Original: Gu Ziming this article is authorized to be reproduced to wechat official account: political affairs hall plus2019
Ikum went up to hubenkua,
Li Tianxia, the fourth division of Jintan,
Unless I see death, I will not save you,
However, the Ukrainian army has seahorses.
Before the war, the Russian side always said that Ukraine was a Nazi. Well, the wish was finally heard by God, which directly summoned Manstein and Guderian.
Today, Ukrainian tanks and armored troops raided and captured the eastern transportation hubs of ikum and balakliya, and recovered more than 3000 square kilometers of territory by lightning.
In this regard, the spokesman of the Russian Defense Ministry said very forcefully that he was reorganizing his troops and wanted to “move forward” to donesk.
Watching the repetition of historical fragments, I almost laughed. It’s hard to say whether Zelensky has a moustache. In the face of the collapse of the Russian army’s front in the next few days, it is estimated that the Russian media will continue to act as the “Central Daily” and continue to pack the “Captain Jiang” who are running all the way.
Alas, I sincerely advise you not to be fooled by “my powerful Russia” and think that the emperor is “playing chess”.
There is an iron rule in diplomacy that what cannot be won on the battlefield cannot be won at the negotiating table. In a few days, Russia will win the final support of its allies in Central Asia, which is also his last chance to survive the winter.
The victory or defeat of the battle of ikum also determines how many chips Putin has in the game in Samarkand. It is impossible for the great emperor not to go all out. The only explanation is that Germany, for example, fell prey to the Allies’ plan of East and west when it landed in Normandy during World War II.
Now, with the fall of ikum, the “black nest”, the later scripts can be basically deduced with the help of the historical scripts of the battle of Guandu.
Originally, Ukrainian politicians who knew Russia inside would quickly cut off communication with Moscow. Europe, which was worried about the threat of food shortage in winter, would quickly supply food, grass and weapons to the Ukrainian front. The Ukrainian army with a strong morale would actively pursue the defeated Russian army. The eastern Ukrainian cannon fodder such as Zhang hegaolan might even surrender in an organized way.
The situation on the Russian side will be similar. Tian Feng, who persuaded the Russian army not to send troops, will be killed. After Russia collects the routed troops, it will assemble again to seek a big war. The accountability and internal entanglement after the failure will make it possible for the brothers and sisters of Yuan Tan and Yuan Shang to quarrel within the Russian army.
A few months ago, I said that Russia was bound to hit the head and bleed in the war situation. I analyzed whether Türkiye, Saudi Arabia, Iran and India, the four pillars of Russia, would be attacked by the United States one by one. I was chased and scolded by a group of readers, who said that I knew how to publicize the “winning hemp” of the United States.
Yes, if I write an article according to the mainstream opinion, boasting that Russia has won, saying that Biden has been bullied by all kinds of people, just like smoking opium, which makes everyone happy, I can still earn money, but if I smoke too much spiritual opium, I will lie in my comfort zone and can’t climb out.
Militarily, Ukraine is regarded as a weak chicken. It does not actively expand its army and produce armaments. It was attacked by a raid that does not pay attention to military morality. It threw away its armor and threw back the land it had eaten in the past four months, and fought the “most humiliating battle of the five permanent meetings”.
In terms of diplomacy, the United States did not actively respond, and regarded Biden and Antony Blinken as clowns who jumped out of the beam and did nothing. As a result, the four firm allies left in the trump era were pushed down one by one in a domino fashion, and the oil price fell from 130 to 80.
The first is to attack strategy, the second is to attack diplomatic relations, the second is to attack troops, and the next is to attack cities. The gains and losses of one city and one pool on the battlefield are not important. The changes in the battlefield situation are only the result of psychological warfare and diplomatic game between the United States and Russia.
However, the intelligence agencies and propaganda agencies that Russia relies on most only know how to win. They play with satellites digitally and make a great leap forward in war reports, which makes Russian decision-making groups believe it is true and frequently make wrong strategies.
Even the sharing mechanism of Russian intelligence agencies has brought the intelligence agencies of friendly countries into the ditch through self deception, resulting in a series of misjudgments.
On the contrary, strekov, known as Russia’s Yue Fei, who really cared about the war situation, was arrested and shut up because he said a few words of truth, and became Ju Xu and Tian Feng.
Finally, although the outcome has nothing to do with us, considering our investment, I still want to give a little advice to the emperor. Before coming here, take the opportunity to check the background of those Russian intelligence and propaganda agencies who won the hemp pie, just like the new Prime Minister of the queen of England, and you will find that they were all beautiful when they were young.
In this regard, the great emperor still needs to be careful. After all, before the Guandu war, Guo Tu, Xin Ping and Xin PI, the most vicious people in the Yuan Shao camp, were the first to take the initiative to surrender to Cao Cao after the war.