Author: Kafka is busy source: outsider’s horizon (id:hooyar_380097485)
Long ago, there were two economic powers in Asia, one was Japan, the yen was hailed as a global safe haven currency, and the other was South Korea, which was regarded as the Canary of the world economy.
Boasting for a long time, they even think that they are beyond the social rules, with their tails cocked high.
The Japanese thought that as long as they dared to print money, Japanese manufacturing would reach its peak again, and they could buy another Japan with the money printed by the US emperor.
As usual, many Japanese media boast that Japan’s overseas investment income can equal Japan’s GDP. We can’t deny this data. How much Japanese have invested, and how much investment is the high-quality asset that international capital borrows a cheap vest to Japan to buy for itself?
For example, a large consortium in country m knows that the interest rate of yen is low, so it borrows a large amount of yen, buys high-quality assets in country a, and then mortgages them to the Bank of Japan. In this cycle, who is the overseas investment?
Of course, when high-quality assets are not high-quality, the oil and water of the collateral are drained, and then the bad debts are broken down, and the backhand is returned to the Bank of Japan. Anyway, the people’s central bank can print money frantically without pressure.
Someone has to ask, why should the Bank of Japan be such an unjust leader?
Because the US Army is stationed in Japan, the Japanese yen is the colonial currency of the US dollar, and the Japanese economy is developing in the circle set by the United States.
The Bank of Japan, along with the Bank of Japan, has gone black on the road of opening up and become a listed company. Where does objectivity and independence come from?
Only our public figures still can not wake up to the American dream. Even the Americans themselves have stopped doing it.
The direct involvement of American capital is deeply guarded in many countries. At this time, a long-term low browed Japan is needed to be a vest.
There is a well-known Japanese TV series, Naoki banzawa, which tells the story of the workplace struggle in Japan’s financial sector. There is a procuratorial Bureau of the financial department, which is old and powerful. The 20billion yen bad debt can make you withdraw 150billion yen of risk reserves. If you can’t do it, big banks can make you bankrupt every minute. This is a bit like the famous special search Department of Tokyo local prosecutors.
The most feared thing about debt is run on the bank. Debt can be ironed by cycle. For example, in 2018, everyone said that Tesla was on the verge of bankruptcy because of debt. If someone came here to press for debt, it would certainly be bankrupt. At that time, Tesla’s bonds also became junk bonds. But in 2020, who dares to say that Tesla’s bonds are junk bonds?
Asset transformation requires time and the continuous care of the capital market.
The financial department has set up a Supervision Bureau, which can go online under the guise of maintaining systematic financial security, directly label an asset as bad, and then force the upstream financial institutions to solve the problem, either go bankrupt or sell off their debts.
Of course, at this time, there are various international rating agencies to help, as well as various news and public opinion to stir up the flames. This is how many potential technology enterprises in Japan are played and bankrupted.
So do you think American financial colonization is only as simple as it seems?
In fact, behind the whole democratic system is a comprador representative system. In the name of democracy, compradors representing their own interests dress up as public opinion spokesmen and become politicians. In the name of freedom, they Castrate a country’s financial autonomy and allow the free flow of wealth. Ultimately, a country’s wealth is bound by the US dollar. Once the Federal Reserve sends a signal, a large number of wealth flee, leaving only debt to their country.
After the Federal Reserve started the signal of raising interest rates and shrinking the table, the yen depreciated sharply. Why did the Bank of Japan buy 10.5 trillion yen of bonds last week regardless of the yen exchange rate?
Some people say that Japan is trying to curry favor with the United States by throwing down the exchange rate of the whole Asia with its own strength in order to ease the inflationary pressure on the United States in the face of imported inflation.
It’s naive to think so. When did the Federal Reserve really take the suffering of the American people seriously? Besides, what can really make us inflation better depends on the Middle East tycoons cutting meat and feeding eagles.
There is no shortage of crude oil in the United States, and the United States does not lack dollar subsidies to oil refiners to drive down oil prices. However, the financial policy of the United States is to maintain the status of the dollar.
As long as the interest rate of the Federal Reserve is raised and the US dollar appreciates, the currencies of various countries have depreciated relative to the US dollar.
The world wealth belongs to the United States, and most of the world currencies are freely convertible. In order to preserve their wealth, those wealth owners and big men will exchange their wealth in their own currency for that in dollars.
The fiscal policy makers of various countries who have learned from the textbooks given by the Federal Reserve have started to raise interest rates to cope with the collapse of their currencies and the flight of the US dollar.
Think about it. What will happen this time?
Raising interest rates and shrinking the table, puncturing the country’s economic foam, is bound to be an economic downturn, and the debt released during the easing period will start to go wrong.
So those rich men changed dollars early. Is it just for the exchange rate?
The wealth corresponding to the local currency will plummet with the interest rate policy of the Federal Reserve, and it will go to the US dollar to avoid risk.
When the local currency assets have almost fallen, the big men can take the US dollar back and buy back their own high price sales. This high selling and low absorption is the legendary cut leek.
However, we should know that most of the assets are not directly controlled by the US capital, but more by the domestic compradors. When the domestic compradors get enough benefits in the tide of the dollar time and time again, what do you think they will do next?
Of course, it is more determined to the dollar and more loyal to the interests of the dollar. Therefore, the Federal Reserve is not afraid to issue more dollars. As long as this belief persists, there will be a large number of licking dogs who will constantly use the wealth accumulated by people all over the world to endorse the credit of the dollar.
When we understand this truth, we can understand why there is a big problem in South Korea.
After the outbreak of the epidemic, South Korea also learned from the United States to launch a wave of water release, and the consequences may be more serious than Japan.
The Japanese were hit hard by the foam crisis in the 1990s, so that the overall speculation of the people is much lighter now. Not many people dare to speculate in stocks and real estate, let alone currency.
However, Koreans have not suffered such a devastating blow. The flood of the epidemic has made Koreans highly active in speculation. I have seen a report before that there are more than 60million accounts active in the Korean stock market, while the total population of South Korea is only 50million, and the accounts active in the stock market are about 1.16 times that of the national population.
Not only adults, but even primary school students are proud to master speculative knowledge.
The epidemic has led to soaring real estate prices in South Korea and severe domestic inflation, which is also the reason for the decline in Moon Jae-in’s support rate.
Speculation in stocks, real estate and currency, a large number of foam wealth is expanding in South Korea.
As we all know, South Korea is a country in which the chaebol has a high degree of control over the national economy. In the 1997 financial storm, the localized chaebol, like Daewoo, ended up being dismembered alive, so the remaining chaebols began to actively connect with American capital. For example, Samsung simply handed over most of its shares to Wall Street.
So in this situation, how will the plutocrats choose? Of course, they will choose to use various covert means to transfer assets.
According to the news, Samsung has a backlog of 50million units, but what if the backlog is not so large? What if the inventory becomes another form of capital hidden overseas?
As a result, South Korea, which has always had a trade surplus, ran into a trade deficit for five consecutive months.
Of course, we should not be too conspiratorial to look at the problem of South Korea. South Korea, a country with poor land and scarce resources, is greatly affected by external inflation.
However, you can learn about the hot money playing method in the rapid development of foreign trade under the condition of tight currency in China since 2009, and you can know that the speculation about South Korea is not groundless.
After the chaebols kidnapped their own economy, they are not afraid to stir up a big mess, because in the end, the country will wipe the bottom of the chaebols with the wealth of the whole people for the sake of the economy.
When Samsung released such bad news like a bolt from the blue, it was estimated that Vietnam, which was blown into the sky every day, would soon have an economy on the roof.
In this way, the Federal Reserve promoted the first domino, and the world’s wealth followed one by one.
After the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, countries with freely convertible currencies will accelerate their capital flight if they do not follow the interest rate hike. If they adopt a more radical interest rate hike policy than the Federal Reserve, their foam economy will be punctured faster, and their currencies will plummet as a result.
So the yen chose to lie flat and crash to death. It doesn’t care how your exchange rate fell, because the exchange rate fell more. Those countries that trust Japan, such as unlucky Thailand. Why did the Asian financial crisis begin in Thailand? Isn’t it because Thailand and Japanese capital interact most closely?
But now, Russia has come to stir up the situation by directly trading energy in the local currency of a friendly country. In addition, Russia does not trust Europe and the United States and has a large amount of foreign exchange from selling energy.
As I said before, I am bullish on Hong Kong stocks, because Russia, which is now poor and has only money left, has only one channel to invest in Hong Kong stocks.
Hong Kong is the financial center of Asia, which means that many reconciliations can be completed through the HK platform.
With a large amount of hard currency, energy and food, a large amount of foreign exchange reserves, and Ivan, the great protector of the country, Russia has already torn its face with the United States. Instead, it can directly jump up and turn the table with the Federal Reserve.
In the first stage, the US capital dared to short the ruble and lost all its trousers.
During Kerry’s visit to Saudi Arabia in 2014, the oil price suddenly plummeted. Is it because of the sudden overcapacity?
No, the United States wanted to engage in global deflation, so it forced a large number of people to dive first. Saudi Arabia took the consequences. In those years, the princes of the Middle East had a hard time, and there were many complaints at home. That’s why the so-called liberals like kasuji, who are sought after by the west, have gained a lot of momentum.
This abuse of hegemony has consequences if it is unreasonable. Saudi Arabia can no longer buy it as before. What can we do if Biden Sr. really went in July?
Now even the backyard of the United States and Latin America are beginning to change. Colombia has an anti American president, and Argentina wants to be the regional general agent of the “Xiaolong” fighter.
This is a sign of the decline of American hegemony. The Federal Reserve can incite a financial crisis, but it has never been in danger. Recently, I am so strong that it is certainly not the free choice of some funds, but a stronger will.
Don’t forget that the world’s capital is both greedy and fearful. When it is found that the Fed’s means are exhausted and it can’t stir up some places, then the fear fades and the greed comes. In the United States, it is nothing but being cut off. Is anyone taking over the high dollar assets?
But at this time, there was another party struggle in the United States, and the military and national strength were declining. Biden looked like an empty president. Who would listen to him?
Stock trading is better than stock selection. If the time is not right, good cards have become bad chess.
I’m impressed, I must say. Seldom do I come across a blog that’s both equally educative and interesting, and let me tell you, you’ve hit the nail on the head. The issue is something that not enough men and women are speaking intelligently about. I’m very happy that I found this during my search for something relating to this.