Original: Zhanhao source official account: Zhanhao wechat id:zhanhao668
Former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was assassinated on July 8. It is really surprising that this Japanese politician, the longest serving prime minister in history, ended his life in this way.
The assassination of Shinzo Abe is a major event, which will not only affect the pattern of Japanese politics, but also have a significant impact on the regional situation. Then, we can’t help asking, why was he assassinated? Who was the culprit of his assassination? What impact will his death bring? This series of questions is not easy to answer, but they must be answered!
We need to say more about Shinzo Abe. The politician who once served as the longest Prime Minister of Japan is now the largest political family in Japan. The original strength of Abe’s political family came from his grandfather and former Prime Minister kishiuke. Kishisuke was an important class a war criminal who invaded China. In those days, he was one of the “five tigers of Manchuria” and was known as the “demon of Showa”. He was the chief culprit in promoting the comfort women system and one of the important founders of 731. After the war, kishisuke was also the originator of the right wing in Japanese politics.
Then, someone may ask, why are class a war criminals still released? Why did you become the Prime Minister of Japan? The reason is very simple. After World War II, the cold war between the United States and the Soviet Union began, and Japan became the bridgehead of the cold war between the United States and the Soviet Union. Therefore, kishinsuke was released by the United States and became an important agent of Japanese rule in the confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union.
Abe died, some people know nothing about Abe, and even think that Abe is “pro China”, which is really speechless. Shinzo Abe’s most admired person is his foreign minister kishizuki, who is also kishizuki’s political successor. His lifelong ideal is to amend the peace constitution and make Japan a so-called “normal country”. Shinzo Abe visited the Yasukuni Shrine four times, revised textbooks to beautify the history of aggression against China, and refused to recognize the Bostan announcement. At first, the former prime minister was extremely Anti China. Later, he was forced to ease his attitude towards China due to diplomatic needs, but after repairing his attitude towards China, he began to stand on the side of the United States extremely Anti China… Excuse me, how did such a Japanese extreme right wing become “pro China” in the mouth of some people?
Shinzo Abe’s assassination was indeed sudden, on the one hand, because Japan has strict gun control, on the other hand, the assassination of politicians in Japan in history is also very rare, so Abe’s assassination was an unexpected accident.
However, although Abe’s assassination was unexpected, it was logical. Because Abe’s assassination is precisely the epitome of geopolitics’ internal break-up in a country’s politics against the backdrop of the world’s unprecedented changes in a century.
In the view of Zhanhao (wechat official account: Zhanhao), this at least shows that there is a signal of rupture in Japan’s internal politics. Some people may say that this may be a neurotic assassination. Although the Japanese government may give such a result, this probability is extremely low. The most likely is that under the high pressure of the world situation and geopolitics, Japan’s internal politics has been strongly involuted to the point of irreconcilability, and someone finally ended Abe in this extreme way.
So why is there such an extreme break in Japan’s internal politics?
According to Zhanhao (wechat official account: Zhanhao), the fundamental reason is that the United States is currently actively promoting the Indian Pacific strategy and the new cold war to deal with China, while Japan is trying to take advantage of American hegemony to promote the new cold war to suppress China. It needs to take advantage of Japan’s power to achieve the so-called goal of national normalization and even amending the peaceful constitution. In order to achieve this goal, the political side of the United States completely. Who led Japan on the side of the United States? It is precisely Abe. This round of Japan’s so Anti China began with Abe, who also made irresponsible remarks on the Taiwan issue a few days ago. If he is not assassinated this time, his plan this month is to visit Taiwan, China, China, and then pay tribute to Lee Teng Hui, a “Taiwan independence” element.
With such an attempt, Japan will inevitably be pushed to the forefront of Anti China and containment by the United States, or Japan has jumped to the forefront actively. In this way, Japan has become the Oriental bridgehead of the U.S. Indo Pacific strategy and the new cold war. Under this pattern, strategic differences will inevitably occur within Japan in the future political future. As a far right politician, Abe is a political flag that constantly turns right to make peace with the United States and promote the confrontation of the new cold war. Therefore, when contradictions become irreconcilable and intensified, Abe becomes the target.
So why did the assassin take such an extreme way to assassinate Abe?
In Zhanhao’s view, the core reason is that Japan is increasingly developing to the extreme right, and when some extremist forces think they can’t turn the situation around, they begin to think of such extreme ways to try to stop the current development trend of Japanese politics. Therefore, Abe’s assassination this time should be an extreme act chosen by his opposition forces when they feel unable to turn the situation around.
So, which force is this? In Zhanhao’s view, this force is trying to prevent Japan from moving towards new militarism in the most extreme way, so it is highly possible to assassinate another extreme force this time. If you pay attention, the killer of Abe’s assassination, Kazuki Yamauchi, is also a “term self-defense officer” who joined the post in 2002 and has received annual live fire training. Japan’s defense ministry also said that the “tenure self-defense officer” is a self-defense officer with a term of office. The suspect is a member of the maritime self defense force. The term of office is once every three years, and he retired after the term of office expires in 2005.
According to the latest news released by Japanese officials, Yamauchi also confessed that he was dissatisfied with Abe and wanted to kill him, but he was dissatisfied not because of his political position, but because of his unexpected attitude. This statement is obviously unsatisfactory, because you can’t imagine that a person assassinates a politician not because of politics. There is a high probability that he can’t say anything about the forces behind him, but there can’t be no forces behind him. In fact, even you can’t understand why Abe’s security is so loose. This person walked a few meters behind Abe with a homemade gun and no one paid attention. Even if the first shot didn’t hit anyone at all, the security personnel didn’t take action in time until Abe was stunned for a second or two and fell when the second shot hit. It’s completely unbelievable if no one planned it.
The assassination of Shinzo Abe is definitely a major event. He will not only cause an earthquake in Japanese politics, but also have a major impact on the regional geopolitical situation in Zhanhao’s view. The relevant impact should include at least three aspects:
1? It will cause an earthquake in Japanese politics, and there is likely to be an internal purge
Abe’s death is bound to trigger a political earthquake in Japan. First of all, Abe is the helmsman of the Abe family, the most influential political family in Japan, and the most influential politician in Japan at present. His sudden death will inevitably lead to the reorganization of political forces, which will inevitably lead to an earthquake in Japanese politics, and the power struggle between various factions will inevitably unfold.
Although this time an extremist force shot and killed Abe, the flag figure who turned right, it does not mean that the right-wing forces will be hurt. In Zhanhao’s view, the fact will be just the opposite, and the right-wing forces will have more and more influence in the future. On the one hand, this is because the right-wing forces are likely to carry out a political purge of the opposition forces. On the other hand, the Japanese people will also support the right-wing forces more because of Abe’s death. Therefore, Abe’s death will not weaken Japan’s right-wing forces, but will strengthen their influence.
2? Japanese politics will accelerate to the far right, and militarism may revive
The killer assassinated Abe, probably with the intention of preventing Japan from moving to the far right and not falling into the trap of the great power game. However, the fact may backfire. The reason is also very simple. Abe’s death will make the right-wing forces more extreme and clarify the opposition forces. As the right-wing forces are stronger, they will strike against non right-wing forces. At the same time, the Japanese people will inevitably support the right wing and the extreme right wing more because of Abe’s death. Therefore, Japan’s constitutional amendment is likely to be passed in the future, and even militarism may resurrect. In this regard, we must be highly vigilant.
3? It will pose a challenge to regional peace
If Japan goes to the extreme right, or even starts to go to the extreme, it will inevitably further strengthen its military capabilities, and at the same time, it will inevitably make the United States more active in borrowing Japan to do things around China. If an increasingly extreme country, especially the far right, has more and more markets, then this country is a risk point for neighboring countries. In fact, Japan is likely to accelerate the threat and challenge to the region and peace in the future. In this regard, we also need to be highly vigilant.