Author: Rong ping source: official account: Rong Ping (ID: rongping898) has been authorized to reprint
Two days ago, several countries issued a joint statement at the United Nations. The theme of the statement was that they were seriously concerned about the mainland’s “military threat” to Taiwan. They took out the Charter of the United Nations, saying that any “international dispute” must be resolved by peaceful means, and called on the United Nations and the international community to “urge China to immediately stop its military exercises against Taiwan and its attempts to change the status quo”.
Is this G7 teaching China to do things again?
Let’s look at the names of these countries – Belize, Eswatini, Guatemala, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines… Well, they are all the so-called “countries with diplomatic relations” of Taiwan!
Although there are only a few countries that can’t be found with a magnifying glass, there is plenty of drama on the side of the side dish. The Taiwan puppet “Ministry of foreign affairs” immediately came out and pretended to translate the meaning of “changing the status quo” in this statement – “the status quo is that the two sides of the Strait are not subordinate to each other, and China should especially abide by the central line of the Taiwan Strait” – this is the bright “two-state theory”!
This is interesting. Since you are partners in the United Nations, do you want to respect Resolution 2758 of the general assembly of 1971 on China’s sole sovereignty? Should we respect the authority of the UN Charter?
On the platform of the United Nations, against the established resolutions of the United Nations, to dismantle the platform of a P5 power, can anyone really afford to be a Western rogue who ignores the rules?
As a matter of fact, in a small grasshopper country like this, we can completely ignore their noise and can not stir up any waves.
However, the role of these small countries is not to create any threat to China like the United States. Their trouble lies precisely in the “virtual” side.
After Xiaocai came to power in 2016, he put forward a set of ideas on “expanding international space”, including “value diplomacy” and “letting Taiwan go to the world”. The foothold of these ideas lies in these small countries.
Externally, Wan Wan regards these “countries with diplomatic relations” as symbols of “sovereign states” to counteract the growing recognition of the “one China” principle by the international community and create a false impression that Taiwan can “compete with the mainland” internationally;
Internally, it brainwashed the people on the island and created the illusion that the bay is a “recognized country”. How can this so-called “independent country” be so shabby and have only a few “friends”? Because “the mainland is squeezing Taiwan’s living space”, Taiwan is the “weak” side under pressure. In this case, is it reasonable for the DPP to spend great efforts on “diplomatic relations”?
That is to say, with the help of these “countries with diplomatic relations”, the small dish has the foundation to internationalize the Taiwan issue externally, and can further incite the “Anti China” sentiment on the island internally and play up the “poison” atmosphere.
Therefore, these small countries have a negative impact on China’s reunification that is not commensurate with their size!
It is precisely because of this that our diplomatic front has not been idle. In the past few years since Xiao Cai came to power, the Gulf authorities have lost eight so-called “diplomatic countries”, and the number of remaining “friendly countries” has been reduced from 22 to 14.
Of course, from another perspective, even though the economic scale of the mainland today is more than 20 times that of Taiwan, and the political influence is not comparable, and the small dish authorities have lost the qualification to engage in “diplomatic competition” with the mainland, the Gulf still has 14 “friendly countries”!
How is the side dish made? There are two main points.
One is to engage in “Kaizi diplomacy”.
As early as the time when Lee Teng Hui was in power, Taiwan’s foreign affairs department set up an “international cooperation and development foundation” to do one thing specifically – to scatter money and dig the corner of the mainland’s countries that have established diplomatic relations!
At that time, the mainland had just carried out reform and opening up, and Taiwan had money, so they really had their advantages in launching “currency sprinkling diplomacy”.
It’s even less painful to spend money until the dishes come on stage.
The king of Eswatini, a small African country, did not have a special plane. When he heard of the dishes, he immediately sold a plane at a low price and sent a team of technicians, ground crew and aircrew from China Airlines to provide door-to-door services;
During his “visit to Taiwan”, the president of Haiti mentioned that the capital Port au Prince was often short of electricity, and the small dish quickly took out the “government development assistance plan”, lent us $150 million to Haiti, and asked Taiwan manufacturers to undertake the power grid construction;
During the Taiwan election in 2020, because Honduras had a vacillating attitude, Xiao Cai was worried that the “severance of diplomatic ties” would affect the votes, so he threw us $300 million to appease him;
Even if Guatemala wants to establish relations with the United States, the cost of lobbying the company is a simple matter
We should know that many of these small countries have only a population of 10000 or 20000, and there is no foundation. If you let them engage in trade to improve the national economic level, the upper level is not so patient. It is far better to take this “fast money” directly.
Moreover, after the money is paid, these small countries have no supervision procedures. It is very convenient for the upper level to use the money to conduct elections or to put it into their own pockets. Therefore, for them, the immediate interests of Wan Wan are really fragrant!
That is to say, these countries are the ones who have more money to support. Unless the mainland and Taiwan compete to distribute welfare, it is difficult for us to pull them over through normal channels such as trade cooperation.
Of course, small dishes lose a lot of money every year. For example, in 2020, the expenditure of Taiwan’s foreign affairs department was NT $26.7 billion, of which the direct assistance to eight countries in central and South America accounted for 8-9 billion. In particular, after Xiaocai proposed “strengthening foreign assistance” in 2018, the financing fund allocated was as high as US $3.5 billion, which was almost the same as the retirement pension expenditure of the island in one year.
Therefore, if we only consider from the perspective of “diplomacy”, it may be true that only “poor Taiwan” can break the desire of some people on the island to “seek survival from outside”!
Second, the US factor.
As the bridgehead of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) carrying the banner of American values to “resist China”, the Americans of course have to help the dishes to set up the platform.
Let’s take a look at Taiwan’s “friends” now. Basically, all of them are deeply influenced by the United States. For example, the South Pacific island countries are independent only after World War II and are born out of the overseas territories of the United States; For example, the central and South American countries are originally in the backyard of the United States and have always been deeply controlled by the United States.
In addition, in history, both the South Pacific island countries and the Latin American countries, because of the influence of the United States, once had a strong anti Communist color and had a certain conservative tendency in ideology.
Therefore, under the manipulation and support of the United States, for a long period of time, the penetration of the Taiwan authorities in these countries will surpass that of the mainland. Although the current situation is very different, it is not so easy to solve the problem left over by history.
Moreover, with the intensification of the Sino US confrontation, the United States has become more and more active on the issue of Taiwan’s “countries with diplomatic relations.”.
In 2020, the United States specially passed a “Taiwan friendly countries international protection and enhancement initiative act”, that is, the so-called “Taipei act”, in an attempt to intimidate Taiwan’s remaining “countries with diplomatic relations” so that they could not sever relations with Taiwan.
Including the joint statement made by several countries at the United Nations, the leading country is a small Caribbean island country called Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, with a land area of more than 300 square kilometers and a population of less than 110000. In peacetime, it relies on the assistance of Britain and the United States. Interestingly, immediately after Pelosi’s visit, the goods and a pair of Lithuanian lying dragon and Phoenix chicks went to Taiwan. Who did you say it was listening to?
Also, after Nicaragua and the mainland resumed diplomatic relations last year, the US State Department immediately issued a statement, first scolding Nicaraguan president Ortega, saying that he had “cheated” in the general election one month ago, so the “severance of diplomatic relations” with Taiwan does not reflect the wishes of the Nicaraguan people – it is really interesting, Niagara
The will of the Guatemalan people should be defined by the United States!
Then there is the threat that because you Ortega can not reflect the wishes of the people, these “people” recognized by the United States will “continue to struggle for the exercise of” democracy “,” human rights “and” fundamental freedoms “. What does this” struggle “mean? There are too many ready-made examples in central and South America!
Then, the United States claimed that Nicaragua had “lost” a firm partner in its democracy and economic growth because of its “severance of diplomatic ties” with Taiwan. This was a loss for Nicaragua, and encouraged other countries not to encourage it to continue to expand contacts with the Taiwan region.
Therefore, on the surface, it is the “diplomatic competition” between the mainland and Taiwan. In fact, behind it is the great power game between China and the United States.
Not only the United States, but also the entire western group are giving support to small dishes. For example, the Taiwan media also revealed two days ago that the relations between Haiti and Taiwan were unstable recently, so small dishes sent people to Canada and France to help Taiwan “stabilize diplomatic relations”.
Of course, the likes of France and Canada still think too much about influencing China’s diplomacy. The most they can do is to help the United States wave its flag. Only the United States can really support Taiwan.
However, the United States is now working harder and harder to encourage these countries.
In the past, the United States believed in “carrots and sticks”. Now, it has not enough carrots to eat, and only sticks are left. For example, in the Latin American region, there are all kinds of sanctions and all kinds of corruption charges. Countries in these regions are also full of anger.
What if there is a fire?
In the past, we could only endure it. But now, as China’s influence gradually extends to the South Pacific and Latin America, these countries have a new choice beyond the hegemony of the United States and Australia – introducing China to resist the influence of the United States in their own countries.
When Nicaragua and China resumed diplomatic relations last year, there were no economic conditions attached. To put it more broadly, the former Taiwan “diplomatic countries” that China established diplomatic relations and resumed diplomatic relations in recent years do not need any economic conditions attached. A large part of the reason is that these countries want to break away from the control of the United States and regain their “sovereign dignity”.
Another part sees the potential of cooperation with China.
As long as the “the Belt and Road” is normally promoted, the infrastructure and financial cooperation urgently needed by these countries will naturally come. For example, after the establishment of diplomatic relations between Nicaragua and China, the infrastructure has been rapidly improved, and Honduras and Guatemala nearby are not greedy?
What about greedy eyes?
Either, they will double the pressure on Taiwan and ask Taiwan for higher aid; Or he was infected by Nicaragua, established diplomatic relations with China, and joined the “the Belt and Road” boom.
In addition, a more realistic problem faced by these countries is that in the past few years of the “diplomatic truce” between the two sides of the Strait under Ma Ying Jeou, there was no risk for them to act as puppets for Taiwan. But now, Xiao Cai has repeatedly denied the “1992 consensus” and finally made the mainland begin to pay attention to the issue of Taiwan’s “diplomatic relations”. They are facing great pressure. Whether to continue to challenge an angry China has become a question that must be considered.
Of the 14 “countries with diplomatic relations” in Taiwan, only six have signed the joint statement. Moreover, they have deliberately avoided the time when the cross-strait news was most tense, and it took more than half a month to make the joint statement. This is very illustrative.
Therefore, with the comprehensive rise of China, it is becoming increasingly difficult for Taiwan to maintain the current situation of “diplomatic relations” no matter from the perspective of Taiwan or the United States.
Let me give a few examples.
In January this year, the who held a meeting of the Executive Committee, and suddenly felt that there was an opportunity to squeeze into the who’s side dish, so it asked two “countries with diplomatic relations” to take the lead.
At the meeting on the 24th, Paraguay’s minister of health stayed there for half a day. As a result, most of the remarks related to Taiwan, such as supporting Taiwan’s accession to the who, were directly filtered by the WHO interpreters, and none of them were translated.
The small dish is not dead. At the meeting on the 26th, the Minister of health of Eswatini, a small African country, was asked to operate it again. As a result, the WHO interpreters were silent again when translating!
When this matter was sent back to Taiwan, it was very difficult for small dishes to come to Taiwan. Send people from Geneva to go to the WHO for “discussion” — this is nonsense. You are not even a member of other people, and you are not eligible to participate in the meeting. Why protest?
Of course, the who also has to do things decently and explain it soon. It said that it could not hear those two paragraphs clearly when it happened to say them. In addition, it was too fast to translate them. It was a technical problem – did you say that you were angry!
What can I do with the dishes? After all, even the gate of the who could not be accessed. Finally, the green media came out to step down and said that perhaps the equipment of the interpretation team had failed.
Hehe, I don’t know whether the Taiwanese believe it or not because the content about Taiwan is out of order!
At the end of June, a United Nations Ocean Conference was held in Lisbon, Portugal, to prepare for the foreign minister of Tuvalu, a small Pacific country. Unexpectedly, three Taiwanese were included in the team.
What are these three sneaking in for? It’s just to go in and take a photo, and then go back to the big internal publicity to accumulate materials for Taiwan’s “international participation.”.
But unfortunately, China is a member of the Qualification Committee of the conference. Your personnel list is subject to China’s approval. Isn’t that a gun? Finally, the foreign minister of Tuvalu and the three mice were replaced!
After that, our foreign ministry scolded us very much, saying that you only make small moves to “degrade yourself” and be willing to be an attendant of other countries. What is this not to bring shame on yourself?
What is more ironic is that when the epidemic broke out in the first half of 2021, the global vaccine supply was very tight.
At that time, China had already slowed down its efforts. Various kinds of epidemic prevention materials, including vaccines, were continuously supporting more than 10 countries in Latin America. Only some “countries with diplomatic relations” in Taiwan were bypassed.
At that time, Honduras was in urgent need of vaccines, and the United States could not buy them. At last, we saw hope in China. But after all, we did not establish diplomatic relations with China, so we could not buy them directly from the door, let alone assistance.
What shall I do?
Therefore, Honduras found El Salvador, which resumed diplomatic relations with China in 2018, and asked them to act as middlemen to help purchase Chinese vaccines. They also said that they would set up a business representative office in China and look for “diplomatic bridges” by referring to the suggestions put forward by China.
Although it is good to listen to the words of this country with three surnames, it also confirms the fragility of Taiwan’s so-called “National Friendship”.
With the growing recognition of the “one China” principle in the international community, even the United States and Japan behind Taiwan now feel that the costs and benefits of maintaining these small countries are increasingly out of proportion.
After the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Nepal last year, the Japanese media once published an analysis article by the RAND Corporation, an American think tank, saying that it is useless for Taiwan to maintain these “friends” at present. Instead, it is abandoning the dark and turning to the dark. The Taiwan authorities have been slapped in the face once, making them very passive.
Therefore, the Taiwan authorities should give up the wrongdoing of “gold dollar diplomacy” as soon as possible, take the initiative to get rid of these small countries that “have no value in geo strategy” and concentrate their limited resources.
What are you doing together?
In a word, instead of wasting money on small countries, it’s better to be the enemy of these Western powers. When it comes to the critical moment, people can say something to you!
But this man is actually a big cheat.
Do you dare to establish “official relations” with Taiwan like these countries? Do you dare to be a “friend” of Taiwan?
Yes, you admitted in the morning that the PLA could cross the river in the afternoon!
No, no matter how much money Taiwan throws, it can not solve the “diplomatic dilemma”!
This is the reality.
Therefore, in the deduction of the small dish authorities, the scenario of “zero diplomatic relations” has been envisaged, because the economic and political advantages of Taiwan and the United States over the mainland are no longer, and it will only be increasingly difficult to maintain them.
The president of El Salvador, who established diplomatic relations with China in 2018, once made a very smart statement – “we cannot go against the world trend.”
Just like the great cause of China’s reunification, along the direction of the trend, the outcome has long been doomed!
At the end of the article, the author has something to say
After Pelosi’s visit, in addition to a few diehards in the United States, Japan and Australia, more than 170 of China’s 181 countries that have established diplomatic relations have come forward to reiterate their support for the “one China” principle.
This kind of diplomatic influence is still terrible. What topic in the United States can get so many support voices? How many countries have been forced to verbally condemn Ukraine for tying the moral commanding heights to itself?
Therefore, in the past two years, we have not been as eager as before to strive for Taiwan’s “countries with diplomatic relations”. Because our strength has increased, our diplomatic confidence has naturally increased. We do not need to focus on whether Taiwan’s “countries with diplomatic relations” will shave their heads.
Of course, from a broader perspective, how much diplomatic resources have been consumed by the Taiwan issue over the past 70 years?
Even now, whether we are dealing with these “diplomatic countries” or promoting the commitment of “one China” in the international community, how much have we paid behind our backs?
There is a remark of dubious origin. It is said that minister Wang Yi said that once Taiwan returns to China, the Ministry of foreign affairs can cut more than half of its staff.
If this is true, it can be seen that the Taiwan issue has a great impact on China’s diplomatic energy.
With the escalation of us actions in the Taiwan Strait, this situation cannot continue.
From this perspective, it may not be far from the day when the issue of Taiwan’s “countries with diplomatic relations” is resolved once and for all!