The Shangri La battle of the defense ministers of China and the United States!

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Original: guziming authorized to reprint this article to wechat official account: zhengshitang plus2019

On October 10, the 2022 Shangri La dialogue opened in Singapore.

Zelensky will deliver a speech at the meeting via video. Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is expected to make use of the Russian Ukrainian conflict to play up the “China Threat Theory”, create an excuse for its military expansion, and promote maritime military cooperation between more than 20 countries in the Asia Pacific region.

As for the real protagonists of the summit, US Defense Minister Austin and Chinese Defense Minister weifenghe will also hold their first meeting, and will deliver vision speeches on regional order and strategy on the 11th and 12th respectively.

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Unlike the trump era, when “brothers look at me”, the U.S. military strategy towards China in the Biden era was “brothers look at me”, allowing Japan to play the role of “Asian Poland Lithuania”, provoking the deterioration of diplomatic relations between Asian countries and China, and making Taiwan an “Asian Ukraine”.

Previously, Japan, which has profound influence in ASEAN, contributed the most to the establishment of the IPEF encirclement network in the United States. Next, when the United States plays the Taiwan card, the probability will not take the initiative, but will let Fumio Kishida, who is preparing to deliver a keynote speech, rush ahead.

If we want to prevent Japan from using Taiwan to make troubles, we must understand why Japan and Taiwan are still restless with the lessons of Ukraine.

Turning to Ukraine, why does Zelinski still insist on fighting with Russia when Germany and France, the EU’s shoulder, are against it? Because of the full support of the United States, the United States continuously transported supplies and arms to Zelensky through polish, Lithuanian and other agents.

Zelensky and the Ukrainian military and interest groups believe that the United States will sincerely support the reconstruction of Ukraine in the future, and Lithuania and Poland also believe that the United States will give them generous rewards in the process of supporting and rebuilding Ukraine.

This is the same as that in the 1980s, during the US Soviet confrontation, the United States continuously transported material resources to Afghanistan through China, in the 1950s, the United States continuously transported material resources to South Korea through Japan and Taiwan, and in the 1940s, the United States continuously transported materials to China through British colonies.

On the Korean Peninsula, on the Vietnamese Peninsula, and in Afghanistan, all parties acting as thugs are willing to spend millions of lives and young labor to fill in, not because they are belligerent, but because they are profitable.

Both the countries receiving assistance and the intermediate operators have collected a large amount of financial assistance and the transfer of technology and industrial chain from the United States and the Soviet Union.

As a result, when the clock entered the 1990s, the U.S. – Soviet struggle for hegemony ended, big countries no longer invested, and the mincing of these flesh and blood mills stopped abruptly.

In the past 40 years of us Soviet hegemony, the United States has established a credit in Asia, fought a proxy war for it, and will certainly be able to obtain “not for sale” level transaction support.

Therefore, Japan, which hopes to normalize the country and gain geographical control in the Asia Pacific region, and Taiwan, which hopes to obtain security and the transfer of the semiconductor industry, are easily bewitched by the Biden government and have the motivation to try to intensify contradictions.

As a result, there are not only Japanese leaders to engage in IPEF, but also the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) to frantically solicit U.S. lawmakers. Even KMT chairman Zhu lilun went to New York to “worship his ancestors” and publicly expressed that the KMT is a pro american party, “continue to fight against communism and compete with the Communist Party of China for values and systems”.

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All they shout is doctrine, and all they count in their hearts is business.

Therefore, since we see that they are all businesses, we also understand that they are not determined. As capitalists, we should calculate not only the income, but also the investment and risk.

Poland, Lithuania and Ukraine are willing to compete with Russia because they have secretly received military assistance from the Biden government and verbal promises for future reconstruction, and are willing to transfer payments for the war and rebuild the industrial chain.

Japan and Taiwan are willing to cause trouble because they have also obtained the secret promise given by the Biden government. Even Japan has played a leverage role and lobbied ASEAN countries with the promise of the United States.

But there is also a fatal problem with this logic.

The U.S. government and the elite are willing to pay real money, but the American people do not. The Biden government can pass the “lease act” to “borrow” equipment for free to Ukraine, but the investment and assistance of real money can not pass the parliament.

Faced with the explosion of inflation and split party interests, the American people will not support the government to pay for the reconstruction of Ukraine, which will bankrupt the credit of the US proxy war line.

Therefore, in this Sino US battle in Shangri La, the United States invited zelianski to play the war card of Ukraine in Singapore, while China needs to play the reconstruction card of Ukraine in Singapore, urging the United States and Japan to provide economic assistance to Ukraine as soon as possible and show sincerity, so as to uncover the fig leaf under the disguise of the United States.

At the same time, China needs to announce that it will make Asian countries understand the benefits of developing their economies together, and that once someone tries to start a war, it will not be a small battle, and everyone will have to pay a heavy price.

So there was the speech of our defense minister at the incense ceremony on the 10th:

If anyone dares to split Taiwan, the Chinese army will resolutely smash any separatist attempt for “Taiwan independence” at all costs and in the first World War, and resolutely safeguard China’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.

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