This article is reproduced by Niu Danqin (id:bullpiano) with authorization. Author: Niu Danqin
For Putin, this is a small victory, but it is a highly symbolic victory.
You know, Canada has been closely following the United States and Britain, and is one of the most resolute and thorough countries to impose sanctions on Russia. The so-called Anglo Saxon nation is understandable.
What should I do?
Russia has its own way.
At present, the most scarce thing in Europe is natural gas. Just last month (June), Gazprom, a Russian natural gas giant, bluntly reduced the capacity of Beixi No. 1 pipeline connecting Russia and Germany to only 40% of the normal level.
Germany was terrified, but there was no way. In addition to sounding the alarm of natural gas supply, German Deputy Prime Minister habek came forward and earnestly advised Germans to take less baths and work more, so as to save natural gas in the final analysis.
According to habek, I get up at 6 a.m. and go home at 7 p.m. now, so I don’t have to keep warm in winter
He also said that his Dutch colleague was proud to tell me that he planned to shorten the bath time from 10 minutes to 5 minutes. It makes me laugh. I haven’t bathed for more than five minutes in my life
What have the Germans been forced into?
Russia breathed out and the Germans sighed.
But why die?
The fuse is the latest “turbine war”!
The Russian explanation is that a turbine manufactured by Siemens, a key equipment on the gas transmission pipeline, was sent to the Siemens Factory in Canada for maintenance, but Canada has not returned it. For safety reasons, the gas supply must be reduced.
Why didn’t you send it back?
Canada wants to sanction Russia. Such important equipment, of course, violates the sanctions. Since it was sent to Canada, it cannot be returned to Russia.
Anyway, in the sanctions against Russia in the past six months, a lot of Russian equipment and assets have been seized. Russia sees that I can’t help anything else, but seizing this equipment is just right for me. Since you dare not to deliver in Canada, I’m sorry, the gas transmission can only be reduced. German, you continue to sigh.
It’s still midsummer now, but winter in Europe comes very early, and there is no natural gas. Next, people may be frozen or even frozen to death.
The gas supply from Russia to Germany has now fallen to 40% of the normal level; The natural gas from Germany to France is almost completely cut off.
The Germans and French quit.
Germany can only put pressure on Canada. You want to sanction Russia, but I have become the target of “accidental injury”. Russia is about to find such an excuse. Canada, you can’t make enemies happy and relatives painful like this.
German Chancellor Scholz personally asked Canadian Chancellor Trudeau to work. If not once, do it again.
Russia is still exerting pressure there, and recently announced that from July 11, Beixi No. 1 pipeline will start a 10 day routine maintenance and will suspend gas transmission. Germany is worried that Russia will take this opportunity to normalize the gas cut-off.
As time passed, Canada, unable to withstand the pressure of Germany, finally announced on July 9: release!
I can’t return Siemens’ turbine.
Of course, in order to look good in face, Canada also played a trick: the turbines were first transported to Germany, and then handed over by Germany to Russia. In this way, Canada did not compromise with Russia, nor did it violate the restrictions on the prohibition of the export of important goods and technologies to Russia in the sanctions against Russia.
However, the unconvinced Canadian natural resources minister Wilkinson still couldn’t help scolding: Putin, you just want to “provoke division between allies”.
Well, Canada is not easy. Germany breathed a sigh of relief, but Ukraine was very dissatisfied.
Say good severe sanctions, how to meet specific problems on the soft. Alexandra chyczij, President of the Federation of Ukrainian Canadians, accused the Canadian government of succumbing to “Russian blackmail” and releasing the turbine “setting a dangerous precedent”, leading to the reduction of sanctions against Russia, and “Canada’s compromise and surrender to Russia” will have far-reaching consequences.
Ukraine also said that Canada cannot give it to Germany. If it must, it should give it to Ukraine. Ukraine can give Germany enough natural gas to make up for the loss of Russia’s gas supply.
But Canada dare not refuse.
First hard, then soft, and finally slap yourself in the face, which is really Canadian.
Of course, in order to make up for it, on the day of announcing the release of the turbine, Canada announced that it would impose additional sanctions on Russia, and the new sanctions would be extended to the industrial manufacturing industry, which would apply to “land and pipeline transportation, as well as metal, computer, electronic, electrical equipment and machinery manufacturing”.
It’s still very Canadian to see you off with your front feet and scold with your back feet.
Finally, what do you think?
It’s still shallow.
First, in international struggle, we should use our strength to fight and lift a thousand catties in four or two directions.
Russia has no way to Canada, but Russia has a way to deal with Germany. Let Germany and France deal with Canada. In the end, Canada had to give in. It has to be said that Putin is still very skillful. He severely disgusted Canada. While winning a symbolic victory, he also buried a small nail between European countries and ansa countries.
Second, don’t superstitious about the spirit of contract, the bottom line and the red line.
What is the spirit of contract? What art knows no borders and science knows no borders? What kind of wind can enter the rain, but the king can’t? The strangulation of Russia by the West has brought all the so-called principles into shape. Of course, Russia is not a fuel-efficient lamp. By leveraging its strength and giving full play to the effectiveness of energy weapons, people can see that the original bottom line of the west is sometimes a dotted line; The so-called red line will fade after washing.
Third, Canada is a very interesting country.
It has to be said that as a member of the Anglo Saxon system, Canada is very interesting, closely following the United States and Britain, waving a big stick at Russia; But I had to shrink back when I met the iron fist of Germany and France. Of course, in order to save face, on the one hand, he let himself go, on the other hand, he was very unwilling to chase and shout a few times. Alas, this is international politics. Villains have their own villains. Sometimes it’s so dramatic.