Original: Gu Ziming authorized to reprint this article to wechat official account: zhengshitang plus2019
Shinzo Abe, one of the best politicians in Asia, the former Prime Minister of Japan, passed away.
On the morning of August 8, at a public event in Nara, an attacker dressed in gray fired several shots at Abe with a shotgun disguised by a camera.
In the evening, the rescue was declared invalid.
This is the beginning of July. After OPEC secretary general and British Prime Minister, another politician who can influence the world has left his stage.
Moreover, compared with Johnson, another close friend of trump, Abe was still the most influential politician in the world even after he resigned as prime minister before his death.
He was born in the Changzhou faction valve, which was founded by Hirofumi ITO and Yoshiko Yamashita, the five prime ministers of the Meiji Restoration era, including Keitaro, Masayoshi Terauchi, yoshiichi Tanaka and other Japanese prime ministers.
The background is the existence of yuan shaoban IV Sangong. His grandfather kishiuke and his grandfather Sato Rong have all served as prime ministers of Japan. His father, foreign minister Shintaro Abe, would also have served as prime minister that year if he had not died unexpectedly.
At the same time, Abe himself is also the top leader of the Abe faction (i.e. the Qinghe Policy Research Association), the largest political faction in the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan. He not only has the highest voice in parliament, but also has the heaviest decision-making power in the selection of Japanese Prime Minister.
However, the politician who could decide the fate of Northeast Asia, who should have been in a high state of security, died of a traditional American shooting presidential script (a total of 9 times), and was taken away by a neurotic patient who fired several shots.
It is hard to imagine that after Merkel left office and was bypassed by security personnel to give him a warning, another top politician stepped down, and the security personnel around her made such a major mistake.
At this moment, the “Sichuan zhaolie”, who just announced his campaign for 2024 and was ready to return to the White House, lost his “Wolong Phoenix” within 24 hours and bid farewell to his two strongest supporters of European strategy and Asian strategy.
It is unknown whether the werewolf killing of “close your eyes after dark” for several days will trigger a domino effect in the Middle East. But what is certain is that his death is a major blow to China Japan relations and the stability of Northeast Asia.
Compared with the previous change of Japanese Prime Minister, Abe, who has been in charge for 2800 consecutive days, is the longest serving prime minister in Japanese history.
As the only “Godfather” in Japan who has the strength to balance all forces, Abe skillfully balances the relations between China and the United States, Japan, China, Japan and Russia, as well as the left and right sides in Japan.
However, his efforts to integrate the normalization of Northeast Asia and Japan have been defeated by the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis and the 20-year covid-19 pandemic.
Now, with Abe’s departure from Japanese politics, no Japanese politician will be able to spend years of effort to achieve long-term goals and continue to endure in order to make a comeback. If they can keep their position, they have spent all their efforts.
No Japanese politician will try his best to maintain the delicate balance of the powder keg of Northeast Asia. No more will he be boiling in the face of public opinion, grovelling to the three countries of China, the United States and Russia, and no more will he organize members of the Liberal Democratic Party to donate money to us in the face of public opposition.
In order to achieve its own strategic goals, an opponent who can compromise to keep a useful body, who can learn from Sima Yi to pretend to be ill and avoid political vortex again and again, deserves our attention and vigilance, as well as our admiration and learning.
Now, with the death of Abe, we have lost our most threatening opponent in the Asia Pacific region, and Japan’s normalization rate will probably become a flower in the water.
However, in the post Abe era, Japan’s threat and uncertainty to China will continue to increase.
Moved by the spontaneous memorial ceremony for Abe, the Liberal Democratic Party, which originally took the right-wing line, won enough votes in the upcoming general election to promote Japan’s policy towards right-wing militarism.
The fanaticism of the right wing will force Japanese politicians to become tougher on the following issues: Ghost worship, Dokdo, North Korea nuclear power, Diaoyu Islands, the four northern islands and Taiwan. Some relations between China, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Russia and China may be on fire.
At the same time, amending the Constitution and normalizing the country will be the political will of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and become the unified caliber and unswerving political line of countless Japanese politicians’ vote politics.
In order to speed up the amendment of the constitution to fulfill their election commitments to voters, some short-sighted Japanese politicians will abandon Abe’s idea of economic integration in Northeast Asia, unilaterally meet the various demands of the Biden government and act as pawns, and even pay for Biden’s global infrastructure policy against China.
Now, the East Asian monster house, which has the most abundant military virtue in the world, has lost the tranquilizing needle that has maintained the balance for 20 years, and Japan, the source of war, may lose control and move towards right-wing militarism, adding a lot of uncertainty and a touch of indescribable flavor to this great change that has not been seen in a century.