Author: Kafka is busy Source: outsider’s horizon (ID: hooyar_380097485)
Up to now, the Russian Ukrainian war has involved no one who seems to have taken advantage of it, forming a situation of total loss.
The United States seems to have provoked the war and sold a lot of weapons and energy at a high price, but the hegemony of the dollar has been hit. Compared with the business of printing money, everything is petty profit, which is called losing the watermelon to pick sesame seeds. Some people there praise the so-called big chess game planned by the United States, but the good chess suddenly turns into checkers, jumping behind, even the Middle East dares not to give face to the White House. If the petrodollars have no oil endorsement, Can this dollar work?
Europe seems to stand on the so-called political correctness, but in fact, it is taking a stone to smash its own economy. The reason why Europe can keep high-end manufacturing industry is that it relies on the direct supply of cheap natural gas from Russia, which has been highly dependent on Russia for more than ten years. It has formed a symbiotic relationship with each other, and even under the instigation of the United States, it allowed NATO to expand northwards, forcing Russia not to fight. Well, we understand that we can sacrifice bravely for the sake of the so-called ideological and political correctness, but you are sacrificing the industrial foundation on which you depend for survival. Can you give up at will?
If we don’t make any plans in advance, even if it is early to blend with the Middle East, build a new energy channel, and get rid of the dependence on Russian energy, then we can do it again. What is the purpose of taking the initiative to jump into the big mud puddle without preparing for anything and doing anything?
It seems that Ukraine played a little bit of energy and spirit after the war, and now it has counterattacked unexpectedly. But is this so-called victory really reliable? Irritated Russia, forcing people to give up the brand of “teacher of benevolence and righteousness” and directly come to a people’s livelihood project with you. What will the whole country rely on in the future? I have never heard of any sovereign country that can live a good life by selling its sovereignty. Maybe some small countries can do it, but Ukraine is twenty cents, which is not small enough.
If this war goes on, Russia will suffer as much as Ukraine. Don’t mention that the price of energy is getting higher and higher. It makes money every day. It doesn’t cost much to fight. In the past, Russia’s military strength was overestimated, and a bunch of former Soviet republics around it could still follow it. But this war has exposed its true military heritage, and the five Central Asian Stans are now ready to say goodbye openly. Aside from the adverse economic effects and political accounts, can Russia still be regarded as a first-class military power when it fights with Ukraine? Without this confidence, how can we intervene in international affairs?
In the first sentence of Sun Tzu’s Art of War, it is written: “War is a national event, a place of life and death, and a way to survive and die.”. Therefore, Chinese military personnel have always carried out rigorous and thorough temple calculations before fighting, not counting how much money they have won, but how they can cope with it if they lose.
These days, Ukraine has made great efforts to reclaim 6000 square kilometers of land. But does the war really depend on the gains and losses of competing for one city and one place? The monetary system of Ukraine has been completely blocked by Europe, and the money printing machine is not recognized by its allies. Can the economy continue like this?
Then we can only rely on the assistance of the United States and the West. Although the United States does not like Russia, will it really like Ukraine playing the Nazi card?
In my opinion, if Ukraine really suddenly becomes full of martial arts, the first one to turn against it may be the United States and the West, because Ukraine is much closer to Europe than Russia. The most important thing in modern hot war is weapons and equipment. Who can Ukraine rely on to supply arms now?
Yesterday’s news was that Russia publicly announced that it would completely de dollarize!
In a quadrangle fight, no matter how developed, there was no winner. Everyone lost together. Now it’s just more ugly than who lost. It’s hardly even the so-called zero sum game.
If the decision-makers had a pattern of strategic thinking, who would go to instigate a situation of four losses? Later, I thought that things in the world have always been changed by turns. In the past, the Eight Power Allied Forces bullied China, but now they are fighting among themselves. This is really “if you don’t believe me, look up and see who the heaven has spared”.
Look at Amelia, the world’s number one imperialist. Is her military strength really unparalleled? In recent years, whether Syria or Afghanistan, they have faced a weaker opponent than Ukraine, and they have not been beaten to pieces? Iran, a hard core in the Middle East, has no courage to rush over and beat directly.
The heirs of the old imperialists are bound together and the competition is rotten, which means that the world pattern will return to the right path again.
I remember that many years ago, there was a popular trend of thought called “River Elegy”. Later, there were people like Liang Wendao who inherited great knowledge and called out the wisdom of marine culture there every day.
To put it bluntly, the so-called marine culture is nothing more than a kind of bandit culture. A small England dares to inflate itself into a constant state. When the great powers walked around the world in those days, where was not the way to rob money and territory, and continue to rob money after robbing territory?
At that time, we had been poisoned by the slave culture of the Manchu for too long, so we had a history of semi colonial humiliation that lasted for a hundred years. But this does not mean that robber logic and robber culture are sophisticated. Robbery cannot last long. The imperialists also started to pretend to be gentlemen when they grabbed the back, but no matter how to disguise civilization and civilization, there is no way to deal with a set of robber thinking hidden in the bones.
I can’t help it. Who told them that they were so successful? And with the inheritance of robbery, the robbers have never been beaten. How can they really admit their mistakes and repent?
When you look at this conflict between Russia and Ukraine again, you will find that why do you have to get injured together? In essence, traditional thinking has played a leading role. None of the parties involved thought about who they wanted to win with. All they wanted was a win-win situation. By attacking the other party, they gained the upper hand, and then the winner took all.
However, a fight in which no one may have an absolute advantage is bound to become a bad debt in the end. No one is willing to admit defeat, win take all, and be eaten up and wiped out after losing. This is a rule engraved in the bones. So when fighting, the more aimless it is, the more it becomes to fight for the sake of fighting. The longer it takes, the more you lose.
Those who are doing foreign trade in Europe are overjoyed. Now Europe’s industry has been abandoned by high energy prices. In fact, the so-called European allies have a lot of energy on their hands. If they are willing to take a long-term view, at this time, the United States, Australia, Canada and other places should crazy explode productivity, increase energy supply, so as to help their allies sustain.
However, in the bandit culture, there are no real allies, only with their own pocket interests. The United States has taken the lead in reducing the production of crude oil and increasing the price of natural gas, and has also blocked the smooth passage of the Iran nuclear agreement.
This is to say that the so-called developed country system maintained by the United States and the West is only a shell, and the skeleton is scattered, after Russia was not pierced, but our brothers were pierced first, and European industry was completely hollowed out.
Now the solution offered by G7 is to limit the price of Russian energy exports. Once this pure imperialist banditry act is successfully implemented and injured, there must be more than one Russia. All countries that eat raw materials are alert and afraid that they are the next victim. Therefore, after being temporarily depressed, the oil price began to rebound firmly.
In the final analysis, energy is really not a buyer’s market, and the G7 is not strong enough to dominate the world at will.
Interestingly, according to the robber logic, the more bad debts, the longer they will drag on. No one can stop participating in the four parties, but they can only carry on.
This year’s climate is abnormal. According to the prediction of climatologists, this winter will be extremely cold. In the ice and snow, it is difficult to expand the scale of the war, but the confrontation will continue. Then everyone will dig corners of the wall, allies and opponents, and no one should stop.
Sometimes it’s interesting to see the history of human civilization. No matter how much force is used to plunder civilization, the last trace of vitality will be consumed by excessive plundering and disappear in the long river of history.
For many years, the only thing that can last forever is our Chinese civilization. Farming culture has never lagged behind, and the power of construction is greater than destruction in this world.