ukraine, and create more refugees in Europe. Although this method is not very humane, it is the most important thing for Russia to win the war now, so cutting off power and bombing power plants are efficient attack strategies. As long as the main cities in Ukraine are short of water and electricity, the relevant cities will be chaotic and a large number of refugees will flow to Europe, which is beneficial to Russia.
3? Withdraw your fists and eliminate the effective force of the Ukrainian army’s counterattack. If the Russian army wants to destroy the Ukrainian army in this counterattack, it must defend the south side, because the south side of the sea can not afford to lose it, and the troops there are relatively sufficient; The north side must withdraw. According to the latest disclosure, the Ukrainian army has invested eight times as many troops as the Russian army, and withdrawal is the best choice. If we fight the Ukrainian army in the Donbass area, we will certainly have a higher success rate in eliminating this major counter offensive force. On this point, we can see that the president of Chechnya, who was in a mood a while ago, has sent more than 10000 people to the Donbas region, and his intention is actually very clear.
4? Waiting for the attack of winter. Putin has just signed the presidential decree on the increase of troops. It will take some time to turn veterans and some conscripts who have been discharged into contract soldiers who can fight. For the Russian army, it is very important to destroy the Ukrainian army in this round of counter offensive first, and then take action after its own forces are fully prepared. This time should be delayed a little.
Now, the Ukrainian army has made preparations for several months and launched this wave of counter offensive with the aid of more than $7 billion from the United States in the short term. Now the Ukrainian side needs ammunition again. Well, once the strength of the Ukrainian army is almost used up in this wave of offensive, the Ukrainian army is wiped out by the Russian army on a large scale, and then the Russian army increases its troops, then there will be a good play to watch next! More importantly, if Putin insists on attacking the Ukrainian army’s power plant, it will be a disaster for Ukraine and Europe! In Europe, which is already short of energy, it will be a huge burden if millions of people flood in!