Sri Lanka is just the beginning of global turmoil!

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Author: ye Lihua source: seeking truth (id:gh_a2f5eb6a8f0c)

Recently, there has been serious unrest in Sri Lanka. Demonstrators broke through layers of blockades and rushed into the presidential palace, demanding that the president and Prime Minister of the current government step down.

As a result, the president and prime minister resigned collectively, and the local political parties held a joint meeting to allow the speaker to act as the interim administrator for a period of 30 days.

Sri Lanka’s unrest is not due to India’s participation and intervention, nor is it because the United States wants to fight against the important nodes of our the Belt and Road. It is due to its own two internal reasons, one is food security, the other is energy security, which are not done in place.

In terms of food security, the biggest mistake of the Sri Lankan authorities is the concentration of population and the one-sided pursuit of high value-added agriculture.

An Indian Ocean island country, with a population of 22million, seems to be small, which is not as big as our first tier cities, but these 22million people have to eat every day.

Shanghai people can eat staple food and non-staple food every day, not because the production capacity of Shanghai is so large, but because Shanghai is guaranteed from Shandong to Zhejiang. If Shandong people say one day, you’d better hire someone else, and Shanghai’s food will be cut off.

Shanghai’s grain self-sufficiency rate is close to zero, while Sri Lanka’s situation is better. The grain self-sufficiency rate has reached 80%, and the rice output as the main grain is enough for 80% of the people in the country.

Another 20% of the people rely heavily on imports of rations, namely 4.4 million. Most of these 4.4 million people are concentrated in cities and engaged in the secondary or tertiary industry. The import of grain will not affect the lives of farmers, but the citizens. Moreover, it affects all citizens. The urbanization rate of Sri Lanka’s population is only 19%, which is just 4.4 million.

In other words, in a country, all the urban population depends on imports for food rations. Where is the city?

The difference between modern countries and ancient countries lies in industrial production. Factories are concentrated around cities, and services are concentrated in the center of cities. Cities are the cornerstone of current national political security, and citizens are the political foundation of current countries.

As a modern country, Sri Lanka’s secondary industry can not be said to be underdeveloped, but there are also some. The prevention and control, leather, chemical, rubber and beverage industries are Sri Lanka’s pillar industries, all concentrated in Sri Lankan cities. With the tertiary industry practitioners, the food of these 4.4 million citizens is just good, and all rely on imports.

The food of these citizens could have been grown locally, but Ceylon authorities took part of the land to develop cash crops, mainly black tea and rubber, which led to the fact that all citizens’ food depended on trade in the end.

Placing food security entirely on the international scene is the biggest problem for the Sri Lankan authorities.

In terms of energy security, the biggest mistake of the Sri Lankan authorities is to bet all their energy on oil and coal.

Sri Lanka is rich in renewable energy, with an estimated wind energy of 5000mw and solar energy of 2000MW. As a result, only a few renewable energy wind farms and photovoltaic power plants led by Spain have been put into use in the country so far, and power generation is still dependent on coal and hydropower.

The government’s calculations are also loud. Photovoltaic power per kilowatt hour is 23 rupees, and coal-fired power per kilowatt hour is 15 rupees. The development of photovoltaic power is uneconomical, wind energy is unstable, and energy storage is even more uneconomical. Therefore, Tiexin built a coal-fired power plant.

The problem is that although coal is economical, it should be built on the basis of coal. Sri Lanka has no coal fields, and the coal for power generation depends on imports, which places the hope of residents’ domestic electricity and industrial and agricultural electricity on international trade. Although hydropower is owned by Sri Lanka, the climate in Sri Lanka is unstable, with low water in summer and abundant water in winter. The more electricity is used in winter, the more electricity is used. What is the purpose of this?

In the international coal trade, the Sri Lankan authorities are engaged in three legged walking. China’s Yulin coal, Australia’s coal and Russia’s coal are all imported by Sri Lanka. When the epidemic comes, Australia lies flat for epidemic prevention, exports plummeted, and coal prices soared. As soon as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine broke out, Russian energy was affected and could not be imported at will, leaving China’s Yulin coal, which was originally used for industrial purposes. Now it is used for power generation, and the efficiency is not good.

The new legs of electric energy are not connected, and the old legs are all broken. There are quite rich reserves of oil and gas resources in Manar Bay, but no one has developed them. Oil is heavily dependent on imports. As soon as the oil price rises, the foreign exchange reserves will soon bottom out.

In terms of food, it can’t protect the food security of citizens, and in terms of energy, it can’t protect the electricity security and travel fuel of citizens. These two mistakes were not wrong before. Under the influence of the epidemic and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and under the influence of abnormal climate change this year, problems will occur.

How many countries cannot guarantee food security?

Sri Lanka’s grain production, at least 80% self-sufficiency, less than 80% of the country, how many?

Nigeria’s grain self-sufficiency rate is 83%, Turkey’s 77%, Iran’s 66%, and Mexico’s grain self-sufficiency rate is only 63%.

Malaysia’s food self-sufficiency rate is 33%, Egypt’s population is more than 100 million, and the food self-sufficiency rate is only 20%.

These are all populous countries.

Sri Lanka has 22million people, and there is no industrial capacity, so it is unable to export.

In the above countries, some are close to the United States, some have strong defense industries, and they can’t support themselves in grain. The global grain price is still rising. How long can they use their foreign exchange reserves?

The riots in Sri Lanka are just the beginning. It’s just a sprinkling of water. A little news just went out. Don’t worry, and don’t pay attention.

A series of big news just got dressed and ready to go out.

As for us, we don’t have to worry about ourselves. China is vigorously developing photovoltaic and wind energy. The pattern of transmitting electricity from the west to the East has been formed, and the application of new energy has also been spread on a large scale. Oil imports have many legs, and there will be no problems for a while.

As for our food security, although there is a certain secret war, we can achieve self-sufficiency on the whole.

How long have we worked for this situation? The hardship is not enough for outsiders. We’ve done it, that’s all.

China’s energy and food security are the foundation for our entry into the game. The global hegemony of industrial output value is our bargaining chip for our entry into the game.

The world has changed a lot. Bow down and join the game.

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