Author: Rong Ping Source: official account: Rong Ping (ID: rongping898) has been authorized to reprint
Half a month ago, I said that the war in Ukraine was almost over.
Now I still adhere to this view for the simple reason that both sides, Russia and Ukraine, cannot fight.
There is no need to say more about the reasons in Russia.
It seems that one country is fighting against Ukraine, but in fact, Russia is fighting against the entire NATO and the Western world with the strength of one country.
Ukraine contributed people, western countries contributed money and weapons, and continued to bleed Russia.
How can we fight this war?
The GDP of Russia is only equal to the volume of our country’s Guangdong Province. With the recent drop in oil prices and the disconnection of the Beixi Pipeline, Russia will soon be unable to support it.
However, how could Ukraine not support it?
As has been said before, is there a steady flow of blood transfusion from the Western world and NATO?
This is the case, but actually it is beyond our imagination.
We often say, what burns the most money in the world?
Is it gambling? Is it a financial crisis?
No, it’s a war.
War can not only kill people, but also destroy a country’s economy.
How many economic powers have finally fallen off the stage of history due to a war and debt?
We’ll be here in Ukraine again.
The daily ammunition consumption of the Ukrainian army is amazing.
According to the New York Times, the Uzbek army actually shoots 7000 shells every day.
Yes, you are right. It is 7000 shells a day.
It is not that Ukraine is making mistakes there, but that the Ukrainian army is also seriously injured and killed. Now it is not easy to replenish its troops, and only artillery shells can go ahead.
Each time we attack a place, we first bombard it with dense artillery and then send ground troops to it.
In fact, you are the commander of Ukraine, and you will do the same.
In terms of individual combat quality, when Ukrainian soldiers face Russian soldiers, they can’t get any advantage at all.
Everyone has one nose and two eyes. Why are you so good?
Therefore, only shells can be used.
Anyway, these shells are all supported by NATO, and we don’t need to pay for them, do we?
Of course, this is only the first reason.
The second reason, of course, is that there are activities of reselling cannonballs, left hand over right hand, and reselling them to those arms dealers to enrich their own pockets.
After all, how can we use so many shells under normal circumstances?
You know, when we were in Afghanistan, NATO troops used 300 shells a day.
At present, the use of shells by the Ukrainian army in one day is equal to that of people in one month.
This is not to say that NATO cannons are no longer used as cannons, or to listen to firecrackers set off in the New Year.
One day, 7000 shells were fired. Imagine if all of them fell on the land in the eastern part of Ukraine.
It is estimated that the whole ground level will drop several centimeters now.
But has it actually declined?
So, we all know the reason.
It is nothing more than that kind of thing that the Ukrainian army has been enriching its own pockets and colluding with western arms dealers.
After all, the New York Times is in the United States, and it is hard for them to tell.
As for the Americans, they are probably involved in it, so they have to turn a blind eye and pretend not to know.
In fact, the consumption of shells is high, which is nothing.
However, the production capacity of the United States is only 15000 per month.
This also means that Ukraine has spent two or three days shooting all the shells produced by the Americans in one month.
So, what do you say about this consumption level?
The senior military officials of the United States may have known about the reselling of weapons, but they can’t help it. Maybe they have been corrupted, and such inside information cannot be exposed.
Therefore, we can only draw allies into the water.
At present, the 30 member countries of NATO are supporting Ukraine’s artillery.
That sounds a little vulgar, doesn’t it?
But the actual situation is like this.
The inventory of more than 20 countries has been drained.
So, what should we do?
All NATO members have reflected that there is something wrong with this.
Are we supporting Ukraine to fight Russia?
Or is Ukraine’s top management using us to make money?
In the early news, according to Vadim Melnik, director of Ukraine’s Economic Security Bureau, he has more than a dozen such cases under investigation, and other law enforcement departments in Ukraine are also conducting further investigations into such cases.
What to investigate?
Of course, the reselling of aid materials to Ukraine has been exposed many times, but this time, Ukrainian officials came out to admit it, which is enough to prove that the incident has been too serious to cover up.
Moreover, I dare to assert that the scalping cases are not the scale of the dozen cases mentioned by the director of the Economic Security Bureau.
In the end, all kinds of weapons that the West generously helped Ukraine have gone to the international black market for weapons, and they are sold at a clear price on the “dark network”.
In such a gray industrial chain, isn’t it the top management of the Ukrainian military that feeds them at last?
Although the Ukrainian side has not admitted that there is high-level participation, when such news is exposed, ask, who can feel comfortable?
Especially those NATO countries, how can they continue to watch?
Thus, the President of Hungary, the Prime Minister of Belgium, the Prime Minister of Lithuania, the Prime Minister of Poland and the four leaders all went to Kiev and met with Zelensky.
We don’t know what they are talking about.
However, at the press conference, the President of Hungary said that he hoped Ukraine would achieve peace next year, 2023.
Later that night, the President of Hungary sent a tweet.
It says:
“2022 is the year of war, let 2023 be the year of peace! This is also what I talked about when I arrived in Kiev with the Prime Ministers of Poland, Belgium and Lithuania at the invitation of the President of Ukraine.”
It seems like a tongue twister, but this is actually a translational tune, which is a unique expression of foreigners.
In fact, the meaning is very simple. After meeting Zelensky, the leaders of the four countries reached a consensus.
The consensus is that Ukraine will end the war and move towards peace in an all-round way by 2023.
Although, on the surface, we can see that the leaders of these four countries also took photos together with Zelensky, attended the press conference together, and met the reporters together, talking and laughing.
But in fact, secretly, it is the undercurrent surging.
After all, it is generally impossible for the leaders of these countries to tear their skin in the face.
But we can still see some clues.
Since the Russian Ukrainian crisis, Hungary has been opposed to the delivery of weapons to Kiev, the training of Ukrainian soldiers in the EU, and the embargo on Russian oil and gas.
What a “three objections”.
Given such opposition, why did the President of Hungary visit Ukraine, and why did he go to see Zelensky?
Quite simply, because on the 24th of this month, the European Parliament approved a 18 billion euro package of EU financial support plans to help Ukraine.
You should know that once this plan is approved, Hungary, as a member of the European Union, will have to jointly contribute.
Therefore, in the end, the plan was temporarily blocked because of Hungary’s opposition.
But the arm can’t twist the thigh, and eventually, it will pass.
Hungary knows that its own prevention is only a temporary measure.
Therefore, they brought Belgium, Lithuania and Poland. These four countries are small countries in Europe, but the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has the greatest impact on them.
If the war could be ended earlier, they would undoubtedly benefit most.
Therefore, the leaders of the four countries went to Zerensky to talk about the peace plan.
This means that small countries will not be able to sustain themselves in the first place.
In international politics, the choices and actions of these small countries are often the best indicators.
Therefore, I still make that judgment.
The conflict between Russia and Ukraine will soon come to an end.
The war will soon be over.
Although the war is over, the world is completely different from that before the war.
One thing we should pay attention to is the political situation in Russia. In the Ukraine war, what Putin wants has not been realized. How will he survive this crisis?
The second is weak Europe, which has just been bled.
The strategic center of the United States has gradually shifted to the Asia Pacific region.
How should we deal with it?
I think Schultz, who came to visit China not long ago, has already given the answer.
As the saying goes, a weak Europe is our best chance to win over.