Author: Li Daxianren Source: Yixianren outside Di’an Gate (ID: damyyxx)
The Russo Ukrainian War was the beginning of a new order, and ambitious individuals on the edge of the order were eager to try, frantically probing, and willing to be pawns; The players outside the board bury holes in the game, encourage consumption, and use hidden arrows.
In addition to the largest chess piece Zelensky, there are also those who are trying to jump off the chessboard, including Armenian Prime Minister Pashnyan who has been causing a lot of trouble, and Kosovo’s Kurti who just “jumped”. Everyone in Ukraine is very familiar with it. This time, let’s talk about the following two small countries.
Armenian Prime Minister Pashnyan
Armenia is located in the Transcaucasus, which was originally Russia’s sphere of influence. Putin relied on force to suppress Armenia and Azerbaijan, which were not pleasing to each other, and deployed heavy troops in the conflicted Naqa, maintaining a delicate balance of power.
However, due to his performance in the Russo Ukrainian War, the pro American Pachynyan saw an opportunity to challenge order and wanted to take advantage of his elder brother’s weakness to forcibly occupy Naka, thus igniting the flames of war.
The situation around Naka
The United States, outside of the market, also hopes to use Armenia as a breakthrough point to loosen the overall order pattern, constantly fanning the flames and secretly supporting it.
At the beginning of the war, Armenia had a military advantage, while Russia was unable to withdraw. The unexpected surprise attack left Azerbaijan unable to withstand it, and Azerbaijan gradually retreated in Naqa.
But Türkiye, in the west of the Caucasus, made a quick move to provide Azerbaijan with a large number of drones, promoting the rapid reversal of the war situation. The advantage that Armenia has gained has been completely lost, and the troops stationed in Naqa have been forced back to their homeland.
But Armenia never withdrew from the front line, especially after seeing NATO’s continuous gains on the Ukrainian battlefield, Pachynyan fantasized about the United States entering and recapturing the city. Finally, in September 2022, Pelosi’s high-profile visit to Armenia was actually to encourage more ambitious individuals to step forward and cause more harm to Russia.
At the same time, for Türkiye on the fence, the United States will focus on the secret front. The opposition party in the 2023 Türkiye’s general election platform wants to get rid of Erdogan, who was hit by the earthquake and inflation in the early stage, through the public opinion and intelligence offensive, so that Türkiye can take the place of the “Gandhi of the people” and have a foothold in the Eurasian continent once and for all.
In May 2023, Erdogan went through a tough battle, rarely failing to win in the first round of voting, and resorted to a strategy of pressing the bottom of the box before breaking through in the final round.
But if you win, you win. The Sudan who has kept its position finally frees up and continues to control the game in the Caucasus.
The United States changed its strategy. After all, it had to ask Türkiye, a member of NATO, to win Sweden to join NATO. So it instantly changed its face and abandoned Armenia. As a result, last month, the arrogant Pakinian sat on the negotiating table and bitterly acknowledged the “territorial integrity”.
After Armenia finished, it was Serbia’s turn to suffer the biggest heartache – Kosovo.
The current “Prime Minister” of Kosovo, Kurti, has long received Western training and is no bad at being a demon. The farce of a local election in May 2023 ignited the situation in the northern Serb gathering area and left Serbia’s Vucic in a state of anxiety.
Kosovo’s Prime Minister Kurti
But unlike Pacinian who received high-level interviews from Pelosi at the time, Kurti was rarely threatened by the United States to stop at the end of May. He was not only required to withdraw the mayor’s minority support, but also expelled from multinational military exercises.
The United States recognized Kosovo’s independence in 2008, and Kurti must have thought he was a favored candidate in the West.
Especially seeing Ukraine receiving a new round of military aid and weapons, Kurti speculated that a major counterattack was imminent, and NATO was ready for a full-scale war. With NATO backing up the situation, it would be better to be the lead that ignited the war. Therefore, he took the lead in breaking the situation in Serbia on the Russian side to gain more benefits.
But obviously he misevaluated the situation. On June 2, Kosovo was put on the peace table by Makron, Solz and Borrelli. They were not only forced to promise to remove the mayors supported by minorities, but also promised not to cause trouble or trouble, and the whole situation in Kosovo was forced to cool down.
Kosovo peace talks
In short, the Russo Ukrainian War has loosened the existing boundaries of order, allowing ambitious individuals at the Eurasian border to see the opportunity to expand their positions and have the impulse to overrule.
But chess pieces are ultimately chess pieces, and it is impossible to kidnap players and invest more resources and take one more step.
You see, Zelensky, although he was in the limelight two years ago, he has now been accused in Ukrainian courts. Those insincere intelligence messages will be sent to prison when they mature, and even silenced when necessary.
So people, they really have their own points. Having a goal is good, but one cannot become an ambitious person, especially because ambition carries the blame on others. Those who secretly help you ascend are likely to have already planned to make you fall.
The protagonist is still a supporting role. We must understand that as a politician, at least, we should not let our country become a chessboard.
If virtue does not match one’s position, there will be disaster.