Original: Zhanhao Source: official account: Zhanhao WeChat ID: zhanhao668
Sholtz suddenly made amazing remarks. On November 21 local time, Scholtz attended the economic forum hosted by the German media South Deutsche newspaper and said that the world was becoming increasingly multipolar and undergoing fundamental restructuring. The good times when European and North American countries could enjoy the best economy in the world – “stable growth, low inflation and high employment rate” have gone forever.
Why did Scholtz make such amazing remarks? This is due to his recent visit to China, his participation in the G20 Summit in Indonesia, and his visits to Vietnam and Singapore. So why did he make such remarks after his visit to Asia? How reasonable is what he said? Is the world really like what he said?
Scholtz delivered a speech on the 21st, as shown by German media
In fact, Scholtz shared his views on his so-called trip to Asia, which is really insightful. Scholtz said that after visiting Vietnam and Singapore, two different Southeast Asian countries, he clearly realized that “today, the world is becoming increasingly multipolar and undergoing fundamental restructuring”. In fact, aren’t these two positions that China has always adhered to? One position is that the world is moving towards multi polarization; Another position is that human society is undergoing unprecedented changes in a century, and the global political and economic order is accelerating its reorganization.
Therefore, what Scholtz said is essentially China’s view and prediction all along. Does it mean that Schultz was “brainwashed” by China when he came to China? Not so, but he came to the judgment after seeing the actual situation of the major countries in East Asia.
Then, what is the reason for Scholtz’s judgment? Scholtz believes that several decades ago, Vietnam, Indonesia and other countries had been producing cheap goods for the European and North American markets; Now, the middle class with purchasing power in the world has increased by 1 billion people. For this reason, the good times when European and North American countries could enjoy the best economy in the world – “stable growth, low inflation and high employment rate” are gone forever.
If you look at this word alone, many people may not understand it. Here, Zhanhao (WeChat official account: Zhanhao) will analyze it from the deep logic.
In the past few decades, Vietnam, Indonesia and other countries (including China, of course) have all provided cheap goods to the United States and the West. The connotation of these extremely cheap goods is that the profits of East Asian producers are very, very low, so low that these countries can only produce these cheap goods for the West, so that the West can enjoy the demographic dividend and welfare of other countries.
So how can developed countries control all this? It mainly includes five means:
1? Technical means
The so-called technology means that the developed countries in the United States and the West master high technology, then sell their high-tech products to East Asian countries at a high price to obtain high added value, and then use the money earned to buy cheap goods from developing countries. For example, China used to exchange 800 million shirts for a Boeing aircraft. You can imagine the labor volume of a Boeing aircraft and 800 million shirts. The reason for this exchange is that Boeing aircraft has high technical content and shirts can be processed by anyone, but only a few countries in Europe and the United States can build large passenger aircraft. There are many other high-tech products, all of which are so logical.
2? Intellectual property means
The United States and the West have advanced technology and capital, so they have a leading edge in technology, so they have registered a large number of patents, and then use the logic of intellectual property protection to charge a large amount of intellectual property fees from developing countries. This can not only suppress developing countries in technology, but also obtain a layer of rich profits again. Of course, the corresponding is that the economic interests of developing countries are being eroded again.
So, how to deal with all this? That is to seek technological breakthroughs. However, for developing countries, most of them have no technological and capital base to develop high-tech, so they can only be suppressed.
3? Financial investment means
What are financial instruments? For example, in peacetime, the interests of developing countries can be shared through investment. However, once the developing countries have developed, the United States can use financial means to launch an economic war and a currency war, and attack the economies of relevant countries through exchange rates and capital markets, thus plundering the economies of relevant countries. For example, the Plaza Accord against Japan in the 1980s and 1990s, and the Asian financial crisis against East Asia in 1997 were all crises created by the United States and plundered developing countries.
4? Political and diplomatic means
Political and diplomatic means are to force relevant countries to open their markets, and then developed countries use their technological advantages to give away the industries that relevant countries want to develop, and then let relevant countries only develop low-end industries and become low-cost processing plants in the United States and the West.
5? Military means
It is really no good. There is still a last resort, that is, to launch military operations. In recent years, the United States and its allies have always fought one thing or another to control each other’s politics by military means, and then control each other’s economy. The wars in Afghanistan and Iraq are the same, the wars in Libya and Syria are the same, and the current wars between Russia and Ukraine are also the same. They are all interests in essence.
So, why is Scholtz’s statement so reasonable? Because the East has revived a great country and power, that is, China. It has taken decades to complete its technology accumulation step by step. Now, not only does China have the most complete industrial chain and the largest production capacity in the world, but even the United States can only put pressure on China in a few chip fields. There is no other technology that can block China’s neck at all. For example, the C919 has been put into operation in China, so the past 800 million shirts for a Boeing era is certainly gone! For another example, mobile phones made in China have occupied the global market, even Chinese brands have accounted for half of the country. At the same time, with the help of new energy, China’s automobile industry has also risen. This year, it has surpassed Germany as the world’s second largest automobile exporter, and it will soon surpass Japan!
Because of China’s breakthrough, China’s economic development model is different from that of the West, so it does not have the bottom line of exploitation as the West does. China uses China’s ability to help other countries make a big cake to achieve mutual benefit and win-win results. All these are not competitive with the United States and the West. This is the fundamental reason why the United States cannot succeed in “decoupling” China. Recently, Germany, Japan and the Netherlands have all clearly opposed the “decoupling and chain breaking” of the United States. This is because they finally saw the situation, rather than really starting to be friendly to China!
Now, Schultz said this because after visiting China, Indonesia, Singapore and Vietnam, he found that the developing countries in East Asia, led by China, now have the purchasing power and can buy their own goods. Moreover, the products produced by the developing countries, led by China, are no longer just low-end products, which will eventually lead to the inevitable shuffle of the world’s political and economic. All these core forces are China!
Of course, although the United States is still engaged in the so-called “decoupling and chain breaking”, it is an impossible goal, because its allies cannot do it either!