Author: Ming Shuyuan official account: Ming shuzatan wechat id:laomingdashu
On July 1, 2022, three major news came:
——The 25th anniversary of Hong Kong’s return has opened a new chapter of “one country, two systems” and “patriots govern Hong Kong”. Hong Kong’s “second return” is unstoppable;
——The 101st anniversary of the founding of the Communist Party of China, the Centennial party, has led the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and continued to write a new chapter;
——The cooperation between China and Europe once again revealed major projects. Three Chinese airlines ordered 292 Airbus a320neo aircraft, with a total amount of US $37.257 billion. Calculated in RMB, it exceeded 240 billion yuan, which was a proper “sky high order”.
Some people may think that the first two big news are full of great vision, and the third big news is more like an ordinary business cooperation. However, in the context of the game between China and the United States, this matter is also of great significance.
“One leaf knows the autumn of the world”. Through this seemingly ordinary “business news”, we can actually see a lot of hidden important information.
Why does China buy Airbus aircraft, and 292 of them?
First of all, this is the normal commercial cooperation between Chinese airlines and Airbus.
China is the fastest-growing civil aviation market in the world. Every year, major airlines need to buy a certain number of aircraft. Therefore, China has also become one of the world’s largest markets for Boeing and Airbus.
According to the “statistical bulletin on the development of civil aviation industry in 2021”, there are 4054 transport aircraft in the whole industry of civil aviation of China.
In 2021 alone, Airbus delivered 142 aircraft to Chinese customers.
Someone may ask, why don’t Chinese airlines buy the C919 made in China?
I personally speculate that the C919 has received more than 800 orders of various types. Although everyone is very eager to support domestic large aircraft, it is clear that as a “new player” in the global civil large aircraft market, the production capacity of the C919 itself is limited. In addition, it also takes time to obtain airworthiness certificates in European and American markets.
Therefore, at this stage, on the one hand, we need to ensure that C919 can get enough orders so that its subsequent production and R & D plans can be carried out smoothly; At the same time, in order to meet the demand of China’s booming civil aviation market, it is inevitable that Chinese airlines continue to buy a certain number of Airbus and Boeing aircraft.
It is believed that the ultimate goal of China’s large aircraft project must be “the sea of stars”. In the future, it will not only occupy a certain share of China’s domestic market, but also explore a larger international market.
However, as the “pearl on the crown” of modern industry, the aircraft manufacturing industry needs long-term technology, manufacturing, market and other precipitation, “food should be eaten in one bite” and “the road should be taken step by step”.
As we all know, there are two major manufacturers of civil aircraft in the world, one is Boeing of the United States, and the other is Airbus of Europe. There is a mystery behind China’s huge purchase of Airbus aircraft this time.
For Boeing, watching Airbus eat meat in the Chinese market, it can only stand aside and drool. I’m afraid it can only blame itself.
In the past few years, Boeing 737max has caused two civil aviation accidents with heavy casualties due to technical reasons, which has brought a heavy blow to Boeing.
China is the first country in the world to grounded 737max, and has not completely missed out.
Safety is not only the life of civil aviation industry, but also the life of aircraft manufacturers such as Boeing.
Once there is a safety problem, it is inevitable that Boeing’s business will be hit.
In 2020, Airbus delivered 551 aircraft in the global civil aircraft market, while Boeing delivered only 154. In contrast, Boeing was overwhelmed by Airbus.
Boeing blames not only itself, but also the US government.
Originally, the United States is the world’s largest single civil aircraft manufacturer, while China is one of the world’s largest buyers of civil aircraft. The two sides have huge space for cooperation in the civil aircraft market.
China’s purchase of Boeing aircraft is not only to meet the needs of China’s booming domestic civil aviation market, but also adds important content to the mutually beneficial and win-win practical cooperation between China and the United States.
However, in the past four to five years, two successive administrations of the United States have been constantly tossing and turning out “single moths” in Sino US relations. Strategically, the United States regards China as its biggest competitor, even a potential enemy, and its strategy towards China turns to containment; In terms of economic and trade relations, the trump administration unilaterally launched a trade war against China on March 18, 2018, and the Biden administration continued this absurd policy after taking office on January 20, 2021.
As an old saying goes, out of a sense of insecurity about the relative decline of its hegemony, the United States “joked” about Sino-U.S. relations, especially the highly complementary economic and trade relations between China and the United States. It did not take any advantage, but “lifted a stone and hit its own feet”.
Boeing has its own safety problems, and the U.S. government continues to toss about one of Boeing’s largest markets – China. Can Boeing live better?
Boeing is sorry to see Airbus win such a big “sky high order” in the Chinese market.
Why do I say that the big order signed between Chinese airlines and Airbus shows China’s “great wisdom” in the game between China and the United States?
This is to analyze the different patterns and Strategies of China and the United States in the game between China and the United States.
For the United States, it is the “brain” that has gone wrong in formulating its strategy for China.
Some people in the United States feel that China is booming and will replace American hegemony in the future. Therefore, the United States should try its best to contain China and disrupt the plan of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation before China is completely strong.
To this end, they do not hesitate to launch a trade war to coerce the global industrial chain out of China; They have grossly interfered in China’s internal affairs on the issues of Hong Kong, Taiwan and Xinjiang, and slandered and attacked China in the international community; In the international community, they are trying to form a united front with China, the United States, Europe and Japan, to isolate and contain China.
Fundamentally speaking, this is a problem with the strategic thinking of the United States towards China.
In the eyes of the United States, there is only a “zero sum game” between China and the United States, and only a narrow dualistic thinking of “you lose and I win”. This kind of thinking is simple and rough, and has been repeatedly proved to be invalid in the real world.
Unlike the United States, which is anxious, desperate and disorderly, China has always had a very clear and consistent position on China US relations, that is, China and the United States should establish a new type of major country relationship of “mutual respect, peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation”.
Cooperation between China and the United States will benefit both sides, and confrontation will hurt both.
Both China and the United States are big countries. Only through cooperation can we lead the world to meet various challenges.
China and the United States will continue to carry out practical cooperation, and the enterprises and people of both sides will benefit from it.
On the contrary, the United States unilaterally provokes the great power competition between China and the United States, setting off a new round of geopolitical game in the world, which will not only worsen the Sino US relations, but also run the risk of conflict and confrontation, but also bring unpredictable consequences to the world.
Facing the irrational behavior of the United States, China, on the one hand, resolutely upholds China’s sovereignty, security and development interests, dares to fight and is good at fighting; On the other hand, it has been admonishing the United States with practical actions. It is true that “cooperation benefits both sides, and confrontation hurts both”.
Moreover, in the future, we will be more and more confident in telling the United States that China and the United States will benefit from cooperation and hurt both sides if they fight, but the United States will definitely hurt more and recover more slowly than China.
China gave Airbus the “sky high order” instead of Boeing, which is not only the result of commercial negotiations based on market rules, but also a true portrayal of the current relationship between China and the United States.
It is impossible for the United States to think about containing, suppressing, encircling and slandering China while still thinking about “dancing, running, and making money”. It is completely wishful thinking to really treat China as a vent and money bag.
In the game between China and the United States, China’s strength lies in its population size, market potential, economic vitality, industrial strength, trade influence, etc. China’s strength is precisely the weakness of the United States.
The strength of the United States lies in its military strength, the ability to manipulate public opinion and the influence of mobilizing allies to form a small circle.
In the game between China and the United States, both sides want to return to the battlefield where they are familiar and comfortable.
For the United States, the most comfortable “way to play” is to constantly slander and attack China under the guise of ideology and values, constantly strengthen the military and political alliance against China led by the United States, and finally pull the Sino US game back to the “old era” of the 19th century, when “countries are bigger than fists” and “great powers compete for hegemony”.
For Anglo Saxons, they like this kind of “war”.
Britain and the United States defeated Germany in two world wars, and the United States defeated the Soviet Union in the following cold war. This is a battlefield they are very familiar with, very fond of and very comfortable with.
However, China is just the opposite.
For China, the game between China and the United States is not about hegemony, sphere of influence, nor the so-called ideology and values.
The game between China and the United States is about their respective domestic governance systems and governance capabilities to see who can better create a better life for their people.
The game between China and the United States is about the contribution to the international community and mankind as a whole, to see who can better maintain world peace and promote world development, and who can better enable the 8billion people on this planet to live a better life.
In the face of the “old game” that the United States provoked competition among major countries and was obsessed with the geopolitical game of the “old era”, China gave full play to the wisdom and heritage of an ancient civilization with a history of up to 5000 years. In the face of the United States, it dared to fight and was good at fighting.
For the United States to launch the united front of the United States, Europe, Japan and China in the international community, China is to make full use of its competitive advantages as the world’s second largest economy (which will become the world’s largest economy in the future), the world’s largest trading country, the largest consumer market, and the largest industrial country, open the door, take the main road, make a big cake of mutual benefit and win-win with enterprises and people of all countries, and replace the “zero sum game” with a community of interests, Replace decoupling and the new cold war with a community of shared future for mankind.
China’s kingcraft will surely defeat the hegemony of the United States.
For China, it is necessary to make full use of the interests of American politicians, military industrial complexes and minority interest groups against the interests of American enterprises and 330million American people, and use the cake of mutual benefit and win-win between China and the United States to curb the impulse of American extremist politicians and military industrial complexes to adopt extreme policies towards China.
For American enterprises, they are more concerned about whether they can obtain greater development opportunities in the Chinese market and whether China’s market cake will be eaten by competitors than about American hegemony.
For the American people, they are also not concerned about American hegemony. They are more concerned about whether their living standards have improved and whether the price level has fallen. They are more concerned about whether women have the right to abortion protected by the constitution. They are more concerned about how to control guns so that the tragedy of large-scale shootings will not continue in the United States.
It can be said that today’s American ruling class has completely degenerated into the spokesperson of interest groups such as the U.S. military industrial complex and the medical insurance industry, which runs counter to the aspirations of American enterprises and the American people.
In terms of the “language of class struggle” that the older generation of Chinese are very familiar with, today’s US government is a reactionary government, a corrupt government, and a government divorced from the American people.
For China, it also needs to use the “horizontal” of the 21st century to confront the “vertical” of the United States. The more the United States wants to establish a united front with the United States, Europe, Japan and China, the more China will establish an intertwined and inseparable community of interests with Europe and South Korea.
It is a fact that Europe and the United States have the so-called transatlantic special relationship. After all, they have fought together in World War I and World War II, held a group and warmed up in the cold war, and have similarities in the so-called ideology and values, as well as race. However, there are obvious differences and contradictions between the United States and Europe in terms of specific economic and trade interests and geopolitics.
Very simply, for example, the interests of Airbus and Boeing are opposite.
In terms of geopolitics, most European countries feel that the biggest threat is Russia, not China. China and Europe are located at both ends of the Eurasian continent. China has never threatened the security of Europe. At this time, European countries should give up their huge economic and trade interests in China and treat China as an opponent, or even an enemy. Of course, they can’t think of it, and of course they don’t want to.
Finally, China should also make full use of the contradictions between the western white Christian world led by the United States and the vast emerging markets and developing countries around the world.
The United States wants to maintain its hegemony, continue to adhere to unilateralism, and dictate to other countries. White Christian countries such as Europe and Australia and New Zealand can’t help praising the “smelly feet” of the United States. However, these countries, both in terms of the number of countries and population, are a minority in the world.
China is to fully develop its relations with Southeast Asia, Central Asia, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America and other countries and regions, so that China can become their largest market and their largest source of imports. In the future, China, which has blazed a broad road of national rejuvenation, will become the object of their admiration, learning and reference, and the source of inspiration and practical support for their national rejuvenation.
This is the great wisdom of China behind this “sky high price order” between China and Europe.
If you want to toss about in the United States, you can lift a stone and hit yourself in the foot.
Airbus has made rapid progress in the Chinese market. Boeing, which was left behind, can only blame itself and the US government.
Cooperation between China and the United States will benefit both sides, and confrontation will hurt both sides. However, China has strength, potential and confidence, which will make the United States more seriously injured and recover more slowly.
The world is very big. In addition to the United States, there is also Europe. In addition to the United States and Europe, there is also a vast world in Asia, Africa and Latin America.
“The great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation has entered an irreversible historical process.”
Let’s have a good experience of the true meaning of this sentence, as well as the confidence, philosophy and law behind it.
For the United States, if it provokes the competition between China and the United States, there must be “little lackeys” praising the “smelly feet” of the United States, but the smelly feet of the United States, haven’t you counted them in your heart?
Just like me, feet stink for many years, so wash your feet and change your socks every day, and you’d better find a secret recipe to cure it.
In the game between China and the United States, the United States cannot win by just talking.