Author: Kafka is busy source: outsider’s horizon (id:hooyar_380097485)
A few months ago, I saw a video of former Japanese Prime Minister Yoshiyuki Kan giving a speech on the street. There was no reliable security personnel around, and few people were watching. From time to time, passers-by hurried by, not even interested in stopping to have a look.
At that time, I thought, the public security in Japan is very good. In my United States, someone has been exporting directly with weapons for a long time.
Talking about this with friends who are familiar with Japan’s political situation, people commented that Japan’s political arena is originally fragmented, and the influence of politicians is not as powerful as that of political factions. They seem to be big guys, maybe they are just screws in factions, and they may operate you at any time because of factional struggle.
There are huge factional rules. It’s one thing for anyone to come up, and it doesn’t matter who gets killed. In that case, why bother Baal to plan assassination?
What he said is really quite reasonable. Originally, Kan Yiwei, who temporarily came up, wanted to be re elected as Japanese Prime Minister. Unfortunately, the boss behind the scenes didn’t give him a chance. After stepping down, looking for a busy place to chat is nothing more than a sense of existence.
Assassinating or venting on such a dead politician does not cause any sensation.
However, Abe is different.
In 2020, Abe voluntarily resigned and left a post epidemic mess to Kan Yiwei. This move is called taking a step back and controlling the political situation behind the scenes.
Two years ago, when Abe retired, he wrote an article “goodbye, Abe!”, This article is not too out of date today.
On the surface, Fumio Kishida took over the position of Kan Yiwei and became prime minister. However, in Japanese politics, the best thing to say behind the scenes is Abe.
In the traditional role-playing game in Japanese politics, the prime minister cannot directly jump out and offend China, unless the United States is the first to show goodwill. The United States President, who was as friendly as George W. Bush, naturally wants to match the right-wing and arrogant Japanese Prime Minister.
However, from trump to Biden, the two have always been unified, which is to spit fire in their eyes and directly write belligerence on their faces.
So in the second half of Abe’s reign, the actual attitude of the Japanese government towards dialogue is very moderate. If there is no outbreak of the COVID-19, the exchange visits between the heads of state of China and Japan have also taken place. Even if the epidemic strikes, China Japan South Korea free trade has also been reached through the RECP.
Japan has U.S. troops stationed in Japan, and the Tokyo District procuratorate exercises political control over politicians. Therefore, no matter who becomes the Prime Minister of Japan or adopts any policy towards China, it is not up to him to control.
After Takeo Kishida came to power, it was inconvenient to jump directly against China, so he had to act as the right-wing Anti China representative by outgoing Shinzo Abe, but this does not mean that Shinzo Abe is really determined to be anti China and pro american.
Abe can be the longest serving prime minister in the chaotic Japanese political arena, and can reorganize the Liberal Democratic Party after retirement, establish an Abe system, and can personally select two successive prime ministers. This political skill can be said to be very old-fashioned.
Many people are naive and think that there are politicians who are naturally pro China or pro us. In the final analysis, a small country choosing a big man is nothing more than to embrace the thigh and achieve its own goals. Pro us, pro China, pro Russia, all can be done, depending on where it can get the most benefits.
Young politicians are all pro american. It’s just that Americans have occupied the voice of public opinion. In the new media era, if you dare not to be pro american, you don’t even have the power to speak out.
Some of the older generation of politicians are pro China. It’s just that China, a single big market, is too attractive. Besides, it’s not born cheap. Is it happy to be output by American soldiers every day? Do you really have any bad memories of the two atomic bombs in Hiroshima and Nagasaki?
I still remember that Shintaro Ishihara, a right-wing politician, collaborated with Sony founder Takeo Morita to write a book “Japan can say no”. At that time, it was 1989, and Japan’s foam economy was still in its heyday, so who should Japan say no to? America, of course.
After 20 or 30 years, Japan’s economy has been losing. Many of Japan’s best-selling products, once the world’s factory, have been taken away from the market by China. Shintaro Ishihara has turned to flatter the United States and tramp on the old Gao to oppose China.
So you see, pro China is nothing more than trying to use China to fight against the United States. Anti China is actually trying to use American power to fight against China. In the end, it is all for the purpose of achieving the goal of a strong Japan.
For the United States, the best Japanese political arena is that various factions fight each other. If the prime minister is exchanged like a lantern, then those who covet high positions in the political arena will find ways to lower their figure, be pro american and charming, rather than making a full gesture to deceive the United States as they are now.
In December 2021, Abe made remarks against Taiwan, which caused public anger at that time.
But then again, Abe is not a fool. He really doesn’t understand that with Japan’s military capabilities, it’s impossible to beat a big country. The issue of arching the Taiwan Strait is nothing more than hoping to fool Wan Wan into a big death, so as to pull the Americans into the water, and then Japan can reap the benefits.
Not only the Chinese people but also the United States are disgusted with this kind of talk of making a big death.
Think about it. When Russia attacked Ukraine, the president of the United States almost did not kneel down and swear not to be directly involved. The reason why Russia and Ukraine repeatedly toss the conflict is simply to toss Europe repeatedly, which even Russia knows very well.
This is a trick, and Europe can only be dumb.
But after all, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine was provoked by the United States. It was the United States itself that sat on the mountain and watched the tiger fight. When it came to the Taiwan Strait, it became the enemy and was roasted by Japan on the fire. Can it be eaten by the United States?
Let’s look at abenomics. To put it bluntly, it is very similar to the way Japan played militarism in those days. Crazy issuance of treasury bonds is extortion of citizens. In addition to pleasing American capital, most of the money is used for overseas investment by large Japanese consortiums.
So why can Abe get such a high popularity rate? Is it true that ordinary people support Abe? Looking at the performance of ordinary citizens after Abe’s assassination, most people think it has nothing to do with themselves.
Don’t tell me that the Japanese don’t like to join in the fun. Chen Xiao’s program in Japan also attracted countless neon girls to watch. Looking at the event of Abe’s assassination, there were three or two audience kittens, and there were no large number of fans to join in.
In fact, Japanese people have long become smart and know that class can’t jump over. The so-called politics is nothing more than the scheme of meat eaters, which has nothing to do with themselves.
I wrote an article “is abenomics successful?”, Abe’s playing method is really successful for the Japanese government and the Japanese chaebol, but it is really unfriendly to ordinary Japanese people.
But when playing politics and being a politician, who is your basic plate? Isn’t this a more worthy question to grasp? Japan’s big business group, the former vested interest groups, compared all politicians and found that Abe was still the representative who could best safeguard his rights and interests. With the support of these people, Abe could easily firmly control the political arena and form a monopoly repressive force. As long as he was given enough time, Abe might also stimulate the ideological trend of popular right-wing nationalism by provoking confrontation, similar to the Nazi restoration in Ukraine.
But the United States indulged the Nazis in Ukraine to fight Russia, dismember Europe, and release the remaining evils of Japanese militarism. The first disadvantage is itself.
In East Asia, no matter how boastful, everyone knows that Japan is not a heavyweight country, and it is not enough to be a dish on the table.
So in this way, the most unfavorable thing for Abe to take charge of Japanese politics is the colonial interests of the United States. The first thing Japan should do to become a normal country is to drive out the U.S. Garrison and depose the colonial institution of Tokyo District procuratorate.
The second is to recover financial autonomy.
In any case, it is a great loss to American power.
As for what Abe said on the right, it is nothing more than affecting the public’s mood. Can it really cause substantial harm?
Recently, Japan has been forced by the United States to engage in confrontation with Russia, losing the possibility of recovering its territory and giving up its cheap energy supply line for nothing.
Do you think this is what Japanese politics likes to see? Just look at Japan’s treatment of Ukrainian refugees, you know, people’s hearts are like a mirror, it’s just that they are not normal countries, and diplomacy can’t be independent.
The soaring international energy prices can only buy high-priced energy designated by the United States, which not only makes people’s livelihood difficult, but also leads to a high trade deficit in Japan.
Another big V surnamed Lu went to blow the neon country to win the hemp. Now the whole Asia has never been friendly to big countries, because everyone is afraid of another time in 1997, and the yen is the first to kneel. If the RMB is not carried, then Asia will be looted again.
It is Abe’s ambition that has caused the current situation.
So there are many enemies of Abe now. Which side is hiding behind the suspect? Or are people simply disgusted with abenomics’ long-term exploitation of the public?
The truth of such a major event that attracts the attention of the world may never be revealed.
However, the capital market soon gave feedback. The yen exchange rate rose and the Japanese stock market fell. It is time to see how the Japanese debt went next week. It seems that the bears will be ecstatic over the weekend.
Although without Abe’s shackles, Fumio Kishida’s position as Prime Minister looks stable, in fact, his life will be more difficult. The Liberal Democratic Party has always been full of factions. Without the control of the prime minister, all kinds of ambitious people will emerge.
According to the United States’ consistent experience of manipulating politics, these people will be the first to show their kindness to the United States in order to compete for power and profit. Now it is the economic recession provoked by the United States itself. Americans are most realistic and ask for nothing more than to see who is most willing to cut meat and feed eagles.
Finally, it depends on whether the Japanese people or the consortium bled.
In this way, without Abe carrying it, the prime minister’s throne has become a hot potato.
But the world is like this. With the death of many great people, the earth is still relentless, and no one can break the objective laws. The relationship between countries depends on strength after all, depending on the interests.
Whether he is friendly or not is really not up to anyone the final say, even if he becomes the Prime Minister of Japan.