San Ge is also about to rise as a great power!

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Author: falsetto Source: falsetto (official account ID: lxlong20) has been authorized to reprint

The rise of major powers is an interesting topic that has mainly revolved around China for a long time in the past. But now India is also starting to add drama to itself, talking about India’s rise.

On May 27th, Indian Foreign Minister Su Jiesheng delivered a highly flattering speech at Anant National University in India, titled “Modi’s India: A Rising Power”.

Why do you say there is a lot of flattery? Because this speech flattered three people.

The first flatterer, Modi.

It’s very clear from the title that it says’ Modi’s India ‘, which is blatantly flattering the top leadership. Under the leadership of Prime Minister Modi, we are not only considering tomorrow, nor the next election period. What we are truly considering is further things. In many ways, it is no exaggeration to say that today we are laying the foundation for going global

Of course, it’s easy to understand that Su Jiesheng flatters Modi, after all, his position as Indian Foreign Minister was appointed by Modi.

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In other words, his job was given by Modi. It is not new or shameful to flatter your superiors for the sake of your own job; After all, many people do this in tangible and intangible ways. But Su Jiesheng is a natural flatterer.

Sujie was born in 1955 in an official family in the Indian capital New Delhi. His father is Indian strategist Suramanyam, who has served as the Secretary of the Indian Cabinet and the Director of the Indian Institute of Defense Research and Analysis. He is a skilled talker. His two brothers are also well-known figures. Big Brother Sanjay is a famous Indian historian and a skilled seller of lip service; My second brother, Ma, once worked in national development, but he still bought his mouth.

As for Su Jiesheng himself, he has gathered the great achievements of their family in selling lip service. He studied undergraduate at the University of Delhi in India, and pursued graduate and doctoral studies at the University of Nehru, majoring in political science and international relations, which is equivalent to practicing the skills of selling lip service. Moreover, Su Jiesheng himself was quite proficient, demonstrating political talent during his college years and claiming to be a “free thinker”, laying a solid foundation for his eloquence and diligence.

In the Indian diplomatic community, Su Jiesheng is a genuine old diplomat. I have successively worked at the Indian embassies in the Soviet Union, Czech Republic, Singapore, China, and the United States. Some melon eating people may not have the opportunity to learn how strong Su Jiesheng’s mouth skills are. They only need to know that he is proficient in using English, Russian, Japanese, Hungarian, Tamil, Hindi, Chinese and other languages, and can switch between them proficiently, to know that he is definitely extraordinary. Let’s think about it, it’s not easy for ordinary people to become familiar with a foreign language; It is indeed rare for Su Jiesheng to master so many foreign languages, especially Chinese.

From the perspective of international relations, Su Jiesheng is a rare talent in India who understands both the United States and China. And his wife is Japanese, so she can be considered a Japanese expert.

In short, Su Jiesheng’s mouth is top-notch in India. His boasting skills were also superb, and he became Modi’s right-hand man with this skill. So his speech on the rise of India at Anante National University focused on the essence of flattery all his life.

His speech, apart from invisibly flattering Modi, was also flattering the nationalist group in India. Although the vast majority of Indian people like to fantasize about becoming divine cows in the afterlife, the base of Indian nationalist groups is also huge.

Experienced melon eaters all know that India, as one of the “Five Constants of the Oil Pipeline,” has a strong fighting power in the public opinion community. In the public opinion of the global village, there is often a saying that goes, “The past is from South Korea, the future is from India. This means that the nationalist community in India has great confidence in the future.

Su Jiesheng talked extensively about the “rise of India”, which happened to be in the hearts of Indian nationalist groups, equivalent to flattering them in a disguised way and inciting Indian populism without leaving any trace.

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The content of Su Jiesheng’s speech naturally mentioned China multiple times. Because India has a magic barrier against China. On the surface, India shows no concern for China and shows great ambition; But in reality, it is everywhere compared to China. For example, if China implements a road belt strategy, India will launch a spice path strategy. For example, China has engaged in many super engineering projects, while India often portrays a tiger as a tiger without turning it upside down.

Regarding the topic of China’s rise, the Indian elite believes it is a huge challenge. Because on the one hand, Indian elites are relatively arrogant, and on the other hand, they have to attach importance to China. On the topic of the rise of major powers, the impact of China’s rise in this era is clearly greater than that of India’s.

Given the complex mindset of Indian elites when facing China, Su Jiesheng said that in the process of India’s rise, it faces “very complex and special challenges” from China. The Modi government has taken measures to ensure that China will not unilaterally change the current situation in the border areas. This statement has several meanings:

1. The elite class in India reluctantly acknowledges that China’s rise is a big mountain ahead of India.

2. Once again, indirectly tell the West that India is a choice to balance or confront China, and come quickly to assist.

3. The Indian elite will also lead India towards its rise.

4. Flattery Modi again.

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In short, Su Jiesheng’s speech is equivalent to a masterpiece of flattery created by India’s top flatterers who have exhausted their lifelong wisdom, without leaving any trace, praising India’s ruling Modi, populist groups, and elite class.

Leaving aside the flattering aspect, the topic of “India’s rise” alone has had a significant impact on the global village.

Impact one is a crisis for neighboring countries.

Many articles have analyzed that although India looks funny, it actually has militarism thinking and is keen on external expansion. After World War II, India became independent. It had conflicts with almost all its neighbors (Pakistan, China, Myanmar, Bhutan, Nepal, Sri Lanka, etc.), and annexed other sovereign countries (Sikkim). Its actions were no different from those of militarism countries.

Among India’s neighboring countries, only China can give it pressure. However, India has illegally occupied southern Tibet of China and shows no signs of returning it, occasionally engaging in porcelain clashes along the Sino Indian border.

If India forms a consensus on its rise from top to bottom, then it will definitely adopt a stronger attitude towards its neighboring countries, including China, which means that there will be no peace around South Asia.

From the perspective of India’s neighboring countries, if we want India to calm down, we must create problems within India and let it worry about itself. The general plan includes but is not limited to the following:

1. Instigate the Northeast states to become independent;

2. Ignite the flames of Sikkim’s rejuvenation movement;

3. Support the revolutionary cause of the Maoists in India;

4. Intensify religious conflicts within India.

Impact two makes the West very entangled.

The rise of India is an extremely complex proposition for the West.

In the past few decades, the West has wanted to balance India (such as the United States forming alliances with Pakistan several times and selling advanced weapons to Pakistan); On the other hand, they have been trying to use India to contain China. So whether it was the 1962 Sino Indian border war or the previous Sino Indian border conflicts, the West would stand behind India at an extremely fast pace and provide support to India.

It is precisely out of the strategic goal of encouraging India and China to confront each other that the West is more indulgent towards India. Even if India illegally engages in nuclear weapons, and even if India annex the sovereign state of Sikkim, the West will turn a blind eye.

India also knows the Western mindset. So whenever there is a need to seek sponsorship from the West, they will play the game of the Sino Indian conflict and go to the West to cheat money and things. Simply put, India can scam a lot of money from the West every year.

The West’s support for India is due to concerns that China’s rise will impact the West’s position at the top of the international food chain, which is why the United States will spare no effort to contain China.

But if India also completes its rise, the impact on the West will also be enormous. If the future curbs the rise of China and leads to the rise of India, it would be extremely uneconomical for the United States. After the rise of China in today’s global village, India no longer needs to rise again.

The task of containing China’s rise has not yet been completed, and now facing the rise of India, the West will definitely be very headache. Especially the United States does not want to see India rise at all. Because after India’s rise, it will not only dominate the Indian Ocean, but also threaten the energy layout of the United States in the entire Middle East (India is close to the Middle East).

In fact, there is a relatively simple option for the West now, which is to work together with China to curb India’s rise in the face of China’s unstoppable rise. The joint efforts of the East and West to intensify internal conflicts in India, allowing India to exhaust its strength in internal friction, are beneficial for everyone.

Impact three, Russia is mixed in joy and sorrow.

After India’s independence, the best country for India was (Soviet) Russia, and during the Soviet era, India was almost always responsive.

Every time India runs out of money to spend, it goes to the Soviet Union to borrow money.

Even if the Soviet Union was very tight, it was still trying its best to meet India’s borrowing needs.

Even when the Soviet Union was about to disintegrate, Gorbachev lent India a lot of money.

Of course, the term ‘borrowing money’ is quite common. In official terms, it’s called a loan. The Soviet Union has always acted in the style of chauvinism of a great power, but it has a feeling of licking a dog and meeting green tea with India.

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Due to India borrowing a lot from the Soviet Union, it was originally impossible to repay the money. But when the Soviet Union disintegrated, India took advantage of the devaluation of the ruble and used it to pay off the Soviet Union’s debts in one go, vigorously exerting a green tea miracle.

Russia inherited the main legacy of the Soviet Union and originally intended to use India’s debts for development. However, it discovered that it had been deceived by India and subsequently began to retaliate against India; It’s like licking a dog and recognizing the true face of green tea.

In the years after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, Russia used aircraft carriers, fifth generation fighter jets, and other weapons to pit a lot of money from India, which can be considered as revenge. However, in recent years, Russia seems to have experienced a relapse of licking dog disease towards India and has started to curry favor with India in various ways. Even during the border conflict between China and India, Russia will sell weapons to India as soon as possible.

After the outbreak of the Ukrainian War, Russia’s stance towards India has dropped to dust. Russia’s oil is sold directly to India at a low price. The key is to collect a large amount of Indian rupee (which is stored in the Bank of India and cannot be spent). Russia itself is already facing difficulties, and cutting meat to feed India is equivalent to enduring pain and playing the role of sacrificing oneself for India.

From the Russian perspective, I am very willing to see the rise of India. Because after India’s rise, on the one hand, it can balance China, on the other hand, it can make the West feel uncomfortable, and it will have more money to buy its own weapons and energy.

Actually, there is no need for Russia to accommodate India like this.

According to India’s character, after its rise, it will certainly not pay attention to Russia. Even if it buys Russian energy and arms, it is estimated that it will also force Indian rupee to pay (now there is a sign of this, which makes Russia hard to say). Moreover, India has a tradition of ‘India earns money from Indian flowers, don’t even bring them home’, which will definitely make Russia very uncomfortable.

Finally, let me summarize:

The topic of India’s rise is very interesting,

It will make India very high,

Strengthening India’s determination to suck blood from Russia,

But it is not in line with China or the interests of the United States