Author: Rong ping source: official account: Rong Ping (id:rongping898) has been authorized to reprint
A recent nonsense rumor about “Putin’s serious illness” has aroused widespread concern. It is said that it was made by the British MI6. It can be seen that the West has used every means to launch a public opinion war against Russia. Even such absurd things can be fabricated.
Although Russia is inferior to the West on the propaganda front, it is as powerful as a cloud on the military and economic fronts.
Today’s article is about how Putin’s core aides can work together to help Putin plan strategies on the battlefield and turn the tide.
There are Russian Prime Minister mishuskin, central bank governor nabiulina
There are Russian Defense Minister Shoigu, Chechen leader Kadyrov
It is said that Russia’s military strength against Ukraine is somewhat weak. Three months have passed, and Russia has not achieved its set military goals.
But in fact, Putin and his staff have their own strategic considerations. As a result of a turnaround at the economic and financial levels, the protracted war actually helps Russia’s energy exports benefit from the rise in energy prices. Russia not only gets richer and richer, but also drives the de stocking of backward weapons. In terms of economic interests, Russia is not at a loss.
Surprisingly, the most amazing performance was not the defense minister Shoigu, nor Putin’s little fan brother Chechen leader Kadyrov, but a female general, nabiulina, President of the Russian central bank.
(eliveranabiulina, governor of the Russian Central Bank)
Talking about the short woman who wears black frame glasses and likes to wear different brooches to release policy signals, Putin’s favorite general, she led the Russian central bank to fight a wonderful counterattack against the Western nuclear bomb level financial sanctions.
Compared with the performance of the Russian army in the Ukrainian battlefield, the economic front where Russian Prime Minister mishuskin and central bank governor nabiulina are located, by means of raising interest rates, foreign exchange intervention, ruble settlement order and other thunderous means, has forcibly doubled the Russian ruble exchange rate within one month, regaining lost ground in one fell swoop, even surpassing the pre war level. Moreover, Russia achieved a positive economic growth of 3.5% in the first quarter, and its trade surplus reached a record.
This was unexpected in western countries. Some western media even exclaimed that next year’s Nobel Prize in economics should be awarded to the female governor of the Russian central bank.
In fact, nabiulina not only showed amazing wisdom in this economic and financial sanctions war. As early as 2014, when Russia was recovering Crimea and faced financial sanctions from the west, nabiulina was one of the strong players.
Nabiulina was appointed president of the Bank of Russia by Putin on june24,2013, becoming the first female head of the Bank of Russia. At that time, Russia’s economic growth slowed down, the ruble exchange rate was unstable, and the inflation situation was severe. Putin “parachuted” nabiulina to the Russian central bank, which was a long way to go.
In 2014, the United States and Europe imposed sanctions on Russia due to the Crimea incident. Nabiulina is deeply aware that Russia needs to build its own reserves. Therefore, she spent nearly 8 years to build a “financial fortress” worth 640billion US dollars (about 4076.8 billion yuan) for Russia.
Under her leadership, the Central Bank of Russia has accumulated one of the world’s largest foreign exchange and gold reserves, actively promoted the de dollarization of foreign reserves, cleaned up a large number of lenders that the government thought were mismanaged or undercapitalized, and reduced Russia’s inflation rate to the lowest level after the collapse of the Soviet Union.
In the next few short years, Russia almost sold out the US Treasury bonds in Russia’s foreign exchange reserves in order to eliminate the control of the US dollar on Russia’s economic operation.
It can be said that at the most dangerous moment in Russia, nabiulina helped the Russian economy resist oil price fluctuations and US sanctions, and became famous in the first World War.
This time, it was nabiulina who managed to turn the tide in the face of unprecedented Western sanctions against Russia.
She led the Russian central bank to raise the benchmark interest rate of the ruble from 9.5% to 20% to deal with the risk of ruble depreciation and inflation, maintain financial and price stability, and protect people’s savings.
Then 733billion emergency assistance funds were released to improve the liquidity of banks and effectively prevent the emergence of large-scale bank withdrawals. At the same time, capital controls are implemented, such as restricting individual foreign currency deposits and account withdrawals, and forcing enterprises to sell most of their foreign exchange earnings.
On March 31, Putin used his “trump card” – signing the “ruble settlement order”, requiring companies from non friendly countries to open ruble accounts in Russian banks, and then pay for the Russian natural gas purchased through this account. And this strategy was obviously written by nabiulina.
The combination of ruble settlement and energy export gives full play to Russia’s advantages as a resource country, tightly grips the neck of the EU, and makes the fist of Western sanctions hit cotton. While everyone was sweating hard for Russia, nabiulina skillfully resolved Russia’s ruble crisis with her extraordinary wisdom of the tip of a needle to maimang, making the West’s goal of isolating Russia and trying to wash Russia’s wealth come to naught.
US media reported that nabiulina “prevented the collapse of Russia’s financial system” by means of ruble settlement, interest rate increase and capital control, and is Russia’s “strongest weapon” against the western economic war.
There is also an important minister on the Russian economic front – Russian Prime Minister mishuskin. Like nabiulina, he is an economist and technocrat trained in Russia. Mr. mishuskin did not make much public remarks. His latest public speech was to show Russia’s economic report card in the first quarter.
(Russian Prime Minister Mikhail mishuskin)
As a doctor of economics, mishuskin’s academic background is economic cybernetics with strong Russian local characteristics. The governance and reform ideas of the entire mishuskin government are also based on the theory of economic cybernetics. Guided by the drawbacks of the Soviet style mobilized economy, they customized a series of digital patches for the mobilized economy. As a representative of Russia’s economic control theory and a practitioner and perfecter of mobilizing the economy, mishuskin steered the helm during the war, effectively stabilized the Russian economy, stabilized the people’s hearts and minds, and made Putin’s domestic support rate rise steadily.
It can be said that the core aides of Russia’s economic front, including mishuskin and nabiulina, have stabilized the overall economic situation and become a solid backing for the Russian military front by their precise and effective response to Western sanctions.
Look at the military front.
Here we have to talk about Russian Defense Minister Shoigu, who is also Putin’s absolute right-hand man. Together with President Putin and Foreign Minister Lavrov, he is known as the “troika” of Russia. He is also considered as Putin’s successor, and his means are also very tough.
(Sergei kurugetovic Shoigu, Russian Defense Minister)
In the past, under the leadership of sauigu, Russia won Crimea and won the anti-terrorism war in Syria. The military construction reached a new height, which also helped him win broad support in Russia. According to opinion polls, sauigu is second only to President Putin in terms of trust.
Sauigu did not serve as a soldier for a day, but he became the Minister of national defense. His legendary experience will not be repeated here.
As for the Russo Ukrainian war, people are still most concerned about why the Russian army fell into a long and protracted war after rapidly advancing to Kiev? Why does Russia’s combat power against Ukraine look degraded this time?
Some people say that the transformation of the new army promoted by sauigu has become a retrogression of Russian military strength. It is difficult for a skillful woman to make bricks without straw. Due to the tight financial and military expenses, the Russian army has streamlined its organizational structure, that is, in the process of changing its basic combat units from divisions to brigades and brigades to battalions, what it has enhanced is the equipment and combat effectiveness of combatants, and what it has reduced is the share of non combatants. Although the military’s operational flexibility and weapon modernization have been improved, the logistics support has not been matched in place.
According to the military reform idea of Shoigu, the Russian army gave up the bloated system of building large-scale troops in the past and improved to a more elite “tactical synthetic battalion” (BTG). According to this idea, the new Russian army was established, and its combat was entirely based on the tactical synthetic battalion. In this way, the flexibility of the Russian army was greatly increased, and the command level was also improved.
However, the following problem is that a tactical integrated battalion often needs to cooperate with a large number of services and arms to fight. It is difficult for officers at the battalion commander level to coordinate clearly. Therefore, officers at a higher level command several tactical integrated battalions or even one tactical integrated battalion. This made these senior officers of the Russian army have to go to the front line in person to command the operations.
This made the safety of the Russian military commanders not guaranteed. At the beginning of the war, the deaths of several senior Russian military commanders were the result of the command chaos brought about by the new military reform.
The most important purpose of Russia’s several military reforms is not only to improve the overall combat effectiveness of the army, but also to reduce the cost of maintaining military strength. The final result is that the combat units have arrived at the front line, but they still have to wait for equipment supplies. This is the problem that the Russian army is facing in Ukraine.
Fortunately, as the war continued, the Russian army began to change its tactics.
Putin was surrounded by many generals. Within more than 90 days of the Russian Ukrainian war, the Russian army changed its generals three times, from the direct command of sauigu, to dvornikov, and then to Yevkurov, who took over the command of the front line.
In April, after devolnikov came to power, the Russian firepower against the Ukrainian army soared several times. His operational characteristics are that he is very steady and wide-ranging, using bombing to open the way. So it will cost more money and ammunition, and the propulsion speed is not fast. But it is also better to reduce the casualties of our own personnel.
(Alexander dvornikov, commander of the Russian southern military region)
Dvornikov paid more attention to his own logistics line, and increased the density of military input in the belligerent area. In offensive operations, attention is paid to reconnaissance and firepower warfare. It is often after sufficient firepower strikes that the ground forces will launch offensive operations. As long as the ground troops take down a stronghold, they must clean up and consolidate it, and then move on to the next stronghold.
This steady and steady tactic is very different from the “high-speed assault” commanded by the Russian army in the previous stage. The most intuitive display is that the former tactic has a great progress on the map, while the latter tactic has a very slow change on the front.
As a result, it was unexpected that such a famous general of the Russian army would be replaced by the Kremlin within a month of commanding the Ukrainian front. In fact, it also more or less shows that the Russian senior leadership is not very satisfied with the steady fighting method he has carried out in Ukraine. That’s why he was replaced by Yevkurov when no one expected him.
(Yunus bekkurov, Deputy Minister of defense of Russia)
This Yevkurov also has a long history. As the current Deputy Minister of defense of Russia, he once served as the commander in chief of Russia in Kosovo during the Kosovo crisis in 1999. On june11,1999, Yevkurov ordered that the NATO controlled military airport in Pristina, Kosovo, be seized by 200 Russian airborne troops in a hurry. The raid shocked the world and made Yevkurov famous in the first World War.
Yevkurov is a man who is very good at using intrigue and dares to face up to strong enemies. Now the Russian army has fallen into a bitter battle on the battlefield. Their enemy is not only the Ukrainian army, but also the NATO group behind the Ukrainian army, which provides a lot of support to the Ukrainian army. It is undoubtedly necessary to use Yevkurov as the commander in chief of the front line to change the current situation of the Russian army’s hard struggle.
In the Russian Ukrainian war, in addition to Putin and Shoigu, another person deserves special attention, that is, Chechen leader Kadyrov.
The Chechen army led by Kadyrov has always been a strange force, and they are famous for their street fighting. At the beginning of the war, Chechnya volunteered to participate in the war, and the oath video showed people’s blood spurting. From the beginning of this war to today’s fierce battle in Wudong battlefield, Kadyrov’s Chechen valiant army has been fighting in the front line.
(ramzankadyrov, President of the Chechen Republic of Russia)
After sending troops to Ukraine, Kadyrov’s army also picked the most difficult bone to bite, that is, the Ukrainian Neo Nazi armed Asian speed battalion. At the same time, he did not forget to emphasize Putin’s requirements, asking the troops to avoid civilian casualties as much as possible, even if their own soldiers suffered casualties.
He did what he said. Because Ukrainian civilians should be taken care of in the war, the progress of the war was slow at the beginning, and the troops paid a certain amount of casualties. Kadyrov was very clear. He said: “the Russian and Chechen troops moved forward slowly to avoid bloodshed. Otherwise, it would take only one day to win Kiev and Kharkov.”
Shortly after the Chechen army joined the war, Kadyrov repeatedly came to the front line of Ukraine to supervise and lead the Chechen army. This makes the outside world once again pay great attention to Chechnya, a brave army from the Caucasus.
In the battle of attacking Kiev, Chechen troops rushed to the front line of the siege of Kiev.
In the fierce battle of Mariupol, the Chechen army attacked the ASU battalion. They wiped out many “Nazi armed forces”, and even the military base of the No. 1 Nazi armed force in Ukraine, the “Yasu battalion”, was occupied by them.
It can be seen how loyal the Chechen army led by Kadyrov was to Putin. They played an extremely important role in the Russian Ukrainian war and were heroes who dared to bite hard bones.
Through many general changes and tactical adjustments, as well as the strong support of Chechen troops, the Russian offensive in Ukraine has achieved remarkable results. After the settlement of the Mariupol issue, the actions of the Russian coalition forces in Wudong were overwhelming. Compared with the passive withdrawal of troops from the surrounding areas of Kiev in April, they are now completely reversed.
Not only will Donbas be fully controlled by Russia, the Russian coalition forces have also entered Kharkov, Kherson, zaporoze and other states to continuously expand the results of the war to control more areas.
This shows that Russia’s withdrawal from Kiev is just a tactical adjustment, not a defeat, but to withdraw its fist and then hit a harder punch. Facts have proved that Russia’s “second fist” was well done and directly crushed the illusion of Ukrainians and Western countries.
At the end of the article, the author has something to say
Russian Prime Minister mishuskin and central bank governor nabiulina are definitely two figures. They have played an extremely important role on the economic front. The Russian army failed to win the “Blitzkrieg” on the battlefield, but the western countries also failed to win the “economic Blitzkrieg” against Russia.
The ruble settlement order and the domestic mobilization of the economy have reversed the ruble’s decline, stabilized the Russian economy, and allowed Putin, who advocated military action against Ukraine, to see his domestic support rate rise steadily. Mishuskin and nabiulina can be regarded as two great heroes on the Russian economic front.
After the “Blitzkrieg” in Ukraine was blocked, the Russian army quickly adjusted its tactics by changing generals. From the command of sauigu to the high-speed assault on Kiev, to the steady and steady withdrawal of dvornikov from Kiev, strengthening the logistics supply line, and then to Yevkurov, concentrating superior forces to encircle eastern Ukraine. Putin and his military staff slowly found a feeling on the battlefield in Ukraine.
In fact, Vladimir Putin, who has won the war economically, is not in a hurry to end the war. Because the continuation of the war is beneficial to Russia’s energy exports, the more Russia fights, the more money it has. By stabilizing the Russian economy and winning the ruble counterattack, and in line with the tactical changes of the Russian army on the battlefield in Ukraine, Russia has firmly grasped the initiative in all aspects of the battlefield. The defeat of Ukraine will happen sooner or later!