Author: Li Da idle person source: an idle person outside Di’an gate (ID: damyyxr)
Let me say a few words about the situation in Northeast Asia.
Since the Taiwan Strait cannot escape the fate of a head-on collision between the eldest son and the second son, Japan’s role is very delicate.
For Japan, the choice most in line with its national interests is to strike a balance between China and the United States. It should not only strengthen economic ties with the great powers in the East, but also keep up with the United States in security.
This is especially true for the prime minister.
Bad relations with the big powers in the East will lead to economic recession, declining support rate and potential replacement; If we go too far from the United States, we will be secretly set up by the pro american forces and the American gloves. Not only will our position be difficult to protect, but even our lives will be destroyed.
Because Abe was too pro China in the Republican trump era and was afraid of being liquidated by the Democratic Party, he not only had to resign, but also had to serve as the Anti China flag bearer after leaving office, so that his faction could win vitality in the democratic era.
After all, if the secretary is arrested, how much black material has been sent to the Tokyo District Prosecutor’s office, which is equivalent to a direct link to the CIA of the United States. If you don’t obey, you will be ruined.
In order to curry favor with the Democratic Party and take the name of offending China, Abe and his brother, who is the defense minister, have cooperated with each other inside and outside, jumping up and down on Taiwan Strait affairs, and even shouting the well-known saying “Taiwan has something to do, Japan has something to do.”.
For example, the Japanese parliamentarians’ visit to Taiwan these two days was originally intended by Abe himself. As a result, he himself suffered misfortune, leading to the loss of leaders among the Abe faction and making a joke about group decision-making.
Kishida adjusted the cabinet this time, taking back the key positions of the Abe faction one by one, and also placed many other forces to reconcile the mountain. So far, the Abe faction has no more power.
Kishida’s moral is very obvious. The Abe faction, which leaps across China and the United States, is no longer valued by the United States, so take advantage of the situation to win.
The two-day trip of Japanese parliamentarians to the Taiwan Strait is just a show of the waning power of the Abe faction, but they are not willing to be marginalized. They still want to cast their votes, but they can no longer stir up waves.
Since the pro China government has fallen, the new government should fully turn to the United States.
However, China and the United States are not the same as they were in the past. After Abe’s water is spilled, Ishida needs to take over the mantle of his predecessor and readjust the position of the middle line.
Japan’s previous enthusiasm for mixing with the G7 has much to do with the step-by-step efforts of the Abe faction. While Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan coincided with the adjustment of the Japanese cabinet, and Kishida had not yet completed the reshuffle, so the China policy was in an inertial sliding period.
During the adjustment period, Kishida needs to hand over the name of Anti China vote to the Democratic Party as much as possible without provoking the eastern powers.
Therefore, the great powers in the East must give some external pressure to Japan’s political situation under adjustment and warn it.
Now the adjustment has been completed. From the results, the water end of the bank field is relatively flat.
Then we should reopen the political dialogue that had been suspended for two years and send a telegram of condolence to Yasuda to ease the deadlock.
Political struggle is always a game of cards. Add more water to the noodles, and add more water to the noodles. All parties on the table have a tacit understanding.
In short, since Japan has the value of United Front work, it should try to win over, instead of pushing all Japanese forces into the enemy camp, it will become a lonely family.
As for South Korea, it is clear that Yin Xiyue is pressing Moon Jae-in step by step, and the butcher’s knife has been held high.
But if you want to use the knife, Yin Xiyue’s heat is not yet ready.
After all, Wen Xiang paid the painful price of Cao Guo, Qiu meiai, park FanJie and other confidants in those years, and the “special search power” of Yin Xiyue’s headquarters anti-corruption investigation department was finally put to an end; The adoption of the amendment of the criminal procedure law and the amendment of the procurator’s office law in the Congress also means that the procurator’s office has been deprived of the right to terminate investigation.
Yin Xiyue was born as an official, and the forces he knew were relatively single. Few people could be of great use. Even the head of the security room (equivalent to the head of the Central Security Bureau) was assumed by Jin Shenghan, a primary school classmate. Without a major general, it would be difficult for him to show his strength, let alone fight a hard battle.
Moreover, South Korea is now in a situation where the DPRK is small and the opposition is large. Yin’s extremely low support rate of 28% determines that he dare not take too big actions against Wen, otherwise the political arena will be turbulent and his position will be difficult to protect.
Since Moon Jae-in has not been overthrown and the ruling and opposition parties have not been unified, Yin Xiyue still has to look at the face of the eastern powers.
However, with the inevitable sinking of Moon Jae-in’s power, Yin Xiyue will soon show her true Anti China face and stand on the front line of the Asia Pacific region of the United States.
After all, South Korea does not have as abundant a hand as Japan. It is the inevitable fate of the small servant country that the United States “takes the hand” again under the dilemma of domestic and foreign troubles.
As far as we are concerned, the situation in Northeast Asia has reached the next level, so we need to have a different way of playing. We can’t grasp the past form, and we will only make the mistake of carving a boat for a sword.
Northeast Asia has reached the Shura field with high uncertainty. Japan’s new high military expenditure, the next turn of the South Korea, and the missiles and even nuclear bombs of its neighbors in the North
All crises seem to have behind the scenes. Governing a large country is like cooking a small dish, or uniting or fighting, all of them are trembling and walking on thin ice.
It is dry all day long and alert at sunset.