Original: Gu Ziming This article is authorized to be reproduced on WeChat official account: Political Affairs Hall Plus2019
In the past half month, small flames in some hot areas have started to surge.
The warships of China and the United States almost collided in the strait, China and India expelled each other’s journalists, Serbia and Kosovo were at war, the European Union canceled Hungary’s rotating presidency, and the United Arab Emirates angrily withdrew from the US led Middle East maritime security mechanism due to Iran’s seizure of ships…
Of course, I am not listing these to create panic.
As Sun Tzu once said in the Art of War, “emptiness leads to reality, and reality leads to emptiness.” What we see is the “bravado” and “increase focus and reduce troops” of all parties during the retreat, with the main purpose of providing an explanation for the hawkish public opinion.
The real situation is like the Shangri La Defense Ministers’ Meeting that has been shown to insiders in the past few days. The US Defense Minister came to shake hands in order to break the ice, and our Defense Minister also changed his past and made his speech more gentle and elegant.
And this change has not only occurred between China and the United States, but in recent months, the United States has gone against the norm and started to continuously “seek glory” by actively pleasing serious opponents.
First, in order to woo India, the United States betrayed its ally Pakistan and took the EU brothers to participate in the Kashmir G20 Tourism Summit in India Pakistan dispute, so that Modi, who swore sovereignty to the world, “win thoroughly” and the support rate soared directly. (China did not participate, causing proud India to suspend our press card)
Then, in order to win over Türkiye, he betrayed the Turkish opposition. After Erdogan won, he not only did not question the election, but also led the EU brothers to send congratulations, which made Egypt and Sudan win thoroughly, and the rule suddenly became very stable. (I made a mistake in this judgment and apologize to all readers.)
In order to win over Saudi Arabia and Iran, the Gulf countries were tacitly allowed to build a “joint fleet” and let Iran, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Bahrain form a naval alliance, so that Saudi Crown Prince Salman Jr. and Iranian leaders win thoroughly at home and suppressed the risk of the Arab Spring.
In order to woo Brazil, at the South American leaders’ meeting, President Lula acquiesced in the signing of the Brasilia Consensus with high standards, experiencing a highlight of life, and acquiesced in the return of Brazil and Argentina to the Union of South American Nations, which was split by the United States.
Not surprisingly, the United States will also cancel the anti-dumping trade investigation against Argentina and end the import restrictions, so that Argentine President Fernandez will also win thoroughly and win the trade war between Argentina and the United States.
Then, the oligarchs under Prime Minister Orban of Prime Minister of Hungary will also be lifted sanctions by the United States, unfreeze billions of dollars of EU funds in Hungary, and obtain huge economic and diplomatic compensation in exchange for approving Sweden’s entry into NATO.
Finally, the United States may even pull the EU to sell out another wave of Kosovo, allowing Serbian President Vuchi ? to achieve a complete victory in this conflict with diplomatic skills, protecting Serbian compatriots, and bringing peace to Serbia and Kosovo. (But Kosovo is actually independent)
It can be said that in the next period of time, major developing countries in the world will usher in a wave of “win thoroughly” and enjoy the servility of the US emperor.
Chegwala once said, “After we leave, they will repair schools and hospitals for you, and increase your wages. This is not because of their conscience or because they have become good people, but because we have been here
For these ideological opponents, the United States has suddenly extended a hand of friendship, not because the United States has become a “good person”, but because Russia has “come”.
The United States hopes that these “neutral and pro Russian” developing countries can stand on Ukraine’s side “more fairly” in the upcoming Russia Ukraine negotiations, and together exert diplomatic pressure on Russia, thereby giving wave after wave of compromises.
Even the recently hyped BRICS summit in the United States “arrested” Putin in South Africa, with the aim of avoiding Putin personally going to South Africa and meeting with the BRICS Alliance in Asia, in order to defeat Russia’s friends individually.
With such a huge diplomatic investment, the capitalist United States is bound to have rewards.
Therefore, regardless of whether Zelensky’s thoughts on counterattack materials are fully prepared, under the oppression of the United States, it is necessary to launch military operations against Russia before the convening of the G20 and achieve preliminary results.
India, Türkiye, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Brazil, Argentina, Serbia and Hungary, as the battlefield situation turns to Ukraine, will most likely sell Russia again, following the example of last year’s summit, in order to exchange chips from the United States.
Therefore, it is speculated that in the script for the second half of the year, it is likely that the Russian family on the dining table will suffer, while everyone around the table will benefit.
However, in life, one cannot be without conscience. Family members, we must remember who set the price down.