Original: Zhanhao source: official account: Zhanhao wechat ID: zhanhao668
Trump is playing unilateralism by shouting slogans and playing by himself – get away from me, “America first”; Biden’s playing unilateralism is to deceive or force allies to “play together”. Although he no longer says “America first”, all the interests he safeguards are still American interests. It is no longer “America first”, but he wants the United States to take all!
Just now, the United States played a trick of killing four birds with one stone – tricking the G7 countries to limit the price of Russian crude oil to $44 a barrel. US $44, equivalent to half of the current oil price, is undoubtedly trying to use its political and economic power to suppress Russia and force Russia to submit. From this point, we can see again that the so-called market freedom and the rule of law advocated by the United States and the West are nonsense. The practices of the United States and the West are both lawless and completely do not follow the market rules they preach!
So, why is this the United States’ strategy of killing four birds with one stone? Who are these four birds?
The first bird: intent on killing Russia
The United States, the first bird, certainly wants to be the first to kill Russia. At the beginning, when the United States killed the Soviet Union, it was in the middle and late 1980s that the oil price was pressed to a death, which led to the outbreak of the Soviet Union’s economic crisis and eventually brought down the Soviet Union. This time, the US government wants to follow suit.
Many people may not understand the history of the United States using oil prices to kill the Soviet Union. Here is a brief introduction for our comrades in arms.
In 1960, Russia discovered a huge amount of oil and gas resources in Siberia. For the Soviet Union, it really felt like a sudden wealth. Thus, since the Brezhnev period in the late 1960s, the leadership of the Soviet Union has taken action to exploit oil and gas on a large scale. Since then, the economy has become highly dependent on the oil and gas resource industry, including domestic consumption, production and export.
In October 1973, the fourth Middle East War broke out. The organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), controlled by the Middle East countries, announced an oil embargo against the United States and the west, suspended exports, and caused oil prices to rise in order to attack Israel and countries supporting Israel. The first oil crisis erupted. At that time, the international crude oil price rose from less than $3 per barrel in 1973 to more than $13.
Objectively speaking, the oil crisis made the Soviet Union a big profit. Because, after the Cuban missile crisis, the cold war between the United States and the Soviet Union has entered a stage of stability. After the oil crisis broke out, West German Prime Minister Brandt thought of the Soviet Union and took the initiative to communicate with the Soviet Union. This opened the channel for the Soviet Union to transport oil to Europe. In fact, it also opened the way for the collapse of the Soviet Union.
The Soviet Union is a planned economy, and the way to make money from oil and gas makes the top level of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union start to formulate strategies centered on energy exploration and exploitation. However, later, the Middle East countries also realized that it was useless to sanction the West with oil, and the Soviet Union “betrayed” itself and took the opportunity to make money, so the Gulf countries led by Saudi Arabia gave up oil sanctions and began to fall into the arms of the United States.
For the United States and the west, the purpose of suppressing the Soviet Union can be achieved by holding down energy prices. Faced with Western pressure on oil prices, the Soviet Union had to continue to exploit oil and gas on a large scale. However, with the depletion of oil and gas fields and the suppression of oil and gas prices by the West in the mid-1980s, the Soviet Union had to exploit energy with higher marginal costs and more investment, but could only sell them at lower prices, which greatly reduced the income of the Soviet Union. Coupled with militarism in the 1980s, the Soviet economy was in crisis.
After developing heavy industry, the Soviet Union should have developed light industry to improve the efficiency of economic circulation, but it turned to developing energy industry and ignored other industries, and was finally strangled by the West. The core of the collapse of the Soviet Union was still the economic problem, which led to internal contradictions that could not be resolved and eventually collapsed.
This time, the United States wants to do the same and create Russia’s economic crisis by directly suppressing Russia’s energy exports, so as to finally collapse Russia.
The second bird: intent on plundering the EU and other developed countries
Taking advantage of the Russian Ukrainian war, the United States tried to contain Russia by embargoing Russian energy and suppressing Russian oil and gas prices. On the one hand, on the other hand, it shifted its economic crisis to its allies. The logic is also very simple. The United States frantically increases interest rates to let capital including Europe flow into the United States. At the same time, it reduces its inflation through the sharp rise of the dollar and the suppression of oil prices, so as to improve its economy.
On the other hand, because the United States coerced and lured Europe to cut off its energy ties with Russia, Europe will inevitably face energy shortage, economic stagnation and high inflation for a long time in the future, which will allow funds to continue to flow out of Europe to the American market. Such persistence is like Europe’s continuous blood transfusion to the United States, which is a typical financial robbery. If we do this for two or three years, Europe’s economy will suffer extremely heavy losses, while the United States will reap huge profits. Unknowingly, the crisis in the United States will be passed on to Europe.
The third bird: Smash China and Russia one by one
One of the most important purposes of the United States to suppress Russia in this way is to implement the strategy of breaking China and Russia one by one. As long as Russia falls, the United States can force the EU to turn around and deal with China. In fact, when the United States launched a trade war against China and failed to defeat China, it had to adjust its strategy. Finally, the strategy chosen by the United States is to launch a new East West cold war, which requires that Russia be dealt with first, and then China.
If the Russian Ukrainian war is fought particularly smoothly in Russia, then Russia and the United States may reach a compromise after Russia quickly wins the Russian Ukrainian war, which will be very unfavorable to China; Now, if Russia does not fight smoothly on the battlefield of Ukraine, the strategy of the United States is to first take measures to defeat Russia, subdue the United States, and then unite with Western allies to deal with China.
The fourth bird: solving the inflation problem in the United States
In addition to the above-mentioned objectives, one of the core objectives of the United States in all this is to solve its own serious inflation problem. The inflation rate of the United States exceeded 9% at one time, but actually it has exceeded 10%. Under such circumstances, if the inflation rate of the United States continues to rise, the American economy will face not only new major crises, but also a global trust crisis for the US dollar. Against this background, the United States detonated the Russian Ukrainian war and is trying to shift the crisis outward.
Of course, the whole world will suffer from such a transfer, but Europe will suffer the most. The energy crisis has affected economic development, led to capital flight, and also brought huge inflation. Under such circumstances, the leaders of European countries still follow the ideological baton of the United States, which makes people feel too speechless!
However, this insidious plan of the United States has just been cracked by China and Russia!
China Russia energy trade is settled directly in local currency, and the next step should be to expand to all trade and completely abandon the US dollar and euro. At the same time, China provides RMB loans to Russian institutions, which is equivalent to Russia taking its own energy and other resources as collateral to borrow from China and then solve its own investment problems.
With the settlement of energy imports and exports between China and Russia in RMB, China will certainly import from Russia on a larger scale, and Russian institutions can also obtain RMB loans. In this case, although the sanctions imposed by the United States and the West have a negative effect on Russia, how can they make Russia yield?
In fact, as Russia reduces its energy supply to Europe, Europe will be even more energy deficient. The United States and the West originally wanted to use this to suppress oil and natural gas prices, but the Middle East countries will definitely consider reducing production when they see that energy prices are falling, so that energy prices in the global market will not only not fall but also rise further. With weak global economic growth, serious inflationary pressure and rising energy prices, it is self-evident who will suffer the most. However, the most important thing is that nothing will happen to Russia, and China will make huge profits from it.
For China, the bigger profit is that other countries will follow suit. Take the oil producing countries in the Middle East as an example. Russia has settled in its own currency. Why does it not settle in its own currency with China? China and Russia have also imposed a 50-50 ratio limit, and it is possible for relevant countries to directly collect RMB.
There are also countries in the Middle East. After discovering the advantages of settling in local currency with China, they will also quickly replace the US dollar with RMB. It’s really cool! More importantly, since everyone applies local currency settlement, China can also provide RMB loans to relevant countries······
On the one hand, if China and Russia join hands strategically, they can form a strategic balance with the United States and the West militarily; On the other hand, China’s economic strength is enough to replace the United States and the United States dollar. Under such circumstances, how can the United States subdue Russia and then do its best to deal with China?
Therefore, objectively speaking, now that the United States is trying to kill four birds with one stone, it may finally be able to kill only one bird, that is, the dead bird of the European Union!