Third brother, fly!

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Author: Xusheng source: Xusheng (official account ID: lxlong20) has been authorized to reprint

This year is a happy year for India.

The International Monetary Fund’s gross domestic product (GDP) data shows that India has overtaken the United Kingdom to become the fifth largest economy after the United States, China, Japan and Germany.

Data show that India’s GDP has surpassed that of the UK in the fourth quarter of 2021, and it has further expanded its lead in the first quarter of this year.

In our public opinion, India is full of negative words such as floating corpses of the Ganges River, cow dung on the street, obscenity of public transport, and caste gap; In fact, India is also developing at a high speed.

As far as 2022, which many people are suffering from:

India’s GDP increased by 4.1% year-on-year in the first quarter,

In the second quarter, the year-on-year growth was as high as 13.5%,

The growth rate of the whole first half of the year reached 8.4%, making it far ahead of other major economies in the world;

It is expected that the economy will grow by more than 7% in the whole year, showing a bright performance among the world’s major economies.

Just 10 years ago, in 2012, India’s GDP ranked 11th in the world and Britain’s ranked fifth. In just 10 years, India pushed Britain to the sixth place. Therefore, India is relatively honest this year, and it is estimated that it will happily count small money at home.

So what will be the impact of India catching up?

First, economic impact.

According to the current trend, India has a high probability of overtaking Germany and Japan to become the third largest economy after China and the United States.

Why do you say that? On the one hand, the world’s major powers are used to India.

The United States and Russia, which are fighting tooth and nail, all want to win over India.

European countries are also good for India.

Japan and South Korea in Asia are also attracted to India.

This is because India not only has great economic potential, but also can balance China. So whenever India finds fault with China, it can buy weapons all over the world.

Especially at present, the United States lists China as its main strategic opponent. India also saw the historical opportunity and chose to cling to the thigh of the United States in an attempt to become the next-generation world factory. Of course, the world factory is the choice of history, not anyone who wants to do it. As long as India’s spiritual world is still addicted to the afterlife, it is estimated that it will be difficult to turn into a white bull.

But I want to stress here that the west, led by the United States, will not indulge India all the time. On the whole, India’s size is not large. If India’s economy surpasses Japan’s, it will face the situation of India’s rise. At least geographically and demographically, India also has the potential to become a superpower.

The west, led by the United States, is facing China’s rise like an enemy. If India wants to rise with it, the poor sense of superiority of the West will have nowhere to put. Of course, this involves political issues.

Second, political influence.

After overtaking Britain, India has become the largest economy of the Commonwealth.

India itself is a very greedy country. It has always wanted to join the UN General Assembly but could not do so. It often mutters about the need for UN reform.

When the total GDP exceeds that of Britain, India will naturally think that it is more qualified to represent the Commonwealth according to its greedy personality. This will lead to two results:

First, India has turned Britain into an “Indian”, for example, Indian taste English will become the mainstream of the English world.

Second, India has another idea on its way to seek permanent membership, replacing Britain.

But India’s ambition will be restrained when it expands to a certain extent. As I said above, just as China’s rise is a formidable enemy, the west can not tolerate the rise of India either.

Perhaps after India’s GDP surpasses that of Japan, it will face the joint checks and balances of the West and China. The last role that forced the West and China to cooperate together was the Soviet Union, and the next might be the future India. Because when China’s rise becomes a foregone conclusion, the West will turn to suppress another India that may rise.

Now India is still playing happily in the indulgence of everyone. But one day, it will feel the cruelty of the jungle in the global village.

Third, military influence.

Now that India fantasizes about becoming the next-generation world factory, it will naturally make three choices.

First, hold the thighs of the United States tightly.

To become the world’s factory, we must have orders. The huge market in the west is the source of orders. Therefore, in recent years, India has often conducted joint military exercises with the United States.

Second, China, where porcelain is often touched.

The way to hold the legs of the United States is the name of trading. The United States now lists China as its No. 1 strategic opponent, and India also illegally occupies China’s territory in southern Tibet. India can win the favor of the United States at this stage by making trouble with China.

Therefore, the border between China and India has not been peaceful.

Third, vigorously develop the military industry.

Although India’s military industry at this stage is the same as that of the United States and Russia, with the growth of India’s GDP, it is bound to expand its arsenal. Coupled with India’s combative nature, it is a great threat to surrounding countries.

In India at the military level, the uncertainty will become stronger and stronger.

In short, India, with its growing comprehensive strength, is bringing a curry flavor shock wave to the global village.

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